New England vs Philadelphia Union Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Gillette Stadium
Our prediction
New England to win (44%)
New England 44% · Draw 22% · Philadelphia Union 34% · Over 2.5 goals: 70% · Both teams to score: 69%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
44%
34%
New EnglandDraw 22%Philadelphia Union
1.9 – 1.7
Expected score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026New EnglandPhiladelphia Union
- 5
- League position
- 11
- LLWWW
- Last 5
- WLDLD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 5.82
- xG for (L5)
- 8.97
- 8.43
- xG against (L5)
- 3.85
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
New England wins
3
Draws
8
Philadelphia Union wins
Last 16 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
New England in the last 5 meetings
WWLLL
Key Players
Major League Soccer, this seasonNew England
Top scorer
Carles Gil
13 goals
Most assists
Dor Turgeman
8 assists
Best rated
Carles Gil
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt TurnerGoalkeeper | 34 (34) | 3059 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.22 | |
| Carles GilMidfielder | 34 (34) | 2965 | 13 | 7 | 0.89 | 7.53 | ×4 |
| Will SandsDefender | 33 (33) | 2847 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.70 | ×5 |
| Dor TurgemanAttacker | 33 (33) | 2673 | 12 | 8 | 1.82 | 7.02 | |
| Brooklyn RainesMidfielder | 31 (29) | 2650 | 1 | 0 | 0.56 | 6.84 | ×10 |
| Ethan KohlerDefender | 30 (29) | 2562 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Mamadou FofanaDefender | 29 (27) | 2502 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.99 | ×4 |
| Peyton MillerDefender | 30 (23) | 2165 | 6 | 8 | 0.21 | 7.10 | ×3 |
| Matt PolsterMidfielder | 29 (26) | 2094 | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 6.83 | ×5 |
| Alhassan YusufMidfielder | 26 (21) | 1889 | 5 | 1 | 0.25 | 7.01 | ×4 |
| Luca LangoniAttacker | 25 (16) | 1348 | 3 | 7 | 0.27 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Ilay FeingoldDefender | 21 (14) | 1222 | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Griffin YowAttacker | 23 (9) | 882 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.55 | ×3 |
| Jackson YueillMidfielder | 22 (9) | 828 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.71 | |
| Dániel GazdagMidfielder | 12 (8) | 706 | 3 | 0 | 0.98 | 6.75 | – |
Philadelphia Union
Top scorer
Milan Iloski
19 goals
Most assists
Frankie Westfield
8 assists
Best rated
Milan Iloski
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan HarrielDefender | 34 (34) | 2996 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | 6.89 | ×4 |
| Andre BlakeGoalkeeper | 33 (33) | 2835 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Bruno DamianiAttacker | 33 (31) | 2596 | 13 | 3 | 2.08 | 7.20 | ×7 |
| Danley Jean JacquesMidfielder | 31 (30) | 2575 | 4 | 3 | 0.07 | 6.93 | ×8 |
| Milan IloskiAttacker | 31 (30) | 2546 | 19 | 2 | 1.25 | 7.30 | ×4 |
| Jovan LukićMidfielder | 32 (29) | 2458 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 6.73 | ×9 |
| Frankie WestfieldDefender | 30 (29) | 2444 | 0 | 8 | 0.08 | 7.10 | ×3 |
| Indiana VassilevMidfielder | 33 (29) | 2153 | 4 | 6 | 0.22 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Cavan SullivanMidfielder | 30 (22) | 1833 | 9 | 7 | 0.95 | 7.23 | ×2 |
| Kai WagnerDefender | 19 (19) | 1710 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 7.17 | ×4 |
| Neil PierreDefender | 19 (18) | 1560 | 5 | 0 | 0.60 | 7.15 | ×3 |
| Olwethu MakhanyaDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×5 |
| Jesús BuenoMidfielder | 24 (10) | 954 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.72 | ×6 |
| Japhet Sery LarsenDefender | 15 (12) | 953 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×5 |
| Quinn SullivanMidfielder | 19 (7) | 918 | 2 | 4 | 1.69 | 7.08 | ×3 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.01 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
More on New England vs Philadelphia Union
- New England stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Philadelphia Union stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Major League Soccer (United States) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture