Match Result Screener

Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and how it compares with the price.

Match Result Screener

Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the Pinnacle price where the match is priced.

Smart views

202 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent results hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
NordsjællandFC Midtjylland Sun 16:00 · Superliga	FC Midtjylland 1X2	3.04 33%	33%3.08	-1%	1.5–1.4	30%3/10	40%8/20	37%11/30
Sint-TruidenOH Leuven Sun 16:00 · Pro League	OH Leuven 1X2	4.97 20%	22%4.62	+8%	1.8–1.3	40%4/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
DenderJong KRC Genk U23 Sun 16:00 · Challenger Pro League	Draw 1X2	5.28 19%	21%4.84	+9%	1.6–1.1	20%2/10	20%4/20	23%7/30
LevadiakosAris Sun 16:00 · Super League	Levadiakos 1X2	3.77 27%	28%3.57	+6%	1.3–1.4	10%1/10	15%3/20	23%7/30
Racing SantanderReal Madrid Sun 16:15 · La Liga	Real Madrid 1X2	1.21 83%	69%1.45	-17%	1.6–1.9	70%7/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
CeutaSporting Gijón Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2	Sporting Gijón 1X2	3.00 33%	34%2.96	+1%	1.4–1.5	70%7/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
Universitatea CraiovaBotoşani Sun 16:30 · Superliga	Universitatea Craiova 1X2	1.28 78%	69%1.45	-11%	1.9–1.0	70%7/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
Lausanne SportThun Sun 16:30 · Super League	Lausanne Sport 1X2	2.65 38%	38%2.63	+1%	1.6–1.4	40%4/10	40%8/20	37%11/30
SOAKorhogo Sun 16:30 · Ligue 1	SOA 1X2	–	44%2.29	–	1.4–1.1	40%4/10	35%7/20	33%10/30
HäckenIFK Göteborg Sun 16:30 · Allsvenskan	Draw 1X2	4.29 23%	24%4.18	+3%	1.6–1.1	40%4/10	35%7/20	33%10/30
ElfsborgÖrgryte Sun 16:30 · Allsvenskan	Draw 1X2	5.14 19%	20%4.88	+5%	1.9–1.2	40%4/10	35%7/20	27%8/30
AFADYamoussoukronew team Sun 16:30 · Ligue 1	AFAD 1X2	–	44%2.25	–	1.6–1.2	25%2/8	31%4/13	39%7/18
AroucaNacional Sun 16:30 · Liga Portugal	Nacional 1X2	5.87 17%	18%5.52	+6%	1.8–1.1	20%2/10	20%4/20	27%8/30
LuganoBasel Sun 16:30 · Super League	Draw 1X2	5.06 20%	19%5.14	-2%	2.4–1.2	10%1/10	15%3/20	17%5/30
Västerås SKBrommapojkarna Sun 16:30 · Allsvenskan	Draw 1X2	3.97 25%	25%4.02	-1%	1.7–1.2	10%1/10	10%2/20	17%5/30
Al JaziraBani Yas Sun 16:35 · UAE Pro League	Al Jazira 1X2	–	55%1.82	–	2.0–1.2	60%6/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
Al SharjahAl Nasr Sun 16:35 · UAE Pro League	Al Sharjah 1X2	–	44%2.29	–	1.7–1.4	50%5/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
FC GroningenSparta Rotterdam Sun 16:45 · Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam 1X2	4.29 23%	24%4.20	+2%	2.2–1.6	30%3/10	30%6/20	27%8/30
KFUMHamKam Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien	KFUM 1X2	2.15 47%	47%2.12	+1%	1.9–1.3	60%6/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
PanaitolikosOFI Sun 17:00 · Super League	Panaitolikos 1X2	3.23 31%	31%3.19	+1%	1.4–1.5	40%4/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
StartLillestrøm Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien	Start 1X2	2.90 34%	35%2.84	+2%	1.6–1.5	30%3/10	35%7/20	33%10/30
Boston RiverMontevideo City Torque Sun 17:00 · Primera Division	Boston River 1X2	3.75 27%	29%3.48	+8%	1.4–1.3	40%4/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien	Kristiansund 1X2	6.31 16%	17%5.74	+10%	2.0–1.3	20%2/10	30%6/20	20%6/30
Bodrum FKÜmraniyespor Sun 17:00 · 1. Lig	Ümraniyespor 1X2	3.31 30%	29%3.43	-4%	1.4–1.2	40%4/10	25%5/20	30%9/30
