Nice vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction – Match preview
Nice-:-
Paris Saint GermainAllianz RivieraRound 11
Our prediction
Paris Saint Germain to win (57%)
Nice 22% · Draw 21% · Paris Saint Germain 57%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
29%
49%
NiceDraw 22%Paris Saint Germain
Bookmaker implied
16%
65%
NiceDraw 19%Paris Saint Germain
1.4 – 1.9
Expected score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
15%
66%
NiceDraw 19%Paris Saint Germain
First Half Result
19%
47%
NiceDraw 34%Paris Saint Germain
Team to Score First
34%
61%
NiceNo goal 5%Paris Saint Germain
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
Nice Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Nice Over 1.5 Goals
21%
Paris Saint Germain Over 0.5 Goals
87%
Nice Over 0.5 Goals
49%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026NiceParis Saint Germain
- 6
- League position
- 1
- WWWLW
- Last 5
- WWWWW
- 2.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 14
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 5.88
- xG for (L5)
- 5.22
- 5.22
- xG against (L5)
- 3.04
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
6
Nice wins
4
Draws
19
Paris Saint Germain wins
Last 29 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
69%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Nice in the last 5 meetings
LLWDL
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonNice
Top scorer
Elye Wahi
6 goals
Most assists
Gauthier Hein
3 assists
Best rated
Jonathan Clauss
7.40
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann DioufGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| Youssouf NdayishimiyeDefender | 10 (10) | 868 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×3 |
| Jonathan ClaussMidfielder | 10 (10) | 837 | 3 | 1 | 0.20 | 7.40 | – |
| Mohamed AbdelmonemDefender | 10 (9) | 737 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Elye WahiAttacker | 9 (8) | 694 | 6 | 2 | 3.41 | 7.06 | ×4 |
| Niels NkounkouMidfielder | 8 (8) | 664 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Gauthier HeinAttacker | 10 (7) | 661 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 7.02 | – |
| Djibril CoulibalyMidfielder | 9 (8) | 630 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.62 | |
| Mohamed AmouraAttacker | 8 (7) | 624 | 2 | 2 | 0.79 | 7.19 | ×3 |
| Axel WitselMidfielder | 8 (7) | 589 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Sofiane DiopAttacker | 10 (5) | 443 | 2 | 3 | 0.70 | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Hicham BoudaouiMidfielder | 6 (4) | 412 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 6.93 | – |
| Alidu SeiduDefender | 4 (2) | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.72 | – |
| Nathan NgoumouAttacker | 7 (2) | 176 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.57 | – |
| Melvin BardMidfielder | 2 (2) | 172 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
Paris Saint Germain
Top scorer
Ferran Torres
4 goals
Most assists
Mika Godts
3 assists
Best rated
Vitinha
7.80
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey SafonovGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Warren Zaïre-EmeryDefender | 10 (9) | 748 | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | 6.88 | – |
| VitinhaMidfielder | 9 (7) | 676 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.80 | ×2 |
| Ferran TorresAttacker | 10 (7) | 656 | 4 | 1 | 1.47 | 7.02 | – |
| Willian PachoDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Achraf HakimiDefender | 8 (7) | 569 | 3 | 2 | 0.81 | 7.27 | |
| Maghnes AklioucheMidfielder | 9 (6) | 550 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.90 | |
| João NevesMidfielder | 8 (7) | 528 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 7.01 | – |
| Désiré DouéAttacker | 9 (6) | 527 | 1 | 1 | 0.40 | 7.42 | – |
| Fabián RuizMidfielder | 8 (5) | 502 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 7.34 | |
| Lucas HernándezDefender | 7 (5) | 501 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | |
| MarquinhosDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.19 | |
| Ilya ZabarnyiDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 2 | 0 | 0.13 | 7.40 | |
| Khvicha KvaratskheliaAttacker | 7 (5) | 377 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Mika GodtsAttacker | 9 (3) | 349 | 2 | 3 | 0.74 | 7.15 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.95 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.96 | 1.94 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 1.02 |
More on Nice vs Paris Saint Germain
- Nice stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Paris Saint Germain stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 1 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture