Santos vs Grêmio Prediction – Match preview
Santos-:-
GrêmioRound 36
Our prediction
Santos to win (52%)
Santos 52% · Draw 28% · Grêmio 20% · Over 2.5 goals: 34% · Both teams to score: 38%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
52%
20%
SantosDraw 28%Grêmio
1.3 – 0.7
Expected score
34%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026SantosGrêmio
- 9
- League position
- 18
- LDDWL
- Last 5
- LWWLD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 4.25
- xG for (L5)
- 3.54
- 4.84
- xG against (L5)
- 4.81
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Santos wins
2
Draws
3
Grêmio wins
Last 7 meetings
2.4
Goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
43%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Santos in the last 5 meetings
LDLWL
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonSantos
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa
15 goals
Most assists
Gabriel Barbosa
4 assists
Best rated
Neymar
7.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan PeresDefender | 28 (24) | 2227 | 2 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.75 | ×6 |
| Gabriel BrazãoGoalkeeper | 24 (24) | 2162 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×4 |
| Gabriel BontempoMidfielder | 30 (25) | 2094 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 6.95 | ×4 |
| Gonzalo EscobarDefender | 23 (23) | 2018 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.87 | ×8 |
| Gabriel BarbosaAttacker | 26 (23) | 2006 | 15 | 4 | 2.24 | 7.20 | ×8 |
| Álvaro BarrealMidfielder | 28 (22) | 1796 | 5 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.96 | ×9 |
| Igor ViníciusDefender | 21 (20) | 1756 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×4 |
| Lucas VeríssimoDefender | 19 (19) | 1705 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | ×5 |
| C. OlivaMidfielder | 26 (18) | 1686 | 2 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Gustavo HenriqueMidfielder | 22 (20) | 1533 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.82 | ×6 |
| Willian ArãoMidfielder | 24 (18) | 1506 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| RonyAttacker | 29 (13) | 1400 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| NeymarMidfielder | 15 (14) | 1222 | 8 | 3 | 0.07 | 7.37 | ×9 |
| João SchmidtMidfielder | 18 (11) | 1024 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×6 |
| Benjamín RollheiserAttacker | 28 (9) | 976 | 4 | 3 | 0.10 | 6.87 | ×2 |
Grêmio
Top scorer
Carlos Vinícius
11 goals
Most assists
Cristian Pavón
4 assists
Best rated
Wallace
7.28
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WevertonGoalkeeper | 31 (31) | 2790 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.10 | ×3 |
| Carlos ViníciusAttacker | 32 (30) | 2505 | 11 | 1 | 0.47 | 6.85 | ×6 |
| Cristian PavónDefender | 29 (26) | 2187 | 3 | 4 | 0.20 | 7.16 | ×7 |
| Francis AmuzuAttacker | 29 (23) | 1947 | 2 | 4 | 0.80 | 6.89 | |
| Gustavo MartinsDefender | 24 (21) | 1932 | 3 | 2 | 0.14 | 7.00 | ×6 |
| Erick NoriegaMidfielder | 25 (22) | 1887 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 6.90 | ×6 |
| Mathías VillasantiMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1282 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×4 |
| José EnamoradoAttacker | 29 (12) | 1231 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | 6.60 | ×5 |
| MarlonDefender | 14 (14) | 1181 | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 7.15 | ×3 |
| TetêAttacker | 27 (14) | 1181 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.77 | |
| VieryDefender | 13 (13) | 1169 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×4 |
| Juan Ignacio NardoniMidfielder | 18 (14) | 1090 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| WallaceDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 7.28 | ×3 |
| Arthur MeloMidfielder | 10 (8) | 807 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Fabián BalbuenaDefender | 10 (10) | 803 | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.79 | – |
More on Santos vs Grêmio
- Santos stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Grêmio stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture