Atlas vs Pachuca – Match preview
-:-
Estadio JaliscoRound 16
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
11%
71%
AtlasDraw 18%Pachuca
0.7 – 2.2
Expected score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
33%
40%
AtlasDraw 27%Pachuca
First Half Result
23%
32%
AtlasDraw 45%Pachuca
Team to Score First
38%
54%
AtlasNo goal 8%Pachuca
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Atlas Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Atlas Over 1.5 Goals
34%
Pachuca Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Atlas Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Match Result
Atlas
44%–
model 2.28–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.88–
Last 1035%7/20
Pachuca
30%–
model 3.30–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Atlas
59%–
model 1.69–
Last 1062%8/13
Pachuca
41%–
model 2.45–
Last 1038%5/13
Double chance
Atlas or draw
70%–
model 1.44–
Last 1075%15/20
Atlas or Pachuca
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Pachuca
56%–
model 1.78–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%
Last 1070%14/20
Atlas clean sheet
22%
model chance
Pachuca clean sheet
21%
model chance
Atlas goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Pachuca goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Atlas corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Pachuca corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Atlas cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Pachuca cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 47%O3.5 25%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026AtlasPachuca
- 2
- League position
- 13
- WWLWD
- Last 5
- WLLDL
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 4.70
- xG for (L5)
- 1.93
- 4.74
- xG against (L5)
- 4.94
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Atlas wins
1
Draws
7
Pachuca wins
Last 12 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
25%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
15 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Atlas in the last 5 meetings
LLDWL
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonAtlas
Top scorer
Luís André Leite Esteves
5 goals
Most assists
Kevin Zenón
3 assists
Best rated
Kevin Zenón
7.71
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo VargasGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Luís André Leite EstevesMidfielder | 14 (11) | 999 | 5 | 2 | 1.08 | 7.20 | |
| Florián MonzónAttacker | 11 (11) | 955 | 4 | 1 | 0.75 | 6.89 | |
| Manuel CapassoDefender | 11 (10) | 829 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.99 | ×3 |
| Milton ValenzuelaDefender | 12 (8) | 815 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| Jorge SánchezDefender | 10 (8) | 726 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.63 | |
| Ryan MmaeeAttacker | 11 (9) | 724 | 3 | 0 | 1.05 | 6.81 | – |
| Paulo RamírezMidfielder | 13 (8) | 723 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.57 | – |
| Juan Sánchez PurataDefender | 9 (8) | 715 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.72 | ×3 |
| Édgar ZaldívarMidfielder | 13 (8) | 689 | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.76 | |
| Rodrigo Adrián SchlegelDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Adonis FríasDefender | 7 (7) | 586 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | |
| Arturo GonzálezMidfielder | 10 (8) | 569 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 6.99 | – |
| Sergio HernandezMidfielder | 12 (4) | 535 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.59 | ×3 |
| DukMidfielder | 7 (7) | 482 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.71 |
Pachuca
Top scorer
Salomón Rondón
13 goals
Most assists
Rodolfo Pizarro
4 assists
Best rated
Salomón Rondón
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Agustín Moreno LunaGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.17 | ×2 |
| Salomón RondónAttacker | 14 (14) | 1172 | 13 | 1 | 0.95 | 7.50 | – |
| Sergio Damián BarretoDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.96 | ×6 |
| Christian RiveraMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1142 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Eduardo Gabriel dos Santos BauermannDefender | 13 (13) | 1113 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | ×3 |
| Oussama IdrissiMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1011 | 2 | 3 | 0.32 | 7.10 | ×4 |
| Francisco VenegasDefender | 12 (12) | 986 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.82 | ×6 |
| Rodolfo PizarroMidfielder | 13 (8) | 741 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 6.83 | ×2 |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista GutiérrezMidfielder | 13 (9) | 713 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.79 | |
| Javier VallejoAttacker | 14 (5) | 656 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Carlos Adrián Sánchez NavaDefender | 9 (6) | 570 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.01 | ×5 |
| Elías MontielMidfielder | 7 (7) | 519 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Sergio Lenin RodriguezMidfielder | 7 (6) | 451 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | |
| KenedyMidfielder | 9 (7) | 442 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×3 |
| Jorge Ernesto Berlanga VázquezDefender | 5 (4) | 391 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.74 | – |
More on Atlas vs Pachuca
- Atlas stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Pachuca stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga MX (Mexico) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture