Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Prediction – Match preview
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Stade VélodromeRound 11
Our prediction
Olympique Marseille to win (70%)
Olympique Marseille 70% · Draw 16% · Le Mans 13%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
76%
11%
Olympique MarseilleDraw 13%Le Mans
Bookmaker implied
66%
14%
Olympique MarseilleDraw 20%Le Mans
3.2 – 1.2
Expected score
81%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Olympique MarseilleLe Mans
- 4
- League position
- 15
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- DLDLL
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 15
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- 4.29
- xG for (L5)
- 3.49
- 5.45
- xG against (L5)
- 3.40
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonOlympique Marseille
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri
7 goals
Most assists
Amine Gouiri
3 assists
Best rated
Amine Gouiri
7.43
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey de LangeGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.16 | |
| CJ Egan-RileyDefender | 10 (10) | 885 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.96 | |
| Amine GouiriAttacker | 10 (10) | 856 | 7 | 3 | 1.56 | 7.43 | |
| Amine HaritMidfielder | 10 (10) | 798 | 3 | 1 | 0.13 | 7.08 | |
| Timothy WeahDefender | 9 (9) | 797 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Himad AbdelliMidfielder | 10 (10) | 786 | 3 | 0 | 0.31 | 7.02 | |
| EmersonDefender | 9 (9) | 733 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 6.93 | – |
| Igor PaixãoMidfielder | 9 (9) | 726 | 2 | 2 | 0.80 | 7.21 | |
| Pierre-Emile HøjbjergMidfielder | 8 (8) | 714 | 1 | 0 | 0.37 | 7.18 | |
| Nayef AguerdDefender | 10 (7) | 688 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.83 | |
| Angel GomesMidfielder | 10 (5) | 511 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Tochukwu NnadiMidfielder | 7 (4) | 408 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 6.81 | |
| Geoffrey KondogbiaMidfielder | 6 (3) | 222 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Keyliane AbdallahAttacker | 9 (0) | 181 | 2 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.70 | |
| Ulisses GarciaDefender | 6 (1) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
Le Mans
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta
4 goals
Most assists
Lucas Bretelle
2 assists
Best rated
Lucas Bretelle
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis MafoutaAttacker | 10 (10) | 823 | 4 | 1 | 0.68 | 6.96 | |
| Nicolas KocikGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 711 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Lucas BretelleMidfielder | 9 (8) | 674 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Samuel YohouDefender | 8 (7) | 646 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Lucas CalodatMidfielder | 10 (7) | 637 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 6.90 | – |
| Harold VoyerDefender | 7 (7) | 617 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Rayan BambaDefender | 8 (6) | 574 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.64 | |
| Noa BoisséDefender | 9 (6) | 551 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | ×4 |
| Dame GueyeAttacker | 10 (6) | 540 | 1 | 0 | 1.07 | 6.60 | |
| Lucas BuadésMidfielder | 6 (6) | 511 | 1 | 0 | 0.63 | 6.90 | |
| Jean VercruysseMidfielder | 9 (6) | 507 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.58 | |
| Alexandre LaurayMidfielder | 8 (6) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×4 |
| Antoine RabillardAttacker | 8 (3) | 324 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Habib DialloAttacker | 7 (4) | 296 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Djibril SidibéDefender | 5 (3) | 278 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.41 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 1.90 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 11.25 | 5.10 |
More on Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans
- Olympique Marseille stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Le Mans stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 1 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture