Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Prediction – Match preview
Real Madrid-:-
Celta de VigoEstadio Santiago BernabéuRound 13
Our prediction
Real Madrid to win (79%)
Real Madrid 79% · Draw 20% · Celta de Vigo 2% · Over 2.5 goals: 26% · Both teams to score: 7%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
79%
1%
Real MadridDraw 20%Celta de Vigo
Bookmaker implied
79%
7%
Real MadridDraw 14%Celta de Vigo
1.7 – 0.1
Expected score
26%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
73%
8%
Real MadridDraw 19%Celta de Vigo
First Half Result
56%
12%
Real MadridDraw 32%Celta de Vigo
Team to Score First
70%
23%
Real MadridNo goal 7%Celta de Vigo
Probability
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
Real Madrid Over 3.5 Goals
20%
Real Madrid Over 1.5 Goals
65%
Celta de Vigo Over 0.5 Goals
36%
Real Madrid Over 0.5 Goals
88%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Real MadridCelta de Vigo
- 2
- League position
- 11
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- DLDWD
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 13
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 6.47
- xG for (L5)
- 4.64
- 3.30
- xG against (L5)
- 2.79
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
28
Real Madrid wins
3
Draws
6
Celta de Vigo wins
Last 37 meetings
3.8
Goals per game
68%
Both teams scored
81%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Real Madrid in the last 5 meetings
WLWWW
Key Players
La Liga, this seasonReal Madrid
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé
13 goals
Most assists
Jude Bellingham
4 assists
Best rated
Kylian Mbappé
7.89
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian MbappéAttacker | 12 (12) | 1075 | 13 | 3 | 2.92 | 7.89 | ×3 |
| Thibaut CourtoisGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Ibrahima KonatéDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.90 | ×4 |
| Jude BellinghamMidfielder | 12 (11) | 959 | 4 | 4 | 0.93 | 7.67 | ×2 |
| Federico ValverdeMidfielder | 11 (11) | 892 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 7.08 | – |
| Dean HuijsenDefender | 10 (10) | 862 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 7.13 | |
| Marc CucurellaDefender | 12 (8) | 833 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Arda GülerMidfielder | 12 (10) | 744 | 3 | 4 | 1.23 | 7.84 | |
| Yan DiomandeMidfielder | 12 (7) | 715 | 3 | 2 | 0.24 | 7.16 | ×2 |
| Aurélien TchouaméniMidfielder | 8 (7) | 628 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Vinicius JuniorMidfielder | 8 (7) | 585 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Bernardo SilvaMidfielder | 10 (6) | 543 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.68 | – |
| Denzel DumfriesDefender | 8 (5) | 447 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefender | 7 (4) | 356 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Antonio RüdigerDefender | 4 (3) | 306 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.33 |
Celta de Vigo
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà
2 goals
Most assists
Hugo Álvarez
2 assists
Best rated
Miguel Román
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț RaduGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.16 | |
| Yoel LagoDefender | 11 (10) | 944 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.90 | ×4 |
| Ilaix MoribaMidfielder | 12 (11) | 899 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.83 | |
| Javi RuedaMidfielder | 12 (8) | 712 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Sergio CarreiraMidfielder | 12 (6) | 705 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Marcos AlonsoDefender | 9 (8) | 694 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 7.04 | ×2 |
| Ferran JutglàAttacker | 11 (8) | 643 | 2 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.76 | – |
| Hugo ÁlvarezMidfielder | 10 (7) | 617 | 0 | 2 | 0.55 | 6.74 | – |
| Miguel RománMidfielder | 7 (6) | 578 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Javi RodríguezDefender | 8 (7) | 547 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.89 | – |
| Pablo DuránAttacker | 9 (5) | 510 | 2 | 0 | 1.39 | 6.81 | – |
| Javi GalánDefender | 10 (6) | 498 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.71 | |
| Aleix FebasMidfielder | 6 (5) | 467 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Williot SwedbergAttacker | 11 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Sebastián CáceresDefender | 5 (5) | 408 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.99 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.87 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.95 | 1.91 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.00 | 1.90 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 14.00 | 14.00 |
More on Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo
- Real Madrid stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Celta de Vigo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture