Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction – Match preview
Rayo Vallecano-:-
ValenciaEstadio de VallecasRound 13
Our prediction
Rayo Vallecano to win (42%)
Rayo Vallecano 42% · Draw 27% · Valencia 30% · Over 2.5 goals: 44% · Both teams to score: 49%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
42%
31%
Rayo VallecanoDraw 27%Valencia
Bookmaker implied
48%
24%
Rayo VallecanoDraw 28%Valencia
1.3 – 1.1
Expected score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
44%
29%
Rayo VallecanoDraw 27%Valencia
First Half Result
34%
21%
Rayo VallecanoDraw 45%Valencia
Team to Score First
55%
37%
Rayo VallecanoNo goal 8%Valencia
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Rayo Vallecano Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Rayo Vallecano Over 1.5 Goals
40%
Valencia Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Rayo Vallecano Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Rayo VallecanoValencia
- 14
- League position
- 19
- LWLDD
- Last 5
- LWLDD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 3.77
- xG for (L5)
- 2.59
- 5.15
- xG against (L5)
- 5.11
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Rayo Vallecano wins
7
Draws
1
Valencia wins
Last 10 meetings
1.7
Goals per game
70%
Both teams scored
10%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Rayo Vallecano in the last 5 meetings
DDDWD
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonRayo Vallecano
Top scorer
Sergio Camello
7 goals
Most assists
Unai López
3 assists
Best rated
Unai López
7.27
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian LejeuneDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.78 | |
| Pathé CissMidfielder | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | 0.79 | 6.74 | ×5 |
| Unai LópezMidfielder | 11 (11) | 884 | 1 | 3 | 0.14 | 7.27 | ×3 |
| Álvaro GarcíaMidfielder | 10 (9) | 746 | 3 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Sergio CamelloAttacker | 11 (10) | 746 | 7 | 2 | 0.34 | 7.21 | ×3 |
| Andrei RațiuDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.72 | – |
| Adrià PedrosaDefender | 9 (8) | 689 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Jorge de FrutosMidfielder | 9 (9) | 688 | 2 | 2 | 0.69 | 6.88 | |
| Emil AuderoGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Pedro DíazMidfielder | 10 (6) | 593 | 0 | 1 | 0.65 | 6.95 | – |
| Mujaid SadickDefender | 7 (6) | 515 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.62 | – |
| Óscar ValentínMidfielder | 9 (5) | 467 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Giorgi TsitaishviliAttacker | 8 (3) | 405 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Iván BalliuDefender | 8 (4) | 343 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | |
| GnangoroMidfielder | 8 (2) | 240 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.76 | ×3 |
Valencia
Top scorer
Umar Sadiq
2 goals
Most assists
Javi Guerra
2 assists
Best rated
Stole Dimitrievski
6.96
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stole DimitrievskiGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| PepeluDefender | 12 (12) | 1018 | 1 | 0 | 0.90 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Javi GuerraMidfielder | 12 (12) | 980 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Arnaut DanjumaAttacker | 12 (10) | 928 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.76 | – |
| José GayàDefender | 10 (9) | 795 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.66 | |
| Guido RodríguezMidfielder | 9 (9) | 735 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×4 |
| Pablo MaffeoDefender | 11 (9) | 707 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.52 | ×4 |
| César TárregaDefender | 9 (8) | 690 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.89 | |
| Filip UgrinicMidfielder | 12 (7) | 625 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.66 | – |
| Justin de HaasDefender | 7 (7) | 504 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
| Hugo DuroAttacker | 10 (5) | 411 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.62 | – |
| Arnau MartínezDefender | 8 (4) | 383 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | |
| Luis RiojaAttacker | 8 (3) | 365 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Jesús VázquezDefender | 10 (4) | 361 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| David OtorbiAttacker | 9 (3) | 344 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.90 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.92 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.46 | 2.76 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.45 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.96 | 1.92 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.99 | 1.91 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.04 |
More on Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
- Rayo Vallecano stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Valencia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture