Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro Prediction – Match preview
Chapecoense-:-
CruzeiroArena CondáRound 36
Our prediction
Cruzeiro to win (64%)
Chapecoense 19% · Draw 16% · Cruzeiro 64% · Over 2.5 goals: 83% · Both teams to score: 75%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
19%
65%
ChapecoenseDraw 16%Cruzeiro
1.6 – 2.9
Expected score
83%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
23%
53%
ChapecoenseDraw 24%Cruzeiro
First Half Result
23%
33%
ChapecoenseDraw 44%Cruzeiro
Team to Score First
36%
58%
ChapecoenseNo goal 6%Cruzeiro
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Chapecoense Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Chapecoense Over 1.5 Goals
27%
Cruzeiro Over 0.5 Goals
81%
Chapecoense Over 0.5 Goals
60%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026ChapecoenseCruzeiro
- 20
- League position
- 3
- LLWLL
- Last 5
- WWWWL
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 1.88
- xG for (L5)
- 6.31
- 6.16
- xG against (L5)
- 2.52
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
0
Chapecoense wins
1
Draws
2
Cruzeiro wins
Last 3 meetings
1.7
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Chapecoense in the last 3 meetings
LDL
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonChapecoense
Top scorer
Marcinho
5 goals
Most assists
Giovanni Augusto
7 assists
Best rated
Giovanni Augusto
7.14
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DomaDefender | 30 (29) | 2587 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.66 | ×7 |
| CamiloMidfielder | 27 (27) | 2313 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.85 | ×10 |
| MarcinhoAttacker | 31 (25) | 1922 | 5 | 2 | 0.16 | 6.72 | ×3 |
| Bruno PachecoDefender | 24 (20) | 1811 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.65 | ×4 |
| AndersonGoalkeeper | 19 (19) | 1710 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Yannick BolasieAttacker | 26 (18) | 1594 | 2 | 3 | 0.81 | 6.68 | ×4 |
| Giovanni AugustoMidfielder | 25 (21) | 1536 | 2 | 7 | 0.17 | 7.14 | ×2 |
| EvertonDefender | 21 (15) | 1326 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.49 | ×5 |
| Bruno LeonardoDefender | 15 (15) | 1311 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Maurício GarcezAttacker | 17 (11) | 1081 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Kauan Faria GomesDefender | 12 (12) | 1074 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| CarvalheiraMidfielder | 14 (11) | 896 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Tulio EduardoAttacker | 13 (9) | 876 | 3 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.81 | |
| Yago FelipeMidfielder | 11 (11) | 834 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.87 | ×3 |
| ÊnioMidfielder | 14 (9) | 783 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
Cruzeiro
Top scorer
Kaio Jorge
15 goals
Most assists
Matheus Pereira
8 assists
Best rated
Matheus Pereira
7.47
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus PereiraMidfielder | 30 (28) | 2522 | 9 | 8 | 0.85 | 7.47 | ×12 |
| GersonMidfielder | 30 (28) | 2320 | 0 | 4 | 0.15 | 7.00 | ×4 |
| Fabrício BrunoDefender | 29 (25) | 2207 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.86 | ×8 |
| Kaio JorgeAttacker | 27 (25) | 2132 | 15 | 2 | 2.21 | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Jonathan JesusDefender | 23 (22) | 1969 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.09 | ×6 |
| Otávio CostaGoalkeeper | 21 (21) | 1890 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Lucas RomeroMidfielder | 24 (23) | 1808 | 2 | 4 | 0.31 | 6.98 | ×3 |
| Keny ArroyoMidfielder | 29 (22) | 1777 | 5 | 7 | 1.37 | 7.11 | ×6 |
| Matheus HenriqueMidfielder | 31 (13) | 1473 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.63 | ×4 |
| FagnerDefender | 22 (17) | 1451 | 0 | 4 | 0.38 | 6.82 | ×3 |
| KaikiDefender | 16 (16) | 1418 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | |
| João MarceloDefender | 17 (14) | 1262 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.97 | ×4 |
| ChristianMidfielder | 17 (15) | 1256 | 5 | 3 | – | 6.97 | |
| Lucas VillalbaDefender | 18 (13) | 1249 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| WilliamDefender | 18 (14) | 1176 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.95 | ×4 |
More on Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro
- Chapecoense stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Cruzeiro stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture