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Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction – Match preview

ChapecoenseChapecoense
-:-
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
Arena CondáRound 21

Our prediction

Vasco da Gama to win (55%)

Chapecoense 24% · Draw 20% · Vasco da Gama 55% · Over 2.5 goals: 71% · Both teams to score: 68%

From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.

Match preview

Chapecoense host Vasco da Gama in the Brazil Serie A. Chapecoense have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11; Vasco da Gama have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 9.

Our model's pick is Vasco da Gama to win at 55% (Chapecoense 24%, draw 20%, Vasco da Gama 55%). It expects about 3.7 goals (Chapecoense 1.4, Vasco da Gama 2.2). It puts over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 68%.

They have met 1 time before: Chapecoense have won 0, Vasco da Gama 0, and 1 ended level, with 2.0 goals a game on average. Players out injured or suspended: Chapecoense 5 and Vasco da Gama 8.

  • Chapecoense
    7.50Campobet
  • Draw
    5.10Pinnacle
  • Vasco da Gama
    1.461xbet
  • Over 2.5
    1.66bet365
  • Under 2.5
    2.51Pinnacle

Match Preview

Updated 15 Nov 2026
FootyPulse model
24%
56%
ChapecoenseDraw 20%Vasco da Gama
Bookmaker implied
14%
66%
ChapecoenseDraw 20%Vasco da Gama
1.4 – 2.2
Expected score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Both teams to score

Data provider's forecast

Full Time Result
33%
41%
ChapecoenseDraw 26%Vasco da Gama
First Half Result
25%
27%
ChapecoenseDraw 48%Vasco da Gama
Team to Score First
46%
48%
ChapecoenseNo goal 6%Vasco da Gama
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Chapecoense Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Chapecoense Over 1.5 Goals
36%
Chapecoense Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Vasco da Gama Over 0.5 Goals
74%

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