Atalanta vs Parma – Match preview
Atalanta-:-
ParmaGewiss Stadium
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
88%
2%
AtalantaDraw 10%Parma
2.6 – 0.2
Expected score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Atalanta
49%–
fair 2.05–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw
27%–
fair 3.67–
Last 105%1/20
Parma
24%–
fair 4.18–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Atalanta
67%–
fair 1.49–
Last 1058%11/19
Parma
33%–
fair 3.04–
Last 1042%8/19
Double chance
Atalanta or draw
76%–
fair 1.31–
Last 1060%12/20
Atalanta or Parma
73%–
fair 1.37–
Last 1095%19/20
Draw or Parma
51%–
fair 1.95–
Last 1045%9/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1045%9/20
Atalanta clean sheet
31%
model chance
Parma clean sheet
24%
model chance
Atalanta goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Parma goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Atalanta corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Parma corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 3.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 49% | 52% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Atalanta cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Parma cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026AtalantaParma
- 11
- League position
- 19
- LWLLL
- Last 5
- LLWLD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Atalanta wins
1
Draws
2
Parma wins
Last 7 meetings
4.3
Goals per game
71%
Both teams scored
86%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Atalanta in the last 5 meetings
WDLWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Atalanta
- Giacomo RaspadoriHamstring Muscle Injury
- Odilon KossounouHamstring Injury
Parma
- Hans Nicolussi CavigliaPubalgia
- Nesta ElphegeAppendectomy
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonAtalanta
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović
4 goals
Most assists
Nicola Zalewski
2 assists
Best rated
Marco Carnesecchi
7.20
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco CarnesecchiGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | – |
| ÉdersonMidfielder | 7 (7) | 597 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Giorgio ScalviniDefender | 6 (6) | 517 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Charles De KetelaereAttacker | 7 (6) | 505 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Raoul BellanovaDefender | 6 (5) | 439 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Nikola KrstovićAttacker | 7 (3) | 370 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.05 | |
| Lazar SamardžićMidfielder | 7 (4) | 362 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Odilon KossounouDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Gianluca GaetanoMidfielder | 6 (3) | 333 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.78 | |
| Jonathan RoweAttacker | 4 (4) | 309 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Davide ZappacostaDefender | 5 (3) | 302 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Lorenzo BernasconiDefender | 5 (3) | 281 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Sead KolasinacDefender | 6 (4) | 281 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Gianluca ScamaccaAttacker | 6 (4) | 275 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Thomas KristensenDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 |
Parma
Top scorer
David Romero
2 goals
Most assists
El Bilal Touré
1 assists
Best rated
Adrián Bernabé
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edoardo CorviGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Emanuele ValeriMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Enrico DelpratoDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Mariano TroiloDefender | 7 (7) | 625 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×3 |
| Mandela KeitaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| El Bilal TouréAttacker | 7 (7) | 526 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Simone LontaniAttacker | 7 (4) | 391 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Diego CarlosDefender | 5 (5) | 353 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Sascha BritschgiMidfielder | 6 (4) | 332 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | |
| David RomeroAttacker | 6 (3) | 288 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Adrián BernabéMidfielder | 5 (3) | 280 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Vincent SierroMidfielder | 4 (3) | 251 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Dominik DrobnicDefender | 3 (2) | 224 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | |
| Christian OrdóñezMidfielder | 5 (3) | 216 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Giovanni FabbianAttacker | 5 (3) | 187 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |