Sarmiento vs Rosario Central – Match preview
Sarmiento-:-
Rosario CentralEstadio Eva Perón de JunínRound 15
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
37%
35%
SARMDraw 28%Rosario Central
Bookmaker implied
26%
43%
SARMDraw 31%Rosario Central
1.2 – 1.1
Expected score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Sarmiento
27%3.60
fair 3.66-2%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
30%3.00
fair 3.32-10%
Last 1015%3/20
Rosario Central
43%2.15
fair 2.35-9%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Sarmiento
39%2.40
fair 2.55-6%
Last 1035%6/17
Rosario Central
61%1.43
fair 1.64-13%
Last 1065%11/17
Double chance
Sarmiento or draw
57%1.64
fair 1.74-6%
Last 1045%9/20
Sarmiento or Rosario Central
70%1.35
fair 1.43-6%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Rosario Central
73%1.25
fair 1.38-9%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.2–1.4 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
49%Yes 2.05
Last 1050%10/20
Sarmiento clean sheet
20%
model chance
Rosario Central clean sheet
33%
model chance
Sarmiento goals
O0.5 67%O1.5 30%O2.5 10%
Rosario Central goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Sarmiento corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 60%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Rosario Central corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 5.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Sarmiento cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 76%O2.5 52%O3.5 30%
Rosario Central cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Julián Contrera Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 58% | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | -21% |
Ángel Di María Rosario Central | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | 42% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -28% |
Giovanni Cantizano Rosario Central | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 45% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -18% |
Jáminton Campaz Rosario Central | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 48% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -29% |
Cristian Zabala Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -30% |
Marco Rubén Rosario Central | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%3/5 | – |
Junior Marabel Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -9% |
Junior Marabel Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | 49% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -34% |
Ignacio Ovando Rosario Central | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 41% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -35% |
Ángel Di María Rosario Central | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 46% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -40% |
Elián Giménez Sarmiento | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 31% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -58% |
Ignacio Ovando Rosario Central | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.40 | 3.40 | 22% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -25% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SARMRosario Central
- 16
- League position
- 2
- DDWLD
- Last 5
- WWDWW
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
2
SARM wins
0
Draws
4
Rosario Central wins
Last 6 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
20 Apr 2026
Last meeting
SARM in the last 5 meetings
LLLLW
Key Players
Liga Profesional de Fútbol, this seasonSARM
Top scorer
Junior Marabel
14 goals
Most assists
Junior Marabel
5 assists
Best rated
Julián Mavilla
7.20
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian ZabalaMidfielder | 28 (27) | 2446 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.91 | ×6 |
| Juan Manuel InsaurraldeDefender | 26 (26) | 2273 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×9 |
| Junior MarabelAttacker | 29 (27) | 2268 | 14 | 5 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Santiago SalleMidfielder | 28 (22) | 1925 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.55 | ×9 |
| Renzo OrihuelaDefender | 19 (18) | 1664 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Mauricio MartínezMidfielder | 23 (17) | 1649 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×6 |
| Lucas Matías Suárez ScalareaDefender | 22 (19) | 1590 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.64 | ×5 |
| Julián ContreraMidfielder | 24 (18) | 1469 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.61 | ×9 |
| Javier BurraiGoalkeeper | 16 (16) | 1440 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Thiago SantamaríaDefender | 16 (13) | 1015 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.59 | ×3 |
| Manuel GarcíaMidfielder | 17 (10) | 1014 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×4 |
| Thyago AyalaGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Julián MavillaMidfielder | 12 (11) | 864 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.20 | |
| Diego ChurínAttacker | 22 (8) | 849 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Agustín SeyralDefender | 11 (8) | 718 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
Rosario Central
Top scorer
Ángel Di María
10 goals
Most assists
Ángel Di María
5 assists
Best rated
Sebastian Zaracho
8.06
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Tomás Pizarro DurcudoyMidfielder | 30 (30) | 2489 | 1 | 4 | – | 7.06 | ×5 |
| Franco IbarraMidfielder | 28 (27) | 2451 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.20 | ×11 |
| Ignacio OvandoDefender | 27 (27) | 2397 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.05 | ×4 |
| Conan LedesmaGoalkeeper | 26 (26) | 2370 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Gastón ÁvilaDefender | 25 (23) | 2108 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.17 | ×3 |
| Ángel Di MaríaMidfielder | 26 (23) | 2092 | 10 | 5 | – | 7.44 | ×5 |
| Agustín SándezDefender | 25 (23) | 1858 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.75 | ×7 |
| Emanuel CoronelDefender | 25 (21) | 1806 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | ×7 |
| Enzo CopettiAttacker | 28 (18) | 1708 | 6 | 1 | – | 6.75 | ×4 |
| Jáminton CampazMidfielder | 23 (17) | 1575 | 4 | 4 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Enzo GiménezMidfielder | 17 (17) | 1441 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×5 |
| Alexis SotoDefender | 22 (12) | 1238 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Alejo VelizAttacker | 17 (13) | 1132 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.98 | |
| Julián FernándezAttacker | 17 (11) | 1047 | 3 | 3 | – | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Facundo MalloDefender | 15 (8) | 843 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.48 | 1.49 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Betano.dk | 1.12 | 2.55 |