Lens vs Toulouse Prediction – Match preview
Lens-:-
ToulouseStade Bollaert-DelelisRound 11
Our prediction
Lens to win (40%)
Lens 40% · Draw 21% · Toulouse 38% · Over 2.5 goals: 74% · Both teams to score: 73%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
40%
39%
LensDraw 21%Toulouse
Bookmaker implied
51%
25%
LensDraw 24%Toulouse
2.0 – 1.9
Expected score
74%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
44%
31%
LensDraw 25%Toulouse
First Half Result
36%
25%
LensDraw 39%Toulouse
Team to Score First
55%
40%
LensNo goal 5%Toulouse
Probability
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
Lens Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Lens Over 1.5 Goals
48%
Toulouse Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Lens Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026LensToulouse
- 11
- League position
- 12
- LLWWW
- Last 5
- WLDWD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 2.23
- xG for (L5)
- 3.50
- 4.16
- xG against (L5)
- 2.26
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
7
Lens wins
1
Draws
1
Toulouse wins
Last 9 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
56%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Lens in the last 5 meetings
WWWDL
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonLens
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin
5 goals
Most assists
Florian Thauvin
8 assists
Best rated
Florian Thauvin
7.82
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin RisserGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Florian ThauvinAttacker | 10 (10) | 877 | 5 | 8 | 0.70 | 7.82 | ×3 |
| Matthieu UdolMidfielder | 9 (9) | 738 | 2 | 0 | 0.27 | 6.98 | |
| Ruben AguilarMidfielder | 9 (7) | 625 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Michaël CuisanceMidfielder | 9 (7) | 572 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.54 | |
| Kyllian AntonioDefender | 7 (5) | 507 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Yassine TitraouiMidfielder | 8 (6) | 491 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.63 | ×2 |
| Amadou HaidaraMidfielder | 9 (5) | 474 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.72 | |
| Ismaëlo GaniouDefender | 5 (5) | 439 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Florian SotocaAttacker | 7 (5) | 412 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.99 | – |
| Abdallah SimaAttacker | 5 (5) | 384 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Michal SkorasAttacker | 8 (4) | 379 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Jean-Clair TodiboDefender | 6 (5) | 354 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.56 | – |
| Saud AbdulhamidMidfielder | 5 (4) | 343 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.89 | |
| Samson BaidooDefender | 5 (3) | 337 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.67 | ×2 |
Toulouse
Top scorer
Casper Tengstedt
5 goals
Most assists
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
6 assists
Best rated
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
7.87
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Cásseres Jr.Midfielder | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 7.87 | ×3 |
| Mark McKenzieDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | 0.36 | 7.02 | |
| Christ TapéDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Thomas JørgensenMidfielder | 10 (10) | 882 | 3 | 1 | 0.54 | 7.04 | |
| Guillaume RestesGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 791 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Jacen Russell-RoweAttacker | 10 (8) | 628 | 2 | 0 | 0.56 | 6.71 | |
| Rasmus NicolaisenDefender | 7 (7) | 624 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Casper TengstedtAttacker | 8 (6) | 585 | 5 | 1 | 1.01 | 7.17 | – |
| Niko SigurMidfielder | 7 (5) | 515 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Rafik MessaliDefender | 8 (6) | 472 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Santiago HidalgoAttacker | 9 (4) | 321 | 1 | 0 | 0.38 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Ismail DialloDefender | 7 (4) | 317 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
| Alexis VossahMidfielder | 8 (3) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Seny KoumbassaDefender | 6 (3) | 295 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | |
| Niklas SchmidtMidfielder | 6 (2) | 252 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.13 | 1.76 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.39 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.89 | 1.99 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.14 | 1.77 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 | 2.20 |
| Betano.dk | 13.00 | 11.00 |
More on Lens vs Toulouse
- Lens stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Toulouse stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 1 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture