Burton Albion vs Luton Town Prediction – Match preview
Burton Albion-:-
Luton TownPirelli StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
Luton Town to win (43%)
Burton Albion 37% · Draw 19% · Luton Town 43% · Over 2.5 goals: 84% · Both teams to score: 81%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 09 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
37%
44%
Burton AlbionDraw 19%Luton Town
2.2 – 2.4
Expected score
84%
Over 2.5 goals
81%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
29%
46%
Burton AlbionDraw 25%Luton Town
First Half Result
23%
37%
Burton AlbionDraw 40%Luton Town
Team to Score First
40%
55%
Burton AlbionNo goal 5%Luton Town
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
Burton Albion Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Burton Albion Over 1.5 Goals
34%
Luton Town Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Burton Albion Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Form Guide
Updated 09 Nov 2026Burton AlbionLuton Town
- 15
- League position
- 4
- LWDDL
- Last 5
- DWWWW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 2.41
- xG for (L5)
- 7.11
- 2.21
- xG against (L5)
- 4.26
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Burton Albion wins
1
Draws
1
Luton Town wins
Last 2 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Burton Albion in the last 2 meetings
DL
Key Players
League One, this seasonBurton Albion
Top scorer
J. Armer
3 goals
Most assists
C. Vickers
4 assists
Best rated
C. Vickers
7.17
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey AddaiGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| K. ChaukeMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1252 | 2 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.94 | – |
| C. WebsterAttacker | 14 (14) | 1223 | 2 | 0 | 0.25 | 7.04 | – |
| Curtis TiltDefender | 13 (13) | 1163 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×4 |
| Toby SibbickDefender | 12 (11) | 1034 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.63 | ×2 |
| J. ArmerMidfielder | 11 (11) | 891 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Raphael Borges RodriguesMidfielder | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| C. VickersAttacker | 10 (10) | 794 | 1 | 4 | 0.37 | 7.17 | – |
| George EvansDefender | 9 (9) | 779 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| F. DelapDefender | 9 (9) | 763 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.11 | |
| Will CollarMidfielder | 13 (7) | 640 | 1 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.63 | |
| K. LofthouseMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.63 | |
| Sulyman KruballyMidfielder | 12 (7) | 628 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.63 | ×5 |
| Matthew DennisAttacker | 9 (4) | 443 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Harvey AraujoDefender | 9 (4) | 421 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.59 |
Luton Town
Top scorer
Nahki Wells
7 goals
Most assists
Kasey Palmer
4 assists
Best rated
Jamie Paul Donley
7.24
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. JohnstonDefender | 14 (14) | 1234 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Liam WalshMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1188 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.89 | ×4 |
| Mads Juel AndersenDefender | 13 (12) | 1091 | 2 | 0 | 0.38 | 7.09 | ×2 |
| Kasey PalmerMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1023 | 3 | 4 | 0.64 | 6.86 | ×3 |
| Jamie Paul DonleyMidfielder | 12 (11) | 902 | 4 | 3 | 0.32 | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Isaiah JonesDefender | 14 (9) | 898 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.73 | |
| Nahki WellsAttacker | 14 (10) | 768 | 7 | 2 | 1.09 | 7.07 | |
| J. RichardsMidfielder | 14 (7) | 768 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 6.75 | |
| Hakeem OdofinDefender | 9 (9) | 749 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| James SheaGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 726 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Jordan ClarkMidfielder | 9 (8) | 678 | 3 | 3 | 0.93 | 7.16 | – |
| Kal NaismithDefender | 9 (9) | 655 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Josh KeeleyGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | – |
| Callum MarshallAttacker | 13 (5) | 535 | 4 | 0 | 2.31 | 6.80 | – |
| Tudor Mendel-IdowuAttacker | 9 (5) | 434 | 0 | 1 | 0.39 | 6.67 | – |
More on Burton Albion vs Luton Town
- Burton Albion stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Luton Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League One (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture