Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction – Match preview
Newcastle United-:-
ArsenalSt. James' ParkRound 11
Our prediction
Arsenal to win (54%)
Newcastle United 15% · Draw 32% · Arsenal 54% · Over 2.5 goals: 23% · Both teams to score: 26%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
15%
53%
Newcastle UnitedDraw 32%Arsenal
Bookmaker implied
18%
59%
Newcastle UnitedDraw 23%Arsenal
0.5 – 1.2
Expected score
23%
Over 2.5 goals
26%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
19%
57%
Newcastle UnitedDraw 24%Arsenal
First Half Result
19%
42%
Newcastle UnitedDraw 39%Arsenal
Team to Score First
33%
60%
Newcastle UnitedNo goal 7%Arsenal
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Newcastle United Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Newcastle United Over 1.5 Goals
23%
Arsenal Over 0.5 Goals
82%
Newcastle United Over 0.5 Goals
54%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Newcastle UnitedArsenal
- 12
- League position
- 1
- DLWLL
- Last 5
- WWWWW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- 3.68
- xG for (L5)
- 4.75
- 5.01
- xG against (L5)
- 2.66
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 4
Head to Head
5
Newcastle United wins
1
Draws
10
Arsenal wins
Last 16 meetings
2.1
Goals per game
19%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Newcastle United in the last 5 meetings
LLLLW
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonNewcastle United
Top scorer
Harvey Barnes
2 goals
Most assists
Harvey Barnes
2 assists
Best rated
Lewis Hall
7.13
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas HornicekGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Lewis HallDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | 7.13 | |
| Harvey BarnesMidfielder | 10 (10) | 887 | 2 | 2 | 0.91 | 6.80 | – |
| Malick ThiawDefender | 9 (8) | 716 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Yoane WissaAttacker | 10 (8) | 710 | 1 | 1 | 0.34 | 6.65 | ×3 |
| Sven BotmanDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Amar DedićDefender | 8 (7) | 625 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 6.57 | |
| Lewis MileyMidfielder | 8 (7) | 577 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Joe WillockMidfielder | 10 (7) | 573 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.79 | – |
| Nico GonzálezMidfielder | 8 (8) | 562 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | ×3 |
| Jacob MurphyMidfielder | 9 (5) | 434 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.85 | ×3 |
| William OsulaAttacker | 6 (4) | 354 | 1 | 1 | 0.48 | 6.73 | |
| Sean SteurMidfielder | 8 (3) | 339 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.54 | – |
| Anthony ElangaMidfielder | 6 (4) | 330 | 2 | 0 | 0.69 | 6.80 | |
| Matías Fernández-PardoAttacker | 6 (4) | 320 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.48 | – |
Arsenal
Top scorer
Martin Ødegaard
3 goals
Most assists
Declan Rice
5 assists
Best rated
Declan Rice
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David RayaGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.10 | |
| Gabriel MagalhãesDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | 0.29 | 7.12 | ×2 |
| Martin ØdegaardMidfielder | 10 (10) | 830 | 3 | 0 | 0.73 | 7.31 | |
| Declan RiceMidfielder | 10 (10) | 827 | 0 | 5 | 0.33 | 7.34 | |
| Riccardo CalafioriDefender | 10 (9) | 771 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Kai HavertzAttacker | 10 (9) | 736 | 3 | 0 | 0.41 | 6.87 | |
| Ezri KonsaDefender | 9 (8) | 731 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 7.06 | – |
| Bukayo SakaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 599 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Ben WhiteDefender | 7 (7) | 535 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Christos TzolisMidfielder | 7 (7) | 519 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Myles Lewis-SkellyDefender | 7 (6) | 433 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Noni MaduekeAttacker | 7 (4) | 427 | 1 | 0 | 0.67 | 7.06 | ×2 |
| Bruno GuimarãesMidfielder | 8 (4) | 389 | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 7.02 | – |
| Jurriën TimberDefender | 6 (3) | 335 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.67 | |
| Eberechi EzeMidfielder | 7 (2) | 231 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.54 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 2.00 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.89 | 1.99 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.87 | 2.01 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.84 | 2.06 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 14.00 | 1.03 |
More on Newcastle United vs Arsenal
- Newcastle United stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Arsenal stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture