Dundee vs Hearts Prediction – Match preview
Dundee-:-
HeartsKilmac Stadium at Dens ParkRound 14
Our prediction
Dundee to win (46%)
Dundee 46% · Draw 21% · Hearts 33%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
67%
16%
DundeeDraw 17%Hearts
Bookmaker implied
26%
49%
DundeeDraw 25%Hearts
2.7 – 1.3
Expected score
76%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
37%
38%
DundeeDraw 25%Hearts
First Half Result
26%
34%
DundeeDraw 40%Hearts
Team to Score First
45%
49%
DundeeNo goal 6%Hearts
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
Dundee Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Dundee Over 1.5 Goals
41%
Hearts Over 0.5 Goals
73%
Dundee Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026DundeeHearts
- 5
- League position
- 4
- LWLDW
- Last 5
- LDWLW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 14
- 3.92
- xG for (L5)
- 5.30
- 5.56
- xG against (L5)
- 5.78
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
4
Dundee wins
1
Draws
11
Hearts wins
Last 16 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Dundee in the last 5 meetings
LLLLW
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonDundee
Top scorer
Bradley Fink
4 goals
Most assists
Ethan Hamilton
2 assists
Best rated
Ryan Astley
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan AstleyDefender | 12 (12) | 1083 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.31 | – |
| Ethan HamiltonMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1083 | 0 | 2 | 0.57 | 6.95 | ×4 |
| Owen GoodmanGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1083 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | |
| Drey WrightDefender | 12 (11) | 997 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Owen BevanDefender | 11 (11) | 993 | 2 | 0 | 0.01 | 7.11 | |
| Alan ForrestMidfielder | 12 (9) | 775 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 6.72 | – |
| Joe BevanMidfielder | 12 (10) | 754 | 2 | 1 | 0.41 | 6.54 | – |
| Bradley FinkAttacker | 10 (8) | 630 | 4 | 0 | 1.06 | 6.72 | |
| Imari SamuelsDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.60 | |
| Joe WestleyAttacker | 9 (7) | 607 | 4 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.73 | |
| Ryan FinniganMidfielder | 8 (6) | 541 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Ashley HayAttacker | 7 (5) | 508 | 3 | 0 | 1.07 | 7.14 | ×2 |
| I. OdutayoDefender | 6 (5) | 454 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Callum JonesMidfielder | 6 (6) | 443 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.97 | – |
| Charlie ReillyAttacker | 9 (4) | 327 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.77 | – |
Hearts
Top scorer
Cláudio Braga
6 goals
Most assists
J. McPake
6 assists
Best rated
J. McPake
7.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau ReusGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Cláudio BragaMidfielder | 12 (12) | 976 | 6 | 2 | 2.54 | 7.09 | |
| Jordi AltenaDefender | 11 (11) | 943 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Jamie McCartDefender | 11 (10) | 912 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.76 | ×2 |
| J. McPakeMidfielder | 11 (11) | 878 | 3 | 6 | 0.30 | 7.29 | |
| Laurent MendyMidfielder | 11 (10) | 833 | 3 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.80 | – |
| Calvin MillerMidfielder | 11 (9) | 692 | 5 | 1 | 0.15 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Sabah KerjotaMidfielder | 12 (6) | 640 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Stuart FindlayDefender | 8 (7) | 570 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| James WilsonAttacker | 11 (7) | 521 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.82 | – |
| Tómas Bent MagnússonMidfielder | 9 (5) | 492 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.69 | – |
| Oisin McEnteeDefender | 7 (6) | 486 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Malachi Fagan-WalcottDefender | 5 (5) | 420 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.71 | |
| Harry MilneDefender | 6 (3) | 358 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Stephen KingsleyDefender | 5 (3) | 344 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.92 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.91 | 1.93 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.95 | 1.93 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
More on Dundee vs Hearts
- Dundee stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Hearts stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premiership (Scotland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture