São Paulo vs Fluminense Prediction – Match preview
São Paulo-:-
FluminenseRound 35
Our prediction
São Paulo to win (47%)
São Paulo 47% · Draw 27% · Fluminense 26% · Over 2.5 goals: 42% · Both teams to score: 47%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
47%
26%
São PauloDraw 27%Fluminense
Bookmaker implied
41%
30%
São PauloDraw 29%Fluminense
1.4 – 1.0
Expected score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
48%
25%
São PauloDraw 27%Fluminense
First Half Result
34%
19%
São PauloDraw 47%Fluminense
Team to Score First
57%
35%
São PauloNo goal 8%Fluminense
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
São Paulo Over 3.5 Goals
6%
São Paulo Over 1.5 Goals
43%
Fluminense Over 0.5 Goals
60%
São Paulo Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026São PauloFluminense
- 10
- League position
- 4
- DLDWW
- Last 5
- WWLLL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 3.72
- xG for (L5)
- 5.08
- 4.20
- xG against (L5)
- 2.37
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
3
São Paulo wins
1
Draws
5
Fluminense wins
Last 9 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
56%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
São Paulo in the last 5 meetings
LLWLW
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonSão Paulo
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri
10 goals
Most assists
Damián Bobadilla
3 assists
Best rated
Artur
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RafaelGoalkeeper | 31 (31) | 2790 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Jonathan CalleriAttacker | 28 (25) | 2198 | 10 | 2 | 0.07 | 6.91 | ×5 |
| LucianoAttacker | 27 (25) | 2023 | 9 | 2 | 0.53 | 7.10 | ×7 |
| Marcos AntônioMidfielder | 25 (20) | 1881 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| SabinoDefender | 24 (21) | 1851 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.92 | ×3 |
| ArturMidfielder | 23 (21) | 1809 | 3 | 2 | 0.12 | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Damián BobadillaMidfielder | 23 (21) | 1731 | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 6.95 | ×3 |
| DanielzinhoMidfielder | 26 (21) | 1714 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.94 | |
| Robert ArboledaDefender | 21 (17) | 1627 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 7.00 | |
| Lucas RamonDefender | 21 (19) | 1580 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | |
| WendellDefender | 22 (16) | 1450 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 6.73 | ×5 |
| Pablo MaiaMidfielder | 24 (14) | 1373 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Alan FrancoDefender | 13 (13) | 1077 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Rafael TolóiDefender | 13 (12) | 949 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×3 |
| Enzo DíazDefender | 13 (11) | 929 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | ×7 |
Fluminense
Top scorer
John Kennedy
9 goals
Most assists
Luciano Acosta
5 assists
Best rated
Hulk
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FábioGoalkeeper | 34 (34) | 3048 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| RenêDefender | 24 (20) | 1900 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Agustín CanobbioMidfielder | 25 (23) | 1835 | 6 | 4 | 0.65 | 7.02 | ×7 |
| MartinelliMidfielder | 22 (22) | 1808 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.10 | ×5 |
| HérculesMidfielder | 29 (19) | 1748 | 4 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.92 | ×3 |
| Juan Pablo FreytesDefender | 20 (19) | 1719 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.86 | ×6 |
| Kevin SernaAttacker | 33 (17) | 1676 | 4 | 4 | 0.14 | 6.82 | |
| Luciano AcostaMidfielder | 29 (21) | 1623 | 6 | 5 | 1.06 | 7.09 | ×6 |
| Jefferson SavarinoMidfielder | 25 (16) | 1480 | 7 | 2 | 0.75 | 7.22 | ×3 |
| GugaDefender | 20 (16) | 1452 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | 6.93 | ×3 |
| Samuel XavierDefender | 20 (17) | 1452 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×5 |
| NonatoMidfielder | 20 (16) | 1403 | 1 | 3 | 0.06 | 7.06 | ×6 |
| IgnácioDefender | 18 (15) | 1399 | 3 | 1 | 0.09 | 7.01 | ×7 |
| JemmesDefender | 19 (16) | 1363 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | ×3 |
| Guilherme AranaDefender | 20 (14) | 1197 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.90 | ×4 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.85 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.82 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.64 | 2.24 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.04 | 1.82 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.06 | 1.82 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| Betano.dk | 12.50 | 1.10 |
More on São Paulo vs Fluminense
- São Paulo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Fluminense stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture