Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction – Match preview
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One Call StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
Mansfield Town to win (55%)
Mansfield Town 55% · Draw 23% · Milton Keynes Dons 22% · Over 2.5 goals: 55% · Both teams to score: 55%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 09 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
55%
22%
Mansfield TownDraw 23%Milton Keynes Dons
1.8 – 1.1
Expected score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
43%
31%
Mansfield TownDraw 26%Milton Keynes Dons
First Half Result
34%
27%
Mansfield TownDraw 39%Milton Keynes Dons
Team to Score First
51%
42%
Mansfield TownNo goal 7%Milton Keynes Dons
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Mansfield Town Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Mansfield Town Over 1.5 Goals
43%
Milton Keynes Dons Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Mansfield Town Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Form Guide
Updated 09 Nov 2026Mansfield TownMilton Keynes Dons
- 11
- League position
- 12
- DLWWD
- Last 5
- WWWLW
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 13
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 4.96
- xG for (L5)
- 7.91
- 3.80
- xG against (L5)
- 2.23
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Mansfield Town wins
0
Draws
1
Milton Keynes Dons wins
Last 2 meetings
4.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Mansfield Town in the last 2 meetings
WL
Key Players
League One, this seasonMansfield Town
Top scorer
Michael Smith
6 goals
Most assists
J. Russell
3 assists
Best rated
J. Russell
7.42
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. OshilajaDefender | 13 (13) | 1169 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.86 | |
| Ryan SweeneyDefender | 13 (13) | 1112 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 6.88 | ×4 |
| L. ReedMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1048 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.81 | ×4 |
| Liam RobertsGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Michael SmithAttacker | 12 (12) | 983 | 6 | 2 | 2.42 | 7.24 | |
| Liam ThompsonMidfielder | 11 (11) | 818 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×2 |
| R. OatesAttacker | 13 (6) | 754 | 2 | 2 | 0.34 | 6.84 | |
| Nathan Moriah-WelshMidfielder | 13 (11) | 731 | 3 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.85 | ×2 |
| J. RussellMidfielder | 9 (9) | 674 | 3 | 3 | 0.99 | 7.42 | |
| S. McLaughlinMidfielder | 10 (9) | 660 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.01 | – |
| E. HewittDefender | 12 (7) | 617 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×4 |
| Regan HendryMidfielder | 12 (4) | 518 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 6.81 | |
| F. Blake-TracyDefender | 11 (3) | 444 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.57 | ×4 |
| Lucas AkinsAttacker | 5 (3) | 334 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Kyle KnoyleDefender | 7 (3) | 320 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 |
Milton Keynes Dons
Top scorer
A. Collins
13 goals
Most assists
A. Collins
3 assists
Best rated
A. Collins
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan WintleMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1159 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 6.93 | ×2 |
| S. NombeAttacker | 13 (13) | 1068 | 1 | 0 | 1.64 | 6.72 | |
| C. GoodeDefender | 12 (12) | 1059 | 2 | 0 | 0.96 | 7.13 | |
| A. CollinsAttacker | 13 (12) | 989 | 13 | 3 | 1.90 | 7.54 | ×3 |
| Marvin EkpitetaDefender | 12 (10) | 955 | 1 | 1 | 0.71 | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Alex GilbeyMidfielder | 11 (8) | 787 | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.80 | ×4 |
| Cohen BramallDefender | 11 (8) | 744 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Will DennisGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Curtis NelsonDefender | 8 (8) | 685 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Ben WilesAttacker | 12 (5) | 552 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 6.76 | – |
| Jack SandersDefender | 9 (6) | 525 | 0 | 1 | 0.41 | 6.83 | ×2 |
| E. CampbellMidfielder | 6 (6) | 524 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| G. JonesDefender | 11 (6) | 483 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Sam SilveraMidfielder | 9 (5) | 482 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.80 | – |
| Craig MacGillivrayGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
More on Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Mansfield Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Milton Keynes Dons stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League One (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture