Monza vs Fiorentina Prediction – Match preview
Monza-:-
FiorentinaU-Power Stadium
Our prediction
Fiorentina to win (41%)
Monza 37% · Draw 22% · Fiorentina 41%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
46%
36%
MonzaDraw 18%Fiorentina
Bookmaker implied
28%
47%
MonzaDraw 25%Fiorentina
2.7 – 2.4
Expected score
88%
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026MonzaFiorentina
- 18
- League position
- 15
- LLLLW
- Last 5
- DWDLL
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 5.04
- xG for (L5)
- 7.27
- 6.73
- xG against (L5)
- 7.40
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Monza wins
2
Draws
2
Fiorentina wins
Last 6 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
83%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Monza in the last 5 meetings
WDLLW
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonMonza
Top scorer
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
9 goals
Most assists
Samuele Birindelli
2 assists
Best rated
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuele BirindelliMidfielder | 10 (10) | 894 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Ricardo MangasMidfielder | 11 (11) | 894 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 6.72 | |
| Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa VarelaAttacker | 10 (10) | 850 | 9 | 1 | 2.22 | 7.19 | |
| Lorenzo LucchesiDefender | 10 (10) | 771 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.52 | ×3 |
| Eddy KouadioDefender | 10 (9) | 765 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Andrea CarboniDefender | 10 (8) | 737 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Noel TörnqvistGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Ebenezer AkinsanmiroMidfielder | 9 (7) | 629 | 0 | 1 | 0.72 | 6.77 | – |
| Jay RobinsonAttacker | 9 (7) | 575 | 2 | 1 | 0.24 | 6.85 | – |
| Foe OndoaMidfielder | 8 (6) | 525 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.55 | |
| Saba GoglichidzeDefender | 6 (5) | 459 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.87 | |
| Michael FolorunshoMidfielder | 7 (4) | 388 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Dany MotaAttacker | 8 (4) | 378 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 7.01 | – |
| Andrea ColpaniMidfielder | 7 (3) | 320 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.76 | |
| Adam BakouneDefender | 8 (2) | 295 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
Fiorentina
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono
4 goals
Most assists
Cher Ndour
3 assists
Best rated
Franco Mastantuono
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radu DrăgușinDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.66 | ×2 |
| David de GeaGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Cher NdourMidfielder | 11 (10) | 926 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 6.86 | |
| Franco MastantuonoAttacker | 11 (11) | 879 | 4 | 0 | 1.43 | 7.25 | ×2 |
| Mateo PellegrinoAttacker | 11 (9) | 802 | 4 | 0 | 0.96 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Álex JiménezDefender | 10 (9) | 786 | 2 | 2 | 0.35 | 6.88 | |
| Nicolò FagioliMidfielder | 11 (9) | 764 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.81 | |
| Alieu NjieAttacker | 9 (8) | 674 | 3 | 2 | 1.39 | 7.06 | ×2 |
| VieryDefender | 10 (7) | 672 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 6.50 | ×3 |
| João MárioDefender | 7 (5) | 464 | 1 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.68 | – |
| Víctor ValdepeñasDefender | 8 (4) | 447 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 6.40 | – |
| Marco BrescianiniMidfielder | 9 (5) | 430 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | 6.53 | – |
| Arthur AttaMidfielder | 5 (4) | 335 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Luca RanieriDefender | 4 (4) | 310 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | ×2 |
| Christ Inao OulaïMidfielder | 7 (4) | 306 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.80 | ×2 |
More on Monza vs Fiorentina
- Monza stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Fiorentina stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture