América vs Toluca – Match preview
América-:-
TolucaEstadio AztecaRound 15
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
59%
17%
AméricaDraw 24%Toluca
1.6 – 0.7
Expected score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
Match Result
América
50%–
fair 2.01–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
23%–
fair 4.26–
Last 1040%8/20
Toluca
27%–
fair 3.75–
Last 1010%2/20
Draw no bet
América
65%–
fair 1.53–
Last 1083%10/12
Toluca
35%–
fair 2.87–
Last 1017%2/12
Double chance
América or draw
73%–
fair 1.36–
Last 1090%18/20
América or Toluca
77%–
fair 1.31–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Toluca
50%–
fair 1.99–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 2.0–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 75% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Both teams to score
67%
Last 1080%16/20
América clean sheet
20%
model chance
Toluca clean sheet
16%
model chance
América goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Toluca goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 10.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
América corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Toluca corners
O2.5 94%O3.5 85%O4.5 71%O5.5 55%O6.5 39%O7.5 25%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
América cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Toluca cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 70%O2.5 44%O3.5 23%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AméricaToluca
- 1
- League position
- 6
- WDWDL
- Last 5
- DLDLW
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 15
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
6
América wins
3
Draws
5
Toluca wins
Last 14 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
19 Apr 2026
Last meeting
América in the last 5 meetings
WLLDW
Injuries & Suspensions
América
No reported absences
Toluca
- Marcel RuizCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonAmérica
Top scorer
Henry Martin
7 goals
Most assists
Kevin Álvarez
4 assists
Best rated
Fernando Tapia
7.49
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagoberto EspinozaDefender | 11 (11) | 867 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Henry MartinAttacker | 10 (10) | 828 | 7 | 3 | – | 7.42 | ×2 |
| Érick SánchezMidfielder | 11 (8) | 743 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Rodolfo CotaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Cristián BorjaDefender | 9 (6) | 603 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Raphael VeigaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 594 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.15 | ×2 |
| Ramón JuárezDefender | 7 (6) | 547 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.14 | |
| Miguel VázquezDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Brian RodríguezMidfielder | 8 (5) | 508 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.48 | – |
| Alan CervantesMidfielder | 7 (6) | 507 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Israel ReyesDefender | 7 (5) | 470 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Isaías ViolanteMidfielder | 8 (5) | 428 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Kevin ÁlvarezDefender | 7 (4) | 402 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Emilio LaraDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.43 | – |
| Álex ZendejasMidfielder | 5 (4) | 324 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 |
Toluca
Top scorer
Federico Viñas
4 goals
Most assists
Helinho
5 assists
Best rated
Alexis Vega
7.45
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico PereiraDefender | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.33 | |
| Franco RomeroMidfielder | 9 (8) | 680 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×3 |
| Everardo del VillarDefender | 8 (8) | 644 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.89 | |
| Bruno MéndezDefender | 8 (7) | 628 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | |
| Alexis VegaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 626 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.45 | ×2 |
| Luis GarcíaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Jesús GallardoDefender | 8 (6) | 608 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.88 | |
| HelinhoMidfielder | 10 (6) | 591 | 3 | 5 | – | 7.41 | ×2 |
| Nicolás CastroMidfielder | 9 (5) | 579 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Jorge DíazMidfielder | 11 (5) | 529 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Federico ViñasAttacker | 8 (5) | 508 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Jesús AnguloMidfielder | 10 (6) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| PaulinhoAttacker | 5 (5) | 441 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Diego BarbosaDefender | 6 (6) | 403 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Brian GarcíaDefender | 7 (4) | 383 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 |