KasımpaşaBeşiktaş Sun 17:00 · Super Lig	Draw 1X2	4.55 22%	23%4.38	+4%	1.5–1.4	20%2/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
Widad Témaralimited dataMaghreb Fès Sun 17:00 · Botola Pro	Widad Témara 1X2	–	39%2.56	–	1.3–1.2	30%3/10	20%3/15	20%4/20
Austria WienSK Rapid Sun 17:00 · Admiral Bundesliga	Austria Wien 1X2	5.32 19%	20%4.90	+9%	1.3–1.9	10%1/10	15%3/20	17%5/30
ParisMonaco Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1	Paris 1X2	2.57 39%	39%2.55	+1%	1.6–1.4	30%3/10	30%6/20	37%11/30
Olympique LyonnaisAngers SCO Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1	Draw 1X2	5.09 20%	21%4.77	+7%	1.8–1.2	20%2/10	30%6/20	30%9/30
Hellas VeronaCarrarese Sun 17:15 · Serie B	Draw 1X2	4.11 24%	25%4.05	+2%	1.6–1.2	20%2/10	20%4/20	30%9/30
LiverpoolArsenal Sun 17:30 · Premier League	Liverpool 1X2	2.92 34%	36%2.81	+4%	1.6–1.4	40%4/10	40%8/20	30%9/30
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV Sun 17:30 · Bundesliga	Hamburger SV 1X2	5.73 17%	19%5.16	+11%	2.1–1.4	50%5/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
Lokomotiv MoskvaSpartak Moskva Sun 17:45 · Premier League	Draw 1X2	4.34 23%	24%4.19	+4%	1.4–1.5	30%3/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
LecceGenoa Sun 18:00 · Serie A	Lecce 1X2	3.35 30%	31%3.20	+5%	1.4–1.3	30%3/10	40%8/20	43%13/30
Brøndby IFAGF Sun 18:00 · Superliga	AGF 1X2	3.47 29%	28%3.55	-2%	1.8–1.4	40%4/10	40%8/20	30%9/30
Lokomotiva ZagrebOsijek Sun 18:00 · 1. HNL	Lokomotiva Zagreb 1X2	2.64 38%	37%2.68	-2%	1.4–1.3	30%3/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
Bohemians 1905Sparta Praha Sun 18:00 · Chance Liga	Draw 1X2	4.00 25%	25%3.98	+1%	1.4–1.4	30%3/10	30%6/20	20%6/30
PAOKAsteras Tripolis Sun 18:00 · Super League	Draw 1X2	5.60 18%	20%5.10	+10%	1.8–1.3	30%3/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
PanathinaikosAEK Athens Sun 18:30 · Super League	Panathinaikos 1X2	2.19 46%	45%2.22	-1%	1.8–1.4	60%6/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
ElcheValencia Sun 18:30 · La Liga	Elche 1X2	2.42 41%	43%2.33	+4%	1.7–1.2	50%5/10	45%9/20	37%11/30
BurgosCastellón Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2	Burgos 1X2	3.78 26%	28%3.52	+7%	1.4–1.4	40%4/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
Lommel SKGent Sun 18:30 · Pro League	Draw 1X2	3.93 25%	26%3.88	+1%	1.3–1.4	20%2/10	20%4/20	20%6/30
Academico ViseuRio Ave Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal	Academico Viseu 1X2	1.84 54%	53%1.90	-3%	1.8–1.1	60%6/10	55%11/20	52%14/27
Ittihad TangerCR Khemis Zemamra Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro	Ittihad Tanger 1X2	–	49%2.02	–	1.6–1.1	70%7/10	50%10/20	53%16/30
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate Sun 19:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	River Plate 1X2	3.68 27%	27%3.75	-2%	1.5–1.1	40%4/10	35%7/20	27%8/30
ASEC MimosasSan-Pedro Sun 19:00 · Ligue 1	ASEC Mimosas 1X2	–	41%2.45	–	1.4–1.1	20%2/10	30%6/20	37%11/30
CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro	CODM Meknès 1X2	–	42%2.38	–	1.5–1.3	40%4/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
MarítimoSanta Clara Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal	Marítimo 1X2	3.54 28%	29%3.48	+2%	1.3–1.5	30%3/10	25%5/20	24%6/25
Maccabi Petah Tikvalimited dataHapoel Be'er Sheva Sun 19:00 · Ligat ha'Al	Draw 1X2	5.07 20%	21%4.81	+5%	1.7–1.6	0%0/10	11%2/18	9%2/23
KAS EupenExcelsior Virtonlimited data Sun 19:15 · Challenger Pro League	Excelsior Virton 1X2	5.20 19%	21%4.75	+10%	1.7–1.3	20%2/10	35%6/17	32%7/22

NordsjællandFC Midtjylland
Sun 16:00 · Superliga
3.04
-1%
FC Midtjylland 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 33%
L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1537%11/30
Sint-TruidenOH Leuven
Sun 16:00 · Pro League
4.97
+8%
OH Leuven 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 22%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
DenderJong KRC Genk U23
Sun 16:00 · Challenger Pro League
5.28
+9%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1523%7/30
LevadiakosAris
Sun 16:00 · Super League
3.77
+6%
Levadiakos 1X2
xG 1.3–1.4 · Model 28%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1523%7/30
Racing SantanderReal Madrid
Sun 16:15 · La Liga
1.21
-17%
Real Madrid 1X2
xG 1.6–1.9 · Model 69%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
CeutaSporting Gijón
Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2
3.00
+1%
Sporting Gijón 1X2
xG 1.4–1.5 · Model 34%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
Universitatea CraiovaBotoşani
Sun 16:30 · Superliga
1.28
-11%
Universitatea Craiova 1X2
xG 1.9–1.0 · Model 69%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
Lausanne SportThun
Sun 16:30 · Super League
2.65
+1%
Lausanne Sport 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 38%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1537%11/30
SOAKorhogo
Sun 16:30 · Ligue 1
–
–
SOA 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 44%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
HäckenIFK Göteborg
Sun 16:30 · Allsvenskan
4.29
+3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 24%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
ElfsborgÖrgryte
Sun 16:30 · Allsvenskan
5.14
+5%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 20%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1527%8/30
AFADYamoussoukronew team
Sun 16:30 · Ligue 1
–
–
AFAD 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 44%
L525%2/8L1031%4/13L1539%7/18
AroucaNacional
Sun 16:30 · Liga Portugal
5.87
+6%
Nacional 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 18%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1527%8/30
LuganoBasel
Sun 16:30 · Super League
5.06
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 2.4–1.2 · Model 19%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1517%5/30
Västerås SKBrommapojkarna
Sun 16:30 · Allsvenskan
3.97
-1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 25%
L510%1/10L1010%2/20L1517%5/30
Al JaziraBani Yas
Sun 16:35 · UAE Pro League
–
–
Al Jazira 1X2
xG 2.0–1.2 · Model 55%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
Al SharjahAl Nasr
Sun 16:35 · UAE Pro League
–
–
Al Sharjah 1X2
xG 1.7–1.4 · Model 44%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
FC GroningenSparta Rotterdam
Sun 16:45 · Eredivisie
4.29
+2%
Sparta Rotterdam 1X2
xG 2.2–1.6 · Model 24%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1527%8/30
KFUMHamKam
Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien
2.15
+1%
KFUM 1X2
xG 1.9–1.3 · Model 47%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
PanaitolikosOFI
Sun 17:00 · Super League
3.23
+1%
Panaitolikos 1X2
xG 1.4–1.5 · Model 31%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
StartLillestrøm
Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien
2.90
+2%
Start 1X2
xG 1.6–1.5 · Model 35%
L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
Boston RiverMontevideo City Torque
Sun 17:00 · Primera Division
3.75
+8%
Boston River 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 29%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund
Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien
6.31
+10%
Kristiansund 1X2
xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 17%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1520%6/30
Bodrum FKÜmraniyespor
Sun 17:00 · 1. Lig
3.31
-4%
Ümraniyespor 1X2
xG 1.4–1.2 · Model 29%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
Sun 17:00 · Super Lig
4.55
+4%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Widad Témaralimited dataMaghreb Fès
Sun 17:00 · Botola Pro
–
–
Widad Témara 1X2
xG 1.3–1.2 · Model 39%
L530%3/10L1020%3/15L1520%4/20
Austria WienSK Rapid
Sun 17:00 · Admiral Bundesliga
5.32
+9%
Austria Wien 1X2
xG 1.3–1.9 · Model 20%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1517%5/30
ParisMonaco
Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1
2.57
+1%
Paris 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 39%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1537%11/30
Olympique LyonnaisAngers SCO
Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1
5.09
+7%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Hellas VeronaCarrarese
Sun 17:15 · Serie B
4.11
+2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 25%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1530%9/30
LiverpoolArsenal
Sun 17:30 · Premier League
2.92
+4%
Liverpool 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 36%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1530%9/30
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
Sun 17:30 · Bundesliga
5.73
+11%
Hamburger SV 1X2
xG 2.1–1.4 · Model 19%
L550%5/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
Lokomotiv MoskvaSpartak Moskva
Sun 17:45 · Premier League
4.34
+4%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.5 · Model 24%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
LecceGenoa
Sun 18:00 · Serie A
3.35
+5%
Lecce 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 31%
L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1543%13/30
Brøndby IFAGF
Sun 18:00 · Superliga
3.47
-2%
AGF 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 28%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1530%9/30
Lokomotiva ZagrebOsijek
Sun 18:00 · 1. HNL
2.64
-2%
Lokomotiva Zagreb 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 37%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
Bohemians 1905Sparta Praha
Sun 18:00 · Chance Liga
4.00
+1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 25%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1520%6/30
PAOKAsteras Tripolis
Sun 18:00 · Super League
5.60
+10%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 20%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Sun 18:30 · Super League
2.19
-1%
Panathinaikos 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 45%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
ElcheValencia
Sun 18:30 · La Liga
2.42
+4%
Elche 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 43%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
BurgosCastellón
Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2
3.78
+7%
Burgos 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 28%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
Lommel SKGent
Sun 18:30 · Pro League
3.93
+1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.4 · Model 26%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
Academico ViseuRio Ave
Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal
1.84
-3%
Academico Viseu 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 53%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1552%14/27
Ittihad TangerCR Khemis Zemamra
Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro
–
–
Ittihad Tanger 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 49%
L570%7/10L1050%10/20L1553%16/30
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
Sun 19:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
3.68
-2%
River Plate 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 27%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1527%8/30
ASEC MimosasSan-Pedro
Sun 19:00 · Ligue 1
–
–
ASEC Mimosas 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 41%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1537%11/30
CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat
Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro
–
–
CODM Meknès 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 42%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
MarítimoSanta Clara
Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal
3.54
+2%
Marítimo 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 29%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1524%6/25
Maccabi Petah Tikvalimited dataHapoel Be'er Sheva
Sun 19:00 · Ligat ha'Al
5.07
+5%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.7–1.6 · Model 21%
L50%0/10L1011%2/18L159%2/23
KAS EupenExcelsior Virtonlimited data
Sun 19:15 · Challenger Pro League
5.20
+10%
Excelsior Virton 1X2
xG 1.7–1.3 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1035%6/17L1532%7/22

Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1: the model's view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 1 Nov, 15:17.

Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)

League	Matches	Home	Draw	Away	Goals
1. HNL	182	48.4%	24.7%	26.9%	2.77
1. Lig	396	43.7%	23.7%	32.6%	2.89
2. Bundesliga	301	46.2%	27.2%	26.6%	2.97
A-League Men	163	36.8%	28.8%	34.4%	2.82
A-League Women	129	44.2%	19.4%	36.4%	2.71
Admiral Bundesliga	192	48.4%	25%	26.6%	2.85
AFC Champions League Elite	130	46.9%	23.1%	30%	2.68
AFC Champions League Two	120	48.3%	21.7%	30%	2.78
Africa Cup of Nations	52	46.2%	25%	28.8%	2.33
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	50%	21.7%	28.3%	2.53
Allsvenskan	224	38.8%	24.1%	37.1%	2.85
Botola Pro	230	36.5%	32.2%	31.3%	2.23
Brasileiro Women	167	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	2.6
Bundesliga	298	45.6%	24.8%	29.5%	3.33
CAF Champions League	152	51.3%	28.9%	19.7%	2.07
Carabao Cup	93	40.9%	18.3%	40.9%	3.04
Challenger Pro League	246	44.7%	22%	33.3%	2.93
Champions League	279	51.6%	17.6%	30.8%	3.37
Championship	566	42.6%	26%	31.4%	2.73
Chance Liga	269	45%	20.1%	34.9%	2.76
CONCACAF Nations League	74	45.9%	10.8%	43.2%	3.38
Copa Del Rey	119	26.9%	10.9%	62.2%	3.23
Copa do Brasil	156	44.2%	30.8%	25%	2.12
Copa Libertadores	154	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	2.1
Copa Sudamericana	157	44.6%	31.8%	23.6%	2.29
Coppa Italia	45	60%	24.4%	15.6%	3
Coupe de France	203	23.2%	26.6%	50.2%	3.14
DFB Pokal	63	27%	11.1%	61.9%	3.95
Eerste Divisie	374	44.4%	21.1%	34.5%	3.32
Ekstraklasa	304	44.1%	26.3%	29.6%	2.77
Eliteserien	227	51.5%	17.6%	30.8%	3.29
Enterprise National League	557	45.4%	20.1%	34.5%	3.04
Eredivisie	313	40.3%	28.8%	31%	3.26
Europa Conference League	411	47%	23.8%	29.2%	2.83
Europa League	269	49.8%	19%	31.2%	2.83
FA Cup	865	44.2%	18.2%	37.7%	3.3
First Division	181	37.6%	31.5%	30.9%	2.79
First League	277	43%	25.3%	31.8%	2.38
FNL	296	40.5%	27.7%	31.8%	2.52
Indian Super League	113	38.1%	32.7%	29.2%	2.47
J1 League	160	46.3%	21.9%	31.9%	2.91
K League 1	224	32.1%	33.9%	33.9%	2.43
KNVB Beker	109	40.4%	11%	48.6%	4.01
La Liga	382	48.7%	24.3%	27%	2.8
La Liga 2	473	45.9%	23.3%	30.9%	2.68
League One	548	44.3%	27%	28.6%	2.74
League Two	552	43.5%	27.5%	29%	2.59
Liga MX	330	43.3%	26.1%	30.6%	2.84
Liga Portugal	308	41.2%	26%	32.8%	2.72
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	529	41.6%	29.1%	29.3%	2.13
Ligat ha'Al	243	40.7%	24.7%	34.6%	2.93
Ligue 1	291	44.3%	24.7%	30.9%	2.81
Ligue 1	191	32.5%	29.3%	38.2%	2.03
Ligue 2	289	37.4%	31.1%	31.5%	2.57
Major League Soccer	508	45.7%	26.4%	28%	3.26
Persian Gulf Pro League	194	40.7%	35.1%	24.2%	1.85
Premier League	234	40.6%	26.5%	32.9%	2.51
Premier League	234	43.2%	27.8%	29.1%	2.55
Premier League	232	34.9%	35.3%	29.7%	2.14
Premier League	285	36.1%	34%	29.8%	2.18
Premier League	378	40.5%	29.1%	30.4%	2.76
Premiership	237	46.4%	23.6%	30%	2.82
Primera Division	294	41.2%	25.9%	33%	2.36
Pro League	302	43%	22.5%	34.4%	2.86
Pro League	348	44%	23.6%	32.5%	3
Russian Cup	143	40.6%	28.7%	30.8%	2.63
Serie A	383	41%	21.9%	37.1%	2.65
Serie A	412	48.8%	27.2%	24%	2.7
Serie B	391	44.8%	27.9%	27.4%	2.32
Serie B	383	44.4%	28.7%	26.9%	2.56
Stars League	133	36.1%	23.3%	40.6%	3.46
Super League	242	43.8%	26.4%	29.8%	3.13
Super League	225	40.4%	24.9%	34.7%	3.38
Super League	237	42.6%	27%	30.4%	2.57
Super Lig	302	45%	25.8%	29.1%	2.78
Superliga	311	49.5%	23.8%	26.7%	2.58
Superliga	190	42.1%	27.4%	30.5%	3.06
Taça De Portugal	146	44.5%	10.3%	45.2%	3.06
UAE Pro League	176	37.5%	25.6%	36.9%	3.05
UEFA Nations League	108	38%	25.9%	36.1%	2.44
UEFA Women's Champions League	162	50%	19.1%	30.9%	3.63
UEFA Youth League	217	49.8%	17.5%	32.7%	3.8
V-League	156	44.2%	21.8%	34%	2.67
Veikkausliiga	178	44.9%	27.5%	27.5%	2.58
WC Qualification Europe	60	46.7%	20%	33.3%	3.45
Women's Super League	147	44.2%	21.1%	34.7%	3.11
World Cup	104	48.1%	23.1%	28.8%	2.96
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	101	46.5%	13.9%	39.6%	3.45
Youth League	236	50%	15.7%	34.3%	3.81

How the Match Result Screener Works

Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the model EV is a small tilt on the price rather than a guess against it — and still the model's view, not a proven betting edge.

Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing an EV: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.

Using It With Other Stats

Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.

Match Result Screener