Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Prediction – Match preview
Kilmarnock-:-
AberdeenRugby ParkRound 14
Our prediction
Aberdeen to win (50%)
Kilmarnock 28% · Draw 22% · Aberdeen 50%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
20%
62%
KilmarnockDraw 18%Aberdeen
Bookmaker implied
35%
38%
KilmarnockDraw 27%Aberdeen
1.4 – 2.6
Expected score
76%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
49%
25%
KilmarnockDraw 26%Aberdeen
First Half Result
35%
25%
KilmarnockDraw 40%Aberdeen
Team to Score First
53%
40%
KilmarnockNo goal 7%Aberdeen
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Kilmarnock Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Kilmarnock Over 1.5 Goals
46%
Aberdeen Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Kilmarnock Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026KilmarnockAberdeen
- 12
- League position
- 11
- LDLLW
- Last 5
- LLLWL
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- 9.50
- xG for (L5)
- 5.11
- 6.88
- xG against (L5)
- 5.62
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
5
Kilmarnock wins
1
Draws
8
Aberdeen wins
Last 14 meetings
1.7
Goals per game
7%
Both teams scored
21%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Kilmarnock in the last 5 meetings
DLWLL
Key Players
Premiership, this seasonKilmarnock
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie
3 goals
Most assists
Joe Hugill
2 assists
Best rated
Greg Kiltie
7.06
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe HugillAttacker | 13 (13) | 1156 | 2 | 2 | 1.47 | 6.71 | ×3 |
| George StangerDefender | 13 (12) | 1151 | 1 | 0 | 1.31 | 6.84 | ×3 |
| Tom LoweryMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1134 | 0 | 2 | 0.89 | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Michael Schjönning-LarsenDefender | 13 (12) | 1083 | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.52 | ×2 |
| Greg KiltieMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1073 | 3 | 0 | 0.96 | 7.06 | |
| Cathal McCarthyDefender | 11 (11) | 974 | 1 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.74 | ×4 |
| Tyreece John-JulesAttacker | 13 (11) | 826 | 1 | 0 | 1.88 | 6.81 | ×3 |
| Jamie BrandonDefender | 13 (7) | 814 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.48 | ×4 |
| Aaron TshibolaMidfielder | 11 (8) | 780 | 0 | 0 | 0.68 | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Erik RingMidfielder | 11 (10) | 749 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.56 | – |
| Maksymilian StryjekGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Callum FerieGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Djenairo DanielsAttacker | 10 (2) | 290 | 1 | 1 | 0.32 | 6.68 | |
| Nico MantlGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Bailey RiceMidfielder | 7 (3) | 252 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
Aberdeen
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet
5 goals
Most assists
Kevin Nisbet
3 assists
Best rated
Marius Müller
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marius MüllerGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Nesta Guinness-WalkerDefender | 12 (12) | 1035 | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.86 | – |
| Kevin NisbetAttacker | 12 (12) | 963 | 5 | 3 | 1.37 | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Chris CaddenDefender | 11 (11) | 933 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Afeez AremuMidfielder | 12 (11) | 759 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Toyosi OlusanyaAttacker | 11 (6) | 650 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.37 | |
| Stuart ArmstrongMidfielder | 12 (5) | 644 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Connor RonanMidfielder | 9 (8) | 597 | 2 | 2 | 0.58 | 6.96 | |
| Lewis MayoDefender | 7 (7) | 561 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×5 |
| Gavin MolloyDefender | 8 (6) | 555 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.92 | – |
| Daniel HappeDefender | 8 (6) | 538 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Brad Joseph LyonsMidfielder | 6 (6) | 496 | 1 | 0 | 1.47 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Mats KnoesterDefender | 6 (5) | 482 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Lewis SmithAttacker | 10 (3) | 456 | 0 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.75 | – |
| Jack MilneDefender | 8 (4) | 451 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.58 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.87 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.77 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.99 | 1.86 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.00 | 1.88 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| Betano.dk | 13.50 | 10.25 |
More on Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
- Kilmarnock stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Aberdeen stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Premiership (Scotland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture