Napoli vs Lazio – Match preview
Napoli-:-
LazioStadio Diego Armando Maradona
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
11%
71%
NapoliDraw 18%Lazio
Bookmaker implied
42%
32%
NapoliDraw 26%Lazio
0.7 – 2.2
Expected score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
41%
32%
NapoliDraw 27%Lazio
First Half Result
35%
23%
NapoliDraw 42%Lazio
Team to Score First
54%
40%
NapoliNo goal 6%Lazio
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Napoli Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Napoli Over 1.5 Goals
44%
Lazio Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Napoli Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Match Result
Napoli
48%1.85
model 2.09-12%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
25%3.84
model 4.05-5%
Last 1015%3/20
Lazio
28%3.83
model 3.63+5%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Napoli
63%1.37
model 1.58-13%
Last 1029%5/17
Lazio
37%2.83
model 2.74+4%
Last 1071%12/17
Double chance
Napoli or draw
72%1.25
model 1.38-9%
Last 1040%8/20
Napoli or Lazio
75%1.25
model 1.33-6%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Lazio
52%1.92
model 1.910%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%
Last 1055%11/20
Napoli clean sheet
18%
model chance
Lazio clean sheet
21%
model chance
Napoli goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Lazio goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Napoli corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Lazio corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Napoli cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Lazio cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026NapoliLazio
- 7
- League position
- 1
- WDLWD
- Last 5
- WWWWW
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 16
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 4.08
- xG for (L5)
- 5.14
- 2.84
- xG against (L5)
- 1.62
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
5
Napoli wins
2
Draws
6
Lazio wins
Last 13 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
54%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Napoli in the last 5 meetings
LWDLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Napoli
- Alessandro BuongiornoKnee Surgery
- Alisson SantosHamstring Muscle Injury
- Benoît BadiashileHamstring Strain
- Costantino FavasuliHamstring Strain
- David NeresHamstring Injury
Lazio
No reported absences
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonNapoli
Top scorer
Kevin De Bruyne
4 goals
Most assists
Matteo Politano
3 assists
Best rated
Kevin De Bruyne
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Di LorenzoDefender | 9 (9) | 800 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.94 | |
| Rafa MarínDefender | 8 (8) | 711 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Amir RrahmaniDefender | 8 (8) | 675 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.05 | |
| Rasmus HøjlundAttacker | 9 (8) | 631 | 3 | 0 | 1.18 | 6.77 | – |
| Stanislav LobotkaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 628 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Alex MeretGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Matteo PolitanoAttacker | 9 (7) | 503 | 2 | 3 | 0.43 | 7.10 | |
| Kevin De BruyneMidfielder | 9 (4) | 495 | 4 | 1 | 0.14 | 7.34 | – |
| Leonardo SpinazzolaDefender | 7 (5) | 477 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.63 | – |
| Scott McTominayMidfielder | 6 (5) | 445 | 2 | 0 | 0.86 | 7.32 | – |
| Noa LangAttacker | 7 (5) | 423 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 7.07 | – |
| Frank AnguissaMidfielder | 6 (5) | 391 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.72 | – |
| Mathías OliveraDefender | 7 (4) | 345 | 0 | 1 | 0.78 | 6.68 | – |
| Billy GilmourMidfielder | 6 (3) | 337 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Vanja Milinković-SavićGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
Lazio
Top scorer
Tijjani Noslin
4 goals
Most assists
Mattia Zaccagni
5 assists
Best rated
Mattia Zaccagni
7.52
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos MandasGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Mattia ZaccagniAttacker | 9 (9) | 790 | 2 | 5 | 1.47 | 7.52 | ×3 |
| Romano Floriani MussoliniDefender | 9 (8) | 735 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.93 | |
| Davide FrattesiMidfielder | 9 (8) | 716 | 3 | 0 | 1.18 | 6.87 | – |
| Kenneth TaylorMidfielder | 9 (9) | 696 | 2 | 1 | 0.27 | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Reda BelahyaneMidfielder | 8 (7) | 683 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.98 | |
| Nuno TavaresDefender | 9 (8) | 657 | 1 | 3 | 0.19 | 7.21 | – |
| Oliver ProvstgaardDefender | 8 (8) | 645 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×3 |
| Tijjani NoslinAttacker | 8 (6) | 488 | 4 | 2 | 0.67 | 7.04 | – |
| Josip SutaloDefender | 6 (5) | 474 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Gustav IsaksenAttacker | 9 (5) | 459 | 4 | 1 | 0.47 | 6.98 | |
| Danilho DoekhiDefender | 4 (4) | 323 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | |
| Matteo CancellieriAttacker | 6 (4) | 320 | 1 | 0 | 0.41 | 7.10 | |
| Diogo LeiteDefender | 4 (1) | 178 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.76 | |
| Alfonso PedrazaDefender | 8 (1) | 171 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| MansionBet | 1.99 | 1.89 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 1.49 |
| MelBet | 1.41 | 2.89 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 1.93 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 15.00 | 1.02 |
More on Napoli vs Lazio
- Napoli stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Lazio stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture