Aberdeen vs Hibernian – Match preview
Aberdeen-:-
HibernianPittodrie StadiumRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
28%
34%
AberdeenDraw 38%Hibernian
Bookmaker implied
39%
34%
AberdeenDraw 27%Hibernian
0.7 – 0.8
Expected score
17%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
35%
38%
AberdeenDraw 27%Hibernian
First Half Result
30%
28%
AberdeenDraw 42%Hibernian
Team to Score First
46%
46%
AberdeenNo goal 8%Hibernian
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Aberdeen Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Aberdeen Over 1.5 Goals
35%
Hibernian Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Aberdeen Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Match Result
Aberdeen
40%2.47
model 2.480%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
27%3.54
model 3.67-4%
Last 1020%4/20
Hibernian
32%2.78
model 3.09-10%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Aberdeen
55%1.77
model 1.80-2%
Last 1056%9/16
Hibernian
45%1.99
model 2.25-11%
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Aberdeen or draw
68%1.45
model 1.48-2%
Last 1065%13/20
Aberdeen or Hibernian
73%1.31
model 1.37-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Hibernian
60%1.56
model 1.68-7%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%Yes 1.61
Last 1055%11/20
Aberdeen clean sheet
28%
model chance
Hibernian clean sheet
25%
model chance
Aberdeen goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Hibernian goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 10.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Aberdeen corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Hibernian corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Aberdeen cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Hibernian cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor Ronan Aberdeen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 100%5/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Josh Mulligan Hibernian | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Felix Passlack Hibernian | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 40%2/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Jason Kerr Hibernian | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Miguel Chaiwa Hibernian | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Ayoub Mouloua Aberdeen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Kevin Nisbet Aberdeen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Nesta Guinness-Walker Aberdeen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Martin Boyle Hibernian | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Callum Wright Hibernian | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kevin Nisbet Aberdeen | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Chris Cadden Aberdeen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026AberdeenHibernian
- 9
- League position
- 11
- LLWLD
- Last 5
- DLLLD
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 3.74
- xG for (L5)
- 2.80
- 3.26
- xG against (L5)
- 2.96
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
30
Aberdeen wins
19
Draws
20
Hibernian wins
Last 69 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
45%
Over 2.5 goals
19 Sept 2026
Last meeting
Aberdeen in the last 5 meetings
DWLLW
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonAberdeen
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet
5 goals
Most assists
Kevin Nisbet
3 assists
Best rated
Brad Joseph Lyons
7.20
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marius MüllerGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Nesta Guinness-WalkerDefender | 11 (11) | 945 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.89 | – |
| Chris CaddenDefender | 11 (11) | 933 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Kevin NisbetAttacker | 11 (11) | 902 | 5 | 3 | 0.85 | 7.06 | ×2 |
| Afeez AremuMidfielder | 11 (10) | 691 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Stuart ArmstrongMidfielder | 11 (5) | 622 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Toyosi OlusanyaAttacker | 10 (6) | 621 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.38 | |
| Lewis MayoDefender | 7 (7) | 561 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×5 |
| Gavin MolloyDefender | 8 (6) | 555 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.92 | – |
| Connor RonanMidfielder | 8 (7) | 536 | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 6.97 | |
| Mats KnoesterDefender | 6 (5) | 482 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Daniel HappeDefender | 7 (5) | 448 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Lewis SmithAttacker | 9 (3) | 427 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 6.72 | – |
| Brad Joseph LyonsMidfielder | 5 (5) | 406 | 1 | 0 | 1.37 | 7.20 | ×2 |
| Ayoub MoulouaAttacker | 11 (4) | 385 | 2 | 0 | 0.34 | 6.82 | ×2 |
Hibernian
Top scorer
Martin Boyle
3 goals
Most assists
Felix Passlack
2 assists
Best rated
Jason Kerr
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael SallingerGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Jason KerrDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 7.04 | – |
| Josh MulliganMidfielder | 11 (11) | 975 | 0 | 1 | 0.86 | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Felix PasslackDefender | 11 (10) | 917 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.86 | |
| Miguel ChaiwaMidfielder | 11 (8) | 722 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Adam MayorDefender | 9 (8) | 720 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.83 | |
| Owen EldingAttacker | 8 (6) | 524 | 2 | 1 | 0.40 | 7.03 | |
| Martin BoyleAttacker | 8 (6) | 505 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Jamie McGrathMidfielder | 7 (5) | 479 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Nathan LoweAttacker | 8 (4) | 436 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Grant HanleyDefender | 6 (4) | 421 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Callum WrightMidfielder | 7 (5) | 411 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Marko IvezicDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 6.78 | |
| Thibault KlidjéAttacker | 9 (5) | 351 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.51 | |
| Jordan ObitaDefender | 4 (4) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.05 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.76 | 1.98 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.76 | 1.98 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.81 | 2.05 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| Betano.dk | 14.50 | 1.02 |
More on Aberdeen vs Hibernian
- Aberdeen stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Hibernian stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premiership (Scotland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture