Incheon United vs Ulsan HD Prediction – Match preview
Incheon United-:-
Ulsan HDSungui Arena ParkRound 36
Our prediction
Incheon United to win (45%)
Incheon United 45% · Draw 26% · Ulsan HD 29% · Over 2.5 goals: 47% · Both teams to score: 51%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
45%
29%
Incheon UnitedDraw 26%Ulsan HD
1.4 – 1.1
Expected score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
40%
32%
Incheon UnitedDraw 28%Ulsan HD
First Half Result
29%
25%
Incheon UnitedDraw 46%Ulsan HD
Team to Score First
47%
45%
Incheon UnitedNo goal 8%Ulsan HD
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Incheon United Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Incheon United Over 1.5 Goals
38%
Ulsan HD Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Incheon United Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Incheon UnitedUlsan HD
- 6
- League position
- 2
- LWWDW
- Last 5
- WWDWL
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
12
Incheon United wins
19
Draws
25
Ulsan HD wins
Last 56 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
54%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Incheon United in the last 5 meetings
LWLDD
Key Players
K League 1, this seasonIncheon United
Top scorer
Stefan Mugosa
14 goals
Most assists
Ju-yong Lee
4 assists
Best rated
Stefan Mugosa
6.65
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ju-yong LeeDefender | 34 (31) | 2876 | 1 | 4 | – | 6.31 | ×5 |
| Juan IbizaDefender | 32 (32) | 2861 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.30 | ×8 |
| Jae-min SeoMidfielder | 34 (32) | 2833 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.41 | ×3 |
| Kim Myung-SunDefender | 31 (31) | 2594 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.34 | ×4 |
| Kim Dong-HeonGoalkeeper | 29 (28) | 2530 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×2 |
| Myung Joo LeeMidfielder | 33 (29) | 2460 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.44 | ×6 |
| Chung-yong LeeMidfielder | 33 (24) | 2357 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.50 | ×4 |
| Stefan MugosaAttacker | 32 (22) | 2084 | 14 | 2 | – | 6.65 | ×3 |
| Gun-hee KimDefender | 25 (24) | 2073 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.22 | ×3 |
| Gerso FernandesMidfielder | 33 (19) | 1840 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.46 | ×4 |
| Morgan FerrierAttacker | 31 (17) | 1649 | 7 | 2 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Dong-ryul LeeAttacker | 31 (16) | 1349 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.51 | |
| Seong-min KimMidfielder | 20 (10) | 803 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |
| Leandro RibeiroMidfielder | 11 (9) | 642 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Tae-heui LeeGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 620 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.21 | – |
Ulsan HD
Top scorer
Yago Cariello
17 goals
Most assists
Dong-gyeong Lee
13 assists
Best rated
Yago Cariello
6.66
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyeon-woo JoGoalkeeper | 34 (34) | 2970 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.07 | ×2 |
| Hyun-taek ChoDefender | 33 (32) | 2834 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.29 | ×4 |
| Dong-gyeong LeeMidfielder | 34 (30) | 2644 | 13 | 13 | – | 6.57 | ×3 |
| Seung-hyun JungDefender | 30 (29) | 2465 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.21 | ×5 |
| Kyu-seong LeeMidfielder | 33 (25) | 2157 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.39 | ×3 |
| Young-gwon KimDefender | 26 (22) | 1900 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.26 | ×2 |
| Jin-hyun LeeMidfielder | 31 (25) | 1875 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.44 | |
| Darijan BojanicMidfielder | 32 (22) | 1767 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.42 | ×2 |
| Yago CarielloAttacker | 28 (16) | 1623 | 17 | 1 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Jae-ik LeeDefender | 22 (17) | 1560 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.21 | ×2 |
| Thomas Oude KotteMidfielder | 18 (16) | 1509 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.35 | ×2 |
| Myeong-kwan SeoDefender | 17 (14) | 1299 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.29 | |
| Hui-gyun LeeMidfielder | 27 (15) | 1293 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.43 | ×2 |
| Seok-hyeon ChoiDefender | 18 (16) | 1240 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.35 | |
| Jang Si-youngAttacker | 22 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.41 |
More on Incheon United vs Ulsan HD
- Incheon United stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ulsan HD stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- K League 1 (South Korea) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture