Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction – Match preview
Orenburg-:-
Baltika KaliningradStadion GazovikRound 15
Our prediction
Baltika Kaliningrad to win (45%)
Orenburg 25% · Draw 31% · Baltika Kaliningrad 45% · Over 2.5 goals: 30% · Both teams to score: 37%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
25%
44%
OrenburgDraw 31%Baltika Kaliningrad
Bookmaker implied
32%
38%
OrenburgDraw 30%Baltika Kaliningrad
0.8 – 1.1
Expected score
30%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
36%
33%
OrenburgDraw 31%Baltika Kaliningrad
First Half Result
27%
25%
OrenburgDraw 48%Baltika Kaliningrad
Team to Score First
44%
44%
OrenburgNo goal 12%Baltika Kaliningrad
Probability
Both Teams to Score
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
Orenburg Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Orenburg Over 1.5 Goals
29%
Baltika Kaliningrad Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Orenburg Over 0.5 Goals
65%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026OrenburgBaltika Kaliningrad
- 10
- League position
- 9
- LDWDW
- Last 5
- LWDDD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 2.89
- xG for (L5)
- 4.90
- 6.11
- xG against (L5)
- 2.73
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
Orenburg wins
3
Draws
2
Baltika Kaliningrad wins
Last 8 meetings
2.4
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Orenburg in the last 5 meetings
DLWLW
Key Players
Premier League, this seasonOrenburg
Top scorer
G. Guzina
3 goals
Most assists
Ruslan Kul
3 assists
Best rated
J. Thompson
7.39
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. OvsyannikovGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1176 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | ×2 |
| Maxime SivisDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Jhon Alex PalaciosDefender | 13 (13) | 1142 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.70 | ×6 |
| E. BolotovMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1126 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.78 | ×6 |
| Emil TsenovDefender | 13 (12) | 1099 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| G. GuzinaAttacker | 14 (13) | 1067 | 3 | 1 | 0.21 | 7.09 | ×3 |
| Ruslan KulMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1062 | 2 | 3 | 0.60 | 6.99 | ×4 |
| Damián PueblaMidfielder | 14 (13) | 998 | 0 | 1 | 0.39 | 6.67 | ×3 |
| D. RybchinskiyMidfielder | 14 (14) | 994 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.79 | ×2 |
| A. TataevDefender | 13 (12) | 976 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.77 | ×7 |
| Egor NazarenkoMidfielder | 12 (5) | 556 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×2 |
| J. ThompsonMidfielder | 7 (6) | 490 | 3 | 3 | 0.66 | 7.39 | ×2 |
| Renat GolybinMidfielder | 12 (3) | 345 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.58 | – |
| D. KhotulevDefender | 5 (3) | 312 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×2 |
| Danila VedernikovDefender | 8 (3) | 292 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
Baltika Kaliningrad
Top scorer
B. Gil
5 goals
Most assists
Nathan Gassama
3 assists
Best rated
E. Ćivić
7.09
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeniy LatyshonokGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Mingiyan BeveevDefender | 14 (14) | 1130 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.52 | ×3 |
| Nathan GassamaDefender | 13 (13) | 1125 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 6.89 | – |
| Eduardo AndersonDefender | 13 (12) | 1045 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.91 | ×5 |
| S. VaratynovDefender | 12 (11) | 995 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Loris MouyokoloDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.84 | |
| Andrey MendelMidfielder | 12 (11) | 855 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.78 | ×4 |
| Maksim PetrovMidfielder | 14 (11) | 761 | 1 | 1 | 0.42 | 6.75 | |
| B. GilAttacker | 13 (8) | 744 | 5 | 1 | 1.31 | 6.94 | – |
| E. ĆivićDefender | 9 (7) | 609 | 1 | 0 | 0.29 | 7.09 | |
| Aymane MouridMidfielder | 8 (8) | 594 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Nikolai TitkovMidfielder | 7 (7) | 551 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Ivan BelikovMidfielder | 14 (3) | 536 | 1 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Konstantin ShiltsovMidfielder | 10 (6) | 516 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.68 | |
| Ilya PetrovMidfielder | 9 (6) | 510 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.91 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 1.75 |
| MelBet | 2.08 | 1.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 1.78 |
More on Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad
- Orenburg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Baltika Kaliningrad stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premier League (Russia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture