Troyes vs Le Havre Prediction – Match preview
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Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du BasRound 11
Our prediction
Le Havre to win (44%)
Troyes 33% · Draw 22% · Le Havre 44%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
20%
62%
TroyesDraw 18%Le Havre
Bookmaker implied
46%
28%
TroyesDraw 26%Le Havre
1.4 – 2.5
Expected score
74%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
54%
22%
TroyesDraw 24%Le Havre
First Half Result
39%
20%
TroyesDraw 41%Le Havre
Team to Score First
60%
34%
TroyesNo goal 6%Le Havre
Probability
Both Teams to Score
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Troyes Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Troyes Over 1.5 Goals
52%
Le Havre Over 0.5 Goals
59%
Troyes Over 0.5 Goals
81%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026TroyesLe Havre
- 17
- League position
- 18
- LWDLL
- Last 5
- LLLLL
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 15
- 2.68
- xG for (L5)
- 5.16
- 2.62
- xG against (L5)
- 4.35
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
1
Troyes wins
0
Draws
1
Le Havre wins
Last 2 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Troyes in the last 2 meetings
LW
Injuries & Suspensions
Troyes
- Junior DiazYellow Card Suspension
Le Havre
- Felix MambimbiAchilles tendon rupture
Key Players
Ligue 1, this seasonTroyes
Top scorer
Mouhamed Diop
1 goals
Most assists
Adrien Monfray
1 assists
Best rated
Hillel Konaté
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien MonfrayDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.13 | – |
| Junior DiazDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×5 |
| Mouhamed DiopMidfielder | 10 (10) | 822 | 1 | 1 | 0.54 | 6.81 | |
| Antoine MilleMidfielder | 10 (9) | 806 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | 6.96 | ×3 |
| Karim DermaneMidfielder | 9 (8) | 714 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 7.01 | |
| Lucas MaronnierDefender | 9 (8) | 678 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Patrick BeachGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Renaud RipartAttacker | 10 (7) | 608 | 1 | 0 | 0.74 | 6.65 | |
| Merwan IfnaouiMidfielder | 7 (7) | 580 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.82 | – |
| Anis OuzenadjiDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Kandet DiawaraAttacker | 10 (4) | 442 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.70 | – |
| Hugo PicardMidfielder | 8 (4) | 366 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Iron GomisMidfielder | 9 (4) | 356 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Jérémy Le DouaronAttacker | 8 (3) | 341 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.79 | |
| Paolo GozziDefender | 4 (4) | 310 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 |
Le Havre
Top scorer
Josh Maja
4 goals
Most assists
Rayan Fofana
1 assists
Best rated
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon EbonogMidfielder | 10 (10) | 877 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.83 | |
| Ahmed ToubaDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.64 | ×2 |
| Amir RichardsonMidfielder | 10 (9) | 801 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.76 | |
| Ally SamattaAttacker | 10 (9) | 741 | 2 | 0 | 0.42 | 7.11 | – |
| Ayumu SekoDefender | 8 (8) | 691 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Junior MwangaDefender | 9 (7) | 620 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.62 | |
| Josh MajaAttacker | 10 (7) | 609 | 4 | 0 | 2.14 | 7.01 | – |
| Rassoul NdiayeMidfielder | 8 (6) | 495 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.91 | |
| Gauthier GallonGoalkeeper | 6 (5) | 451 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Rayan FofanaAttacker | 8 (4) | 420 | 2 | 1 | 0.63 | 6.86 | – |
| Sota NakamuraAttacker | 9 (4) | 387 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 6.78 | |
| Enzo Koffi VinetteAttacker | 9 (2) | 333 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.74 | – |
| Elias JelertDefender | 4 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Lionel Mpasi-NzauGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.50 | |
| Kaito MizutaMidfielder | 7 (3) | 259 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | 6.86 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.06 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.51 | 2.60 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.50 | 2.58 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.06 | 1.84 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.06 | 1.84 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 15.00 | 9.50 |
More on Troyes vs Le Havre
- Troyes stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Le Havre stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ligue 1 (France) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture