Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II Prediction & Lineups (16 Nov)

Match Preview

Updated 10 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

43%

32%

AlbaceteDraw 25%Celta de Vigo II

Bookmaker implied

57%

19%

AlbaceteDraw 24%Celta de Vigo II

1.5 – 1.3

Expected score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Both teams to score

Data provider's forecast

Full Time Result

52%

24%

AlbaceteDraw 24%Celta de Vigo II

First Half Result

39%

19%

AlbaceteDraw 42%Celta de Vigo II

Team to Score First

60%

34%

AlbaceteNo goal 6%Celta de Vigo II

Probability

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 1.5 Goals

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

56%

Over 3.5 Goals

33%

Albacete Over 3.5 Goals

10%

Albacete Over 1.5 Goals

52%

Celta de Vigo II Over 0.5 Goals

62%

Albacete Over 0.5 Goals

81%

Match Result

Albacete

53%1.60

model 1.87-15%

Last 1040%8/20

Draw

25%3.70

model 3.98-7%

Last 1020%4/20

Celta de Vigo II

21%5.25

model 4.66disputed

Last 1040%8/20

Draw no bet

Albacete

71%1.17

model 1.40-17%

Last 1050%8/16

Celta de Vigo II

29%3.83

model 3.49disputed

Last 1050%8/16

Double chance

Albacete or draw

79%1.12

model 1.27-12%

Last 1060%12/20

Albacete or Celta de Vigo II

75%1.23

model 1.34-8%

Last 1080%16/20

Draw or Celta de Vigo II

47%2.17

model 2.15+1%

Last 1060%12/20

Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	95%	5%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	81%	19%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 2.5	60%	40%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	37%	63%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 4.5	20%	80%	–	20%4/20	–

Both teams to score

59%Yes 1.66

Last 1065%13/20

Albacete clean sheet

21%

model chance

Celta de Vigo II clean sheet

21%

model chance

Albacete goals

O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%

Celta de Vigo II goals

O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%

Corners

Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	76%	24%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 8.5	65%	35%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	52%	48%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 10.5	39%	61%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 11.5	28%	72%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 12.5	19%	81%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 13.5	12%	88%	–	10%2/20	–

Albacete corners

O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 19%

Celta de Vigo II corners

O2.5 80%O3.5 62%O4.5 43%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%

Cards

Expected 5.1 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	88%	12%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 3.5	75%	25%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 4.5	58%	42%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 5.5main	40%	60%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 6.5	25%	75%	–	35%7/20	–

Albacete cards

O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 47%O3.5 26%

Celta de Vigo II cards

O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 47%O3.5 25%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Lorenzo Aguado Albacete	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66	1.66	46%	60%3/5	40%4/10	-23%
Ángel Arcos Celta de Vigo II	Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10	2.10	41%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-14%
Victor Valverde Albacete	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	36%	20%1/5	30%3/10	-42%
Jesús Vallejo Albacete	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	35%	60%3/5	40%4/10	-29%
Carlos Neva Albacete	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	31%	0%0/5	30%3/10	-52%
Mario Soberón Albacete	Over 3.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	29%	0%0/5	20%2/10	-53%
Jan Oliveras Celta de Vigo II	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	22%	0%0/5	0%0/7	-56%
Sergio Ortuño Albacete	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	20%	20%1/5	10%1/10	-73%
Antonio Pacheco Albacete	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.80	1.80	18%	20%1/5	20%2/10	-67%
Hugo Cuenca Celta de Vigo II · not in XI	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Higinio Marín Albacete · not in XI	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.20	2.20	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
Higinio Marín Albacete · not in XI	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61	1.61	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
Fran Gámez Albacete · not in XI	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53	1.53	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
Pepe Sánchez Albacete · not in XI	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
José Corpas Albacete · not in XI	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.36	1.36	–	40%2/5	30%3/10	–
Victor Valverde Albacete	Over 0.5 Assists · 4.00	4.00	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Higinio Marín Albacete · not in XI	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Victor Valverde Albacete	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10	2.10	–	40%2/5	20%2/10	–
Antonio Pacheco Albacete	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75	2.75	–	20%1/5	10%1/10	–
Jesús Vallejo Albacete	Over 0.5 Goals · 12.00	12.00	–	20%1/5	10%1/10	–
Antonio Pacheco Albacete	Over 0.5 Goals · 4.75	4.75	–	20%1/5	10%1/10	–
Pepe Sánchez Albacete · not in XI	Over 0.5 Goals · 12.00	12.00	–	0%0/5	10%1/10	–
Pepe Sánchez Albacete · not in XI	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50	5.50	–	0%0/5	10%1/10	–
Jesús Vallejo Albacete	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 6.50	6.50	–	20%1/5	10%1/10	–

Player prop screener

Player Probabilities

Updated 10 Nov 2026

Based on each starter's last 20–40 games across all competitions, adjusted for the opponent, home or away, and the referee for fouls and cards. Starters only; hover a figure for the expected count.

Albacete

Predicted line-up

Albacete starters: model probabilities for player props
Player	Shot	On target	Foul	Fouled	2+ tackles	Booked
Diego Mariño GK	–	–	5%	10%	–	5%
Jesús Vallejo DEF	35%	17%	46%	30%	36%	15%
Lluís López DEF	42%	15%	54%	25%	29%	12%
Carlos Neva DEF	31%	9%	38%	65%	44%	12%
Lorenzo Aguado DEF	46%	11%	67%	80%	53%	18%
Victor San Bartolome Prieto MID	65%	36%	76%	31%	53%	15%
Sergio Ortuño MID	55%	23%	66%	33%	46%	17%
Antonio Pacheco MID	53%	22%	55%	57%	60%	16%
Mario Soberón FWD	91% 2+ 71%	60%	75%	50%	20%	15%
Victor Valverde FWD	86% 2+ 61%	44%	47%	59%	31%	10%
Alex Rubio FWD	91% 2+ 71%	59%	79%	46%	9%	17%

Celta de Vigo II

Predicted line-up

Celta de Vigo II starters: model probabilities for player props
Player	Shot	On target	Foul	Fouled	2+ tackles	Booked
Coke Carrillo GK	–	–	1%	8%	–	4%
Joel Lopez Salguero DEF	23%	9%	65%	58%	49%	22%
Jan Oliveras DEF	22%	7%	57%	32%	47%	14%
Kike Ribes DEF	25%	8%	46%	56%	41%	22%
Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye DEF	38%	8%	52%	24%	28%	21%
Mateo Sobral Sabajanes DEF	46%	13%	59%	51%	42%	13%
Adrià Capdevila MID	52%	25%	65%	73%	56%	23%
Ángel Arcos MID	74%	40%	49%	60%	24%	9%
Álvaro Marín FWD	87% 2+ 63%	57%	64%	72%	7%	15%
Aldrine Kibet FWD	80% 2+ 50%	56%	70%	58%	38%	11%
Germain Milla FWD	59% 2+ 24%	28%	48%	63%	16%	14%

Form Guide

Updated 10 Nov 2026

AlbaceteCelta de Vigo II

21
League position: 16; WWWLL
Last 5: LDLDW; 1.80
Points per game (L5): 1.00; 8
Goals scored (L5): 9; 9
Goals conceded (L5): 11; 3.98
xG for (L5): 1.98; 5.62
xG against (L5): 6.24; 1
Clean sheets (L5): 0

Injuries & Suspensions

Albacete

Antonio PuertasCruciate Ligament Tear
Javi MorenoMuscle Injury
José CorpasRed Card Suspension
Samuel Obeng GyabaaCruciate Ligament Tear

Celta de Vigo II

Bernard SomuahAnkle Sprain
Pablo GavianCruciate Ligament Tear

Confirmed Line-ups

Albacete

3-1-4-2

13Diego MariñoGoalkeeper
24Jesús VallejoDefender
22Lluís LópezDefender
21Carlos NevaDefender
6Antonio PachecoMidfielder
2Lorenzo AguadoDefender
14Victor San Bartolome PrietoMidfielder
18Sergio OrtuñoMidfielder
11Victor ValverdeAttacker
19Alex RubioAttacker
9Mario SoberónAttacker

Celta de Vigo II

3-4-2-1

1Coke CarrilloGoalkeeper
3Kike RibesDefender
6Pablo MeixúsDefender
4Seyni Mbaye NdiayeDefender
18Joel LópezDefender
22Stefan BajceticMidfielder
23Germain MillaAttacker
10Óscar MarcosMidfielder
16Adrià CapdevilaMidfielder
29Mateo Sobral SabajanesDefender
14Jan OliverasDefender
15Aldrine KibetAttacker
11Ángel ArcosMidfielder
9Álvaro MarínAttacker

Key Players

La Liga 2, this season

Albacete

Top scorer

Higinio Marín

3 goals

Most assists

Victor Valverde

2 assists

Best rated

José Corpas

6.84

Albacete squad statistics in the La Liga 2 this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Lluís LópezDefender	13 (13)	1155	0	0	–	6.66	×2
Carlos NevaDefender	13 (13)	1151	0	0	–	6.82
José CorpasMidfielder	12 (12)	1032	0	0	0.17	6.84	×2
Sergio OrtuñoMidfielder	12 (10)	918	0	1	0.30	6.72	×3
Diego MariñoGoalkeeper	9 (9)	810	0	0	–	6.77	×2
Antonio PachecoMidfielder	12 (8)	791	1	0	0.26	6.81	×2
Mario SoberónAttacker	12 (7)	686	0	1	0.08	6.65
Jesús VallejoDefender	8 (7)	602	1	0	0.04	6.49	×2
Fran GámezDefender	9 (7)	599	0	0	–	6.78	×2
Alex RubioAttacker	11 (6)	537	2	0	0.63	6.65	×4
Victor San Bartolome PrietoMidfielder	8 (8)	520	2	0	0.15	6.84	×2
Lorenzo AguadoDefender	8 (7)	503	0	0	0.11	6.77
Agus MedinaMidfielder	11 (5)	501	0	1	–	6.50	×2
Victor ValverdeMidfielder	7 (7)	495	0	2	0.28	6.82
Carlos MarínGoalkeeper	4 (4)	360	0	0	–	6.64	–

Celta de Vigo II

Top scorer

Álvaro Marín

8 goals

Most assists

Kike Ribes

1 assists

Best rated

Álvaro Marín

7.11

Celta de Vigo II squad statistics in the La Liga 2 this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Coke CarrilloGoalkeeper	13 (13)	1170	0	0	–	6.72	–
Kike RibesDefender	13 (13)	1102	0	1	–	6.80	×5
Adrià CapdevilaMidfielder	13 (13)	1058	1	0	0.02	6.78	×5
Álvaro MarínAttacker	13 (11)	949	8	1	0.83	7.11	×2
Joel Lopez SalgueroDefender	13 (11)	939	0	1	–	6.76	×5
Ángel ArcosAttacker	13 (11)	904	1	0	0.10	6.90	–
Óscar MarcosAttacker	12 (10)	865	3	1	0.34	7.01	×4
Anxo Rodríguez ÁlvarezDefender	8 (7)	645	0	1	–	6.57	×5
Pablo GavianDefender	10 (7)	636	0	1	–	6.67	–
Pablo MeixúsDefender	10 (6)	457	0	0	–	6.13
Hugo CuencaMidfielder	9 (3)	412	0	1	0.06	6.74	×2
Hugo BurcioMidfielder	4 (3)	287	0	0	–	6.69	–
Jan OliverasDefender	7 (2)	240	0	0	–	6.53
Bernard SomuahAttacker	6 (2)	205	2	0	–	6.69	–
Andrés AntañónMidfielder	3 (2)	180	1	0	–	6.68	–

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	1	2	Home	Away
bet365	1.77	2.02	—	—
BetVictor	—	—	1.42	2.60

Goals Over/Under

Bookmaker	Over	Under
bet365	1.65	2.20
Betano.dk	13.00	1.03
BetVictor	2.17	1.59

Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II Prediction – Match preview

Our prediction

Match Preview

Data provider's forecast

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Albacete goals

Celta de Vigo II goals

Corners

Albacete corners

Celta de Vigo II corners

Cards

Albacete cards

Celta de Vigo II cards

Player Props

Player Probabilities

Albacete

Celta de Vigo II

Form Guide

Injuries & Suspensions

Albacete

Celta de Vigo II

Confirmed Line-ups

Albacete

Celta de Vigo II

Key Players

Albacete

Celta de Vigo II

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

More on Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II