Atlas vs Puebla – Match preview
Atlas-:-
PueblaEstadio JaliscoRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
24%
41%
AtlasDraw 35%Puebla
Bookmaker implied
54%
21%
AtlasDraw 25%Puebla
0.6 – 0.9
Expected score
21%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Atlas
52%1.76
fair 1.91-8%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
26%3.77
fair 3.87-3%
Last 1035%7/20
Puebla
22%4.56
fair 4.560%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Atlas
70%1.29
fair 1.42-9%
Last 1069%9/13
Puebla
30%3.35
fair 3.38-1%
Last 1031%4/13
Double chance
Atlas or draw
78%1.20
fair 1.28-6%
Last 1080%16/20
Atlas or Puebla
74%1.27
fair 1.35-6%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Puebla
48%2.06
fair 2.09-2%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 1.27 / 3.77 | 60%12/20 | none |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | 1.85 / 1.99 | 35%7/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | 3.08 / 1.37 | 20%4/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | 5.83 / 1.13 | 20%4/20 | none |
Both teams to score
53%Yes 1.80
Last 1045%9/20
Atlas clean sheet
30%
model chance
Puebla clean sheet
23%
model chance
Atlas goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Puebla goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 10.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Atlas corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 83%O4.5 68%O5.5 51%O6.5 35%O7.5 22%
Puebla corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Atlas cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Puebla cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AtlasPuebla
- 3
- League position
- 12
- WDWDD
- Last 5
- DDLDL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
6
Atlas wins
2
Draws
5
Puebla wins
Last 13 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
46%
Over 2.5 goals
10 Jul 2026
Last meeting
Atlas in the last 5 meetings
LWWWW
Confirmed Line-ups
Atlas
4-4-2- 12Camilo VargasGoalkeeper
- 3Jorge SánchezDefender
- 19Adonis FríasDefender
- 44Juan José PurataDefender
- 16Milton ValenzuelaDefender
- 58Arturo GonzálezAttacker
- 18Elías MontielMidfielder
- 15Paulo RamírezMidfielder
- 10Luís André Leite EstevesMidfielder
- 9Florián MonzónAttacker
- 8Ryan MmaeeAttacker
Puebla
4-2-3-1- 28Daniel GutiérrezGoalkeeper
- 12Iker MorenoDefender
- 5Facundo AlmadaDefender
- 4Juan Pablo VargasDefender
- 7Fernando MonárrezDefender
- 24Alejandro OrganistaMidfielder
- 16Alonso RamírezMidfielder
- 27Brayan GarnicaMidfielder
- 10Mathías TomásMidfielder
- 25Heriberto JuradoMidfielder
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonAtlas
Top scorer
Luís André Leite Esteves
4 goals
Most assists
Kevin Zenón
2 assists
Best rated
Kevin Zenón
7.40
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo VargasGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Luís André Leite EstevesMidfielder | 11 (8) | 731 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.14 | |
| Florián MonzónAttacker | 8 (8) | 722 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.81 | |
| Milton ValenzuelaDefender | 9 (7) | 669 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | |
| Manuel CapassoDefender | 9 (8) | 649 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×3 |
| Rodrigo Adrián SchlegelDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Ryan MmaeeAttacker | 8 (7) | 561 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Édgar ZaldívarMidfielder | 10 (7) | 543 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Paulo RamírezDefender | 10 (5) | 543 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Juan Sánchez PurataDefender | 6 (6) | 520 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Arturo GonzálezMidfielder | 8 (7) | 492 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.06 | – |
| DukMidfielder | 7 (7) | 482 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Jorge SánchezDefender | 7 (5) | 456 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Sergio HernandezMidfielder | 9 (3) | 406 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Elías MontielMidfielder | 4 (4) | 343 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
Puebla
Top scorer
Eduardo Mustre Torres
3 goals
Most assists
Juan Pablo Vargas
2 assists
Best rated
Kevin Velasco
7.16
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo AlmadaDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Juan Pablo VargasDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.85 | |
| Daniel GutiérrezGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Alejandro OrganistaMidfielder | 12 (12) | 997 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | |
| Fernando MonárrezDefender | 12 (12) | 981 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Brayan GarnicaMidfielder | 10 (9) | 712 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Iker MorenoDefender | 11 (8) | 709 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Sergio SanabriaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 691 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Kevin VelascoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 587 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Carlos BaltazarMidfielder | 9 (7) | 569 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Mathías TomásMidfielder | 9 (5) | 476 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Eduardo Mustre TorresAttacker | 7 (4) | 407 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.99 | |
| Alonso RamírezMidfielder | 7 (5) | 400 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Ignacio Maestro PuchAttacker | 7 (4) | 396 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Emiliano GómezMidfielder | 4 (4) | 353 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 6.15 | 1.06 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.87 | 1.92 |
| Betfair | 1.04 | 9.50 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.49 | 1.31 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 1.89 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.68 | 2.25 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 5.50 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.83 | 1.33 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 1.44 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.01 | 26.00 |
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Betano.dk | 1.05 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 4.10 | 1.80 |
| Betinia | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| Betsonic | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 1.01 | 11.50 |
| Campobet | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 2.59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.77 | 1.27 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Home | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 4.55 | 2.58 | 5.25 | 9.60 | 46.00 | 15.50 | 7.40 | 15.50 | 26.00 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 2.58 | 5.25 | 9.60 | 46.00 | 15.50 | 7.40 | 15.75 | 26.00 |