Atalanta vs Inter Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Gewiss Stadium
Our prediction
Inter to win (56%)
Atalanta 24% · Draw 20% · Inter 56% · Over 2.5 goals: 69% · Both teams to score: 67%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
24%
56%
AtalantaDraw 20%Inter
Bookmaker implied
20%
59%
AtalantaDraw 21%Inter
1.4 – 2.2
Expected score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026AtalantaInter
- 12
- League position
- 2
- WLDDL
- Last 5
- WLWWW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 9.89
- xG for (L5)
- 9.25
- 6.02
- xG against (L5)
- 2.47
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
4
Atalanta wins
9
Draws
15
Inter wins
Last 28 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
43%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Atalanta in the last 5 meetings
DLLLL
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonAtalanta
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović
7 goals
Most assists
Charles De Ketelaere
3 assists
Best rated
Nikola Krstović
7.23
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco CarnesecchiGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 7.19 | – |
| ÉdersonMidfielder | 11 (11) | 929 | 2 | 0 | 1.43 | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Charles De KetelaereAttacker | 11 (10) | 852 | 1 | 3 | 1.58 | 7.03 | |
| Giorgio ScalviniDefender | 9 (8) | 783 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Nikola KrstovićAttacker | 11 (7) | 710 | 7 | 2 | 3.67 | 7.23 | |
| Davide ZappacostaDefender | 9 (7) | 648 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.67 | – |
| Lorenzo BernasconiDefender | 9 (6) | 612 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.63 | – |
| Jonathan RoweAttacker | 8 (6) | 485 | 0 | 0 | 0.54 | 6.85 | – |
| Mario PašalićMidfielder | 9 (5) | 478 | 0 | 0 | 0.47 | 6.67 | – |
| Raoul BellanovaDefender | 7 (6) | 468 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Eljif ElmasMidfielder | 9 (5) | 454 | 1 | 1 | 1.11 | 6.86 | |
| Gianluca GaetanoMidfielder | 8 (5) | 452 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 6.75 | |
| Nicola ZalewskiMidfielder | 9 (4) | 442 | 1 | 3 | 0.39 | 6.97 | – |
| Lazar SamardžićMidfielder | 9 (4) | 389 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.84 | – |
| Thomas KristensenDefender | 5 (5) | 364 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 |
Inter
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram
6 goals
Most assists
Andy Diouf
4 assists
Best rated
Carlos Augusto
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò BarellaMidfielder | 10 (9) | 842 | 1 | 2 | 0.58 | 7.32 | ×2 |
| Alessandro BastoniDefender | 10 (10) | 820 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Manuel AkanjiDefender | 10 (9) | 818 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 7.22 | ×2 |
| Josep MartínezGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Marcus ThuramAttacker | 10 (8) | 723 | 6 | 2 | 2.50 | 7.35 | |
| Andy DioufMidfielder | 10 (8) | 703 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | 7.05 | – |
| Yann BisseckDefender | 9 (8) | 676 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 7.01 | – |
| Federico DimarcoMidfielder | 11 (8) | 657 | 0 | 1 | 0.52 | 7.16 | – |
| Carlos AugustoDefender | 9 (6) | 625 | 2 | 2 | 0.65 | 7.50 | ×2 |
| Piotr ZielińskiMidfielder | 10 (7) | 624 | 2 | 2 | 0.96 | 7.02 | – |
| Pio EspositoAttacker | 11 (8) | 580 | 3 | 1 | 1.10 | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Petar SučićMidfielder | 10 (6) | 519 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 7.08 | – |
| Hakan ÇalhanoğluMidfielder | 9 (6) | 485 | 3 | 0 | 0.22 | 7.26 | |
| Lautaro MartínezAttacker | 5 (4) | 353 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.44 | ×2 |
| Henrikh MkhitaryanMidfielder | 6 (3) | 276 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.89 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.92 | 1.96 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.90 | 1.98 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.88 | 2.02 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 14.50 | 5.80 |
More on Atalanta vs Inter
- Atalanta stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Inter stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture