Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction – Match preview
Aston Villa-:-
SunderlandVilla ParkRound 11
Our prediction
Aston Villa to win (52%)
Aston Villa 52% · Draw 21% · Sunderland 26% · Over 2.5 goals: 67% · Both teams to score: 66%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
52%
27%
Aston VillaDraw 21%Sunderland
Bookmaker implied
55%
21%
Aston VillaDraw 24%Sunderland
2.0 – 1.4
Expected score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
46%
30%
Aston VillaDraw 24%Sunderland
First Half Result
37%
24%
Aston VillaDraw 39%Sunderland
Team to Score First
55%
40%
Aston VillaNo goal 5%Sunderland
Probability
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
Aston Villa Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals
50%
Sunderland Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Aston Villa Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Aston VillaSunderland
- 10
- League position
- 19
- DDWWD
- Last 5
- WLDLL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 5.34
- xG for (L5)
- 5.33
- 7.85
- xG against (L5)
- 2.23
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Aston Villa wins
1
Draws
0
Sunderland wins
Last 2 meetings
4.5
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Aston Villa in the last 2 meetings
WD
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonAston Villa
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson
6 goals
Most assists
John McGinn
4 assists
Best rated
Nicolas Jackson
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor LindelöfDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Boubacar KamaraMidfielder | 10 (10) | 883 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.85 | – |
| Zion SuzukiGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | |
| John McGinnMidfielder | 10 (9) | 794 | 2 | 4 | 1.58 | 6.83 | ×2 |
| Nicolas JacksonAttacker | 9 (9) | 728 | 6 | 1 | 1.25 | 7.30 | ×2 |
| Matty CashDefender | 8 (7) | 657 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×5 |
| Ian MaatsenDefender | 7 (7) | 600 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.42 | |
| Emiliano BuendíaMidfielder | 9 (7) | 588 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Pau TorresDefender | 7 (6) | 472 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.25 | – |
| Johan ManzambiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 467 | 2 | 3 | 0.31 | 7.13 | |
| Tyrone MingsDefender | 6 (4) | 441 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| João GomesMidfielder | 7 (5) | 406 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.40 | ×2 |
| Ross BarkleyMidfielder | 10 (4) | 387 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.70 | – |
| AlyssonAttacker | 9 (4) | 337 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 6.66 | ×2 |
| George Lawrence HemmingsMidfielder | 6 (4) | 319 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | – |
Sunderland
Top scorer
Enzo Le Fée
3 goals
Most assists
Enzo Le Fée
1 assists
Best rated
Granit Xhaka
7.24
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin RoefsGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Enzo Le FéeMidfielder | 10 (10) | 868 | 3 | 1 | 1.82 | 7.03 | – |
| Noah SadikiMidfielder | 10 (10) | 847 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Granit XhakaMidfielder | 10 (10) | 814 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Reinildo MandavaDefender | 9 (9) | 793 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Nordi MukieleDefender | 8 (8) | 682 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.01 | |
| Trai HumeDefender | 9 (7) | 642 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 6.78 | – |
| Brian BrobbeyAttacker | 8 (8) | 623 | 3 | 0 | 1.02 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Thomas MeunierDefender | 8 (7) | 538 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Nilson AnguloMidfielder | 9 (8) | 529 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Dan BallardDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Kevin DansoDefender | 5 (5) | 377 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.73 | |
| Luke O'NienMidfielder | 5 (4) | 368 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Wilson IsidorAttacker | 8 (1) | 263 | 1 | 0 | 0.67 | 6.69 | – |
| Chris RiggMidfielder | 6 (3) | 231 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.61 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.90 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.01 | 1.88 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.98 | 1.92 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 5.20 | 9.75 |
More on Aston Villa vs Sunderland
- Aston Villa stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Sunderland stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture