Aberdeen vs Falkirk – Match preview
Aberdeen-:-
FalkirkPittodrie StadiumRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
33%
27%
AberdeenDraw 40%Falkirk
Bookmaker implied
48%
26%
AberdeenDraw 26%Falkirk
0.7 – 0.6
Expected score
14%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Aberdeen
49%–
fair 2.06–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
25%–
fair 4.07–
Last 1015%3/20
Falkirk
27%–
fair 3.72–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Aberdeen
64%–
fair 1.55–
Last 1059%10/17
Falkirk
36%–
fair 2.81–
Last 1041%7/17
Double chance
Aberdeen or draw
73%–
fair 1.37–
Last 1065%13/20
Aberdeen or Falkirk
75%–
fair 1.33–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Falkirk
51%–
fair 1.95–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%
Last 1065%13/20
Aberdeen clean sheet
22%
model chance
Falkirk clean sheet
19%
model chance
Aberdeen goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Falkirk goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Aberdeen corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Falkirk corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Aberdeen cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Falkirk cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AberdeenFalkirk
- 7
- League position
- 9
- WLDWD
- Last 5
- WLDWD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
11
Aberdeen wins
4
Draws
5
Falkirk wins
Last 20 meetings
1.8
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
35%
Over 2.5 goals
14 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Aberdeen in the last 5 meetings
DLLWW
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonAberdeen
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet
5 goals
Most assists
Kevin Nisbet
2 assists
Best rated
Marius Müller
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marius MüllerGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Chris CaddenDefender | 9 (9) | 793 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Nesta Guinness-WalkerDefender | 9 (9) | 765 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Kevin NisbetAttacker | 9 (9) | 722 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Afeez AremuMidfielder | 9 (8) | 589 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Toyosi OlusanyaAttacker | 8 (6) | 572 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | |
| Lewis MayoDefender | 7 (7) | 561 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×5 |
| Mats KnoesterDefender | 6 (5) | 482 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Stuart ArmstrongMidfielder | 9 (3) | 456 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Connor RonanMidfielder | 7 (6) | 446 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.97 | |
| Daniel HappeDefender | 6 (4) | 382 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Gavin MolloyDefender | 6 (4) | 375 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Lewis SmithAttacker | 7 (2) | 325 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Tony YoganeAttacker | 6 (4) | 286 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Findlay MarshallMidfielder | 6 (3) | 265 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
Falkirk
Top scorer
Jacob Murrell
4 goals
Most assists
Ryan Strain
3 assists
Best rated
Ryan Strain
7.14
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan StrainDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.14 | ×2 |
| Scott BainGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Liam HendersonDefender | 9 (9) | 777 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Finley BarbrookMidfielder | 8 (8) | 675 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Leon McCannDefender | 9 (7) | 664 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Ethan RossMidfielder | 9 (8) | 647 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Lewis NeilsonDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Brad SpencerMidfielder | 7 (7) | 618 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Ben KrauhausMidfielder | 8 (8) | 604 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Jacob MurrellAttacker | 7 (6) | 470 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Owen EamesMidfielder | 5 (5) | 412 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Deniss MelniksMidfielder | 7 (2) | 266 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Ben ParkinsonAttacker | 6 (2) | 205 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Aodhan DohertyAttacker | 6 (1) | 203 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | |
| CJ FodreyAttacker | 6 (2) | 197 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 |