Elche vs Valencia – Match preview
Elche-:-
ValenciaEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
15%
65%
ElcheDraw 20%Valencia
Bookmaker implied
38%
34%
ElcheDraw 28%Valencia
0.9 – 2.0
Expected score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Elche
40%2.48
fair 2.50-1%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
28%3.37
fair 3.57-6%
Last 1040%8/20
Valencia
32%2.86
fair 3.13-8%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Elche
56%1.74
fair 1.80-3%
Last 1050%6/12
Valencia
44%2.01
fair 2.25-11%
Last 1050%6/12
Double chance
Elche or draw
68%1.43
fair 1.47-3%
Last 1070%14/20
Elche or Valencia
72%1.33
fair 1.39-4%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Valencia
60%1.55
fair 1.67-7%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%Yes 1.75
Last 1055%11/20
Elche clean sheet
26%
model chance
Valencia clean sheet
25%
model chance
Elche goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Valencia goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Elche corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Valencia corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Elche cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 45%O3.5 23%
Valencia cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tete Morente Elche | Over 0.5 Assists · 8.00 | 8.00 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +11% |
Guido Rodríguez Valencia | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.00 | 5.00 | 20% | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | -2% |
Tete Morente Elche | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | 23% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -34% |
Arnau Martínez Valencia | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.00 | 5.00 | 11% | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | -43% |
Luis Rioja Valencia | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.20 | 3.20 | 16% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -49% |
Justin de Haas Valencia | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 9.50 | 9.50 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | +32% |
Guido Rodríguez Valencia | Over 0.5 Goals · 7.50 | 7.50 | 12% | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | -13% |
Arnau Martínez Valencia | Over 0.5 Goals · 13.00 | 13.00 | 6% | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | -18% |
Pedro Bigas Elche | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 7.50 | 7.50 | 9% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -29% |
Luis Rioja Valencia | Over 0.5 Goals · 6.00 | 6.00 | 11% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -37% |
Lucas Cepeda Elche | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.00 | 5.00 | 11% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -45% |
Lucas Cepeda Elche | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | 21% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -51% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ElcheValencia
- 18
- League position
- 19
- DDWLD
- Last 5
- DDLWL
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
Elche wins
2
Draws
7
Valencia wins
Last 12 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
58%
Over 2.5 goals
11 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Elche in the last 5 meetings
WDLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Elche
- Marc AguadoAnkle Sprain
Valencia
- Diego LópezCruciate Ligament Tear
- Sergi CanósCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonElche
Top scorer
Fer Niño
5 goals
Most assists
Tete Morente
3 assists
Best rated
Fer Niño
7.03
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matías DituroGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 811 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Víctor ChustDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | |
| Germán ValeraDefender | 9 (9) | 752 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Gonzalo VillarMidfielder | 9 (9) | 735 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Buba SangaréDefender | 8 (8) | 623 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Fer NiñoAttacker | 9 (7) | 566 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Tete MorenteAttacker | 9 (5) | 481 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Roy RevivoDefender | 6 (5) | 446 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.86 | |
| Federico RedondoDefender | 6 (5) | 389 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | |
| Marc AguadoMidfielder | 6 (6) | 376 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Thomas LemarMidfielder | 6 (3) | 317 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.92 | |
| Lucas CepedaAttacker | 9 (2) | 311 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Abiel OsorioAttacker | 6 (2) | 271 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| David AffengruberDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Facundo BuonanotteMidfielder | 5 (3) | 222 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 |
Valencia
Top scorer
David Otorbi
1 goals
Most assists
Javi Guerra
2 assists
Best rated
Guido Rodríguez
7.01
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stole DimitrievskiGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| PepeluDefender | 9 (9) | 748 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Javi GuerraMidfielder | 9 (9) | 740 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.77 | |
| Arnaut DanjumaAttacker | 9 (7) | 660 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Filip UgrinicMidfielder | 9 (7) | 573 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| José GayàDefender | 7 (6) | 536 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Pablo MaffeoDefender | 8 (6) | 506 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Guido RodríguezMidfielder | 6 (6) | 492 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×2 |
| César TárregaDefender | 6 (5) | 420 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Hugo DuroAttacker | 9 (5) | 398 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Justin de HaasDefender | 5 (5) | 382 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Jesús VázquezDefender | 8 (4) | 351 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Mouctar DiakhabyDefender | 5 (4) | 331 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | ×3 |
| David OtorbiAttacker | 8 (2) | 330 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Ryunosuke SatoMidfielder | 5 (4) | 297 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.05 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.04 | 1.81 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.06 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.05 | 1.79 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.04 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.08 | 1.79 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.05 | 1.85 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Betano.dk | 16.00 | 1.88 |