FC Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Camp NouRound 13
Our prediction
FC Barcelona to win (75%)
FC Barcelona 75% · Draw 13% · Villarreal 11%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
74%
13%
FC BarcelonaDraw 13%Villarreal
Bookmaker implied
77%
9%
FC BarcelonaDraw 14%Villarreal
3.3 – 1.4
Expected score
85%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026FC BarcelonaVillarreal
- 1
- League position
- 8
- WWLWW
- Last 5
- WLWDL
- 2.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 17
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 5.29
- xG for (L5)
- 4.59
- 3.65
- xG against (L5)
- 2.38
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
9
FC Barcelona wins
0
Draws
3
Villarreal wins
Last 12 meetings
4.2
Goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
FC Barcelona in the last 5 meetings
WWLWL
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonFC Barcelona
Top scorer
Raphinha
15 goals
Most assists
Lamine Yamal
8 assists
Best rated
Lamine Yamal
8.49
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine YamalAttacker | 12 (12) | 995 | 10 | 8 | 1.43 | 8.49 | ×2 |
| Joan GarcíaGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 946 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| PedriMidfielder | 12 (10) | 845 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 7.14 | |
| RaphinhaAttacker | 11 (10) | 813 | 15 | 3 | 1.95 | 8.09 | – |
| Pau CubarsíDefender | 9 (9) | 782 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 7.06 | |
| Fermín LópezMidfielder | 11 (9) | 776 | 7 | 5 | 0.82 | 7.70 | ×3 |
| Gerard MartínDefender | 11 (9) | 761 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.91 | |
| RodriMidfielder | 10 (8) | 697 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.41 | |
| Anthony GordonAttacker | 11 (8) | 683 | 2 | 4 | 0.30 | 7.06 | |
| Xavi EspartDefender | 8 (8) | 650 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.13 | |
| Eric GarcíaDefender | 9 (7) | 619 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Andreas ChristensenDefender | 7 (4) | 431 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Marc BernalMidfielder | 10 (4) | 430 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 6.86 | |
| Karim AdeyemiAttacker | 12 (4) | 430 | 2 | 2 | 0.28 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| João CanceloDefender | 9 (5) | 418 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.67 | ×2 |
Villarreal
Top scorer
Pape Gueye
3 goals
Most assists
Alberto Moleiro
4 assists
Best rated
Logan Costa
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato VeigaDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×5 |
| Pape GueyeMidfielder | 11 (9) | 809 | 3 | 0 | 0.52 | 7.21 | |
| Alberto MoleiroMidfielder | 12 (9) | 734 | 2 | 4 | 0.30 | 7.10 | – |
| Péter GulácsiGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Georges MikautadzeAttacker | 12 (6) | 664 | 3 | 1 | 0.58 | 6.90 | – |
| Ayoze PérezAttacker | 12 (8) | 649 | 1 | 3 | 0.11 | 6.76 | |
| Tajon BuchananMidfielder | 10 (7) | 635 | 1 | 0 | 1.30 | 6.92 | ×3 |
| Alex FreemanDefender | 11 (6) | 620 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 7.06 | |
| Santi ComesañaMidfielder | 11 (8) | 604 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×3 |
| Santiago MouriñoDefender | 9 (7) | 581 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Carlos RomeroDefender | 8 (5) | 542 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.82 | |
| Sergi CardonaDefender | 7 (6) | 511 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.90 | |
| Nicolas PépéMidfielder | 8 (5) | 509 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.04 | |
| Juan FoythDefender | 7 (7) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | ×3 |
| Pau NavarroDefender | 6 (5) | 441 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.89 | 1.99 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.92 | 1.92 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.61 | 2.31 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.88 | 1.90 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.88 | 2.02 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.22 | 4.33 |
| Betano.dk | 1.01 | 16.50 |
More on FC Barcelona vs Villarreal
- FC Barcelona stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Villarreal stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture