Swindon Town vs Rotherham United – Match preview
-:-
The Nigel Eady County Ground StadiumRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
57%
16%
Swindon TownDraw 27%Rotherham United
1.5 – 0.7
Expected score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Swindon Town
51%–
fair 1.97–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.91–
Last 1030%6/20
Rotherham United
24%–
fair 4.24–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Swindon Town
68%–
fair 1.46–
Last 1064%9/14
Rotherham United
32%–
fair 3.15–
Last 1036%5/14
Double chance
Swindon Town or draw
76%–
fair 1.31–
Last 1075%15/20
Swindon Town or Rotherham United
74%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Rotherham United
49%–
fair 2.03–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%
Last 1060%12/20
Swindon Town clean sheet
28%
model chance
Rotherham United clean sheet
20%
model chance
Swindon Town goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 22%
Rotherham United goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Swindon Town corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Rotherham United corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Swindon Town cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Rotherham United cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Swindon TownRotherham United
- 15
- League position
- 22
- WDLLD
- Last 5
- DLLLD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
1
Swindon Town wins
0
Draws
0
Rotherham United wins
Last 1 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
01 Nov 2025
Last meeting
Swindon Town in the last 1 meetings
W
Key Players
League Two, this seasonSwindon Town
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan
8 goals
Most assists
Stephan Negru
2 assists
Best rated
Connor Ripley
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor RipleyGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.26 | ×2 |
| Stephan NegruDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Aaron DrinanAttacker | 12 (12) | 1047 | 8 | 1 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Anthony MundaMidfielder | 11 (11) | 878 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | |
| Jack ThomsonMidfielder | 10 (9) | 831 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.01 | |
| Mitchell ClarkDefender | 9 (9) | 787 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.50 | |
| Kaelan MajekodunmiDefender | 11 (8) | 765 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Ollie ClarkeMidfielder | 10 (9) | 644 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Billy KirkmanDefender | 9 (7) | 554 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| D. ButlerDefender | 6 (6) | 530 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | |
| Tom NicholsMidfielder | 8 (4) | 390 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | |
| Antwoine HackfordAttacker | 8 (4) | 349 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Joe SnowdonAttacker | 7 (4) | 343 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| James BallMidfielder | 7 (4) | 330 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| Matthew Virtue-ThickMidfielder | 6 (3) | 320 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 |
Rotherham United
Top scorer
Paul Mullin
6 goals
Most assists
Kian Spence
3 assists
Best rated
Lenny Agbaire
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel HallDefender | 12 (12) | 1063 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Sonny AljofreeDefender | 11 (11) | 935 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| Jili BuyabuMidfielder | 12 (10) | 880 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×3 |
| Paul MullinAttacker | 12 (10) | 866 | 6 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| Brandon CoverMidfielder | 9 (9) | 727 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Josh AusterfieldMidfielder | 9 (8) | 680 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×3 |
| Julian EyestoneGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.13 | |
| Kian SpenceMidfielder | 10 (7) | 630 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.75 | |
| Ewan OtooDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Fábio André Tavares DesidérioAttacker | 7 (7) | 525 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Dominic IorfaDefender | 6 (6) | 504 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×3 |
| Ossama AshleyMidfielder | 8 (6) | 476 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Ted CannGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.31 | – |
| Kieran NgwenyaDefender | 9 (4) | 419 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | |
| Tom BradshawAttacker | 12 (4) | 414 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.59 |