Notts County vs Stevenage Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Meadow Lane StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
Stevenage to win (39%)
Notts County 30% · Draw 31% · Stevenage 39% · Over 2.5 goals: 31% · Both teams to score: 38%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 09 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
30%
39%
Notts CountyDraw 31%Stevenage
0.9 – 1.1
Expected score
31%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
41%
31%
Notts CountyDraw 28%Stevenage
First Half Result
31%
24%
Notts CountyDraw 45%Stevenage
Team to Score First
49%
42%
Notts CountyNo goal 9%Stevenage
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
Notts County Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Notts County Over 1.5 Goals
38%
Stevenage Over 0.5 Goals
65%
Notts County Over 0.5 Goals
73%
Form Guide
Updated 09 Nov 2026Notts CountyStevenage
- 17
- League position
- 16
- WDWLL
- Last 5
- DLWLW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 1.50
- xG for (L5)
- 1.98
- 4.55
- xG against (L5)
- 3.88
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Key Players
League One, this seasonNotts County
Top scorer
Oliver Cooper
3 goals
Most assists
Nick Tsaroulla
3 assists
Best rated
Oliver Cooper
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James BelshawGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Jacob BedeauDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.59 | ×3 |
| Lucas NessDefender | 12 (12) | 1036 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Nick TsaroullaMidfielder | 12 (11) | 929 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 6.87 | |
| Rory FinneranMidfielder | 10 (9) | 810 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 7.02 | ×3 |
| James GibbonsDefender | 10 (9) | 732 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Oliver CooperMidfielder | 8 (8) | 642 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.12 | ×2 |
| Callum RobertsAttacker | 11 (6) | 617 | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.86 | |
| Luka SmythAttacker | 11 (7) | 615 | 2 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.80 | ×4 |
| Darius LipsiucMidfielder | 10 (7) | 561 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Jack EvansMidfielder | 10 (7) | 533 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Daniel KanuAttacker | 9 (6) | 524 | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.61 | |
| Conor GrantMidfielder | 12 (5) | 468 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.69 | |
| Rod McDonaldDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Ishé Samuels-SmithDefender | 8 (4) | 438 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
Stevenage
Top scorer
D. Kemp
3 goals
Most assists
Joshua Brendan David Magennis
4 assists
Best rated
D. Kemp
7.18
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. PiergianniDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | ×2 |
| T. VancootenDefender | 12 (12) | 1065 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.89 | |
| D. PhillipsMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1018 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| D. KempAttacker | 11 (11) | 958 | 3 | 2 | 0.02 | 7.18 | |
| Joshua Brendan David MagennisAttacker | 12 (11) | 876 | 3 | 4 | 0.05 | 7.08 | |
| L. James-WildinDefender | 10 (10) | 872 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| L. ThompsonMidfielder | 12 (8) | 757 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Tommy SetfordGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| L. FreestoneDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×3 |
| Oliver SandersonMidfielder | 12 (7) | 591 | 3 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.79 | – |
| Saxon EarleyDefender | 10 (6) | 557 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Phoenix PattersonAttacker | 10 (4) | 424 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.86 | – |
| Ben BroggioAttacker | 9 (4) | 397 | 1 | 0 | 1.06 | 6.61 | – |
| J. RobertsMidfielder | 6 (4) | 323 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Michael MellonAttacker | 10 (2) | 309 | 2 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.77 | – |
More on Notts County vs Stevenage
- Notts County stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Stevenage stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League One (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture