Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction – Match preview
-:-
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Our prediction
Sassuolo to win (49%)
Sassuolo 49% · Draw 22% · Genoa 28% · Over 2.5 goals: 63% · Both teams to score: 64%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
49%
29%
SassuoloDraw 22%Genoa
Bookmaker implied
38%
34%
SassuoloDraw 28%Genoa
1.9 – 1.4
Expected score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026SassuoloGenoa
- 17
- League position
- 13
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- LWWWL
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 19
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 2.33
- xG for (L5)
- 4.22
- 10.48
- xG against (L5)
- 4.95
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
8
Sassuolo wins
5
Draws
9
Genoa wins
Last 22 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
68%
Both teams scored
64%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Sassuolo in the last 5 meetings
LLLLD
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonSassuolo
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić
3 goals
Most assists
Nemanja Matic
2 assists
Best rated
Arijanet Murić
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armand LaurientéAttacker | 11 (10) | 901 | 2 | 1 | 0.67 | 6.98 | |
| Josh DoigDefender | 11 (10) | 854 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.58 | – |
| Nemanja MaticMidfielder | 10 (10) | 742 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.95 | |
| Arijanet MurićGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Darryl BakolaMidfielder | 9 (7) | 649 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 6.97 | – |
| Domenico BerardiAttacker | 9 (7) | 620 | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Simone CinquegranoDefender | 9 (7) | 609 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Kieron BowieAttacker | 11 (4) | 550 | 1 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.71 | |
| Duje Caleta-CarDefender | 7 (6) | 541 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.54 | – |
| Sebastiano EspositoAttacker | 8 (7) | 498 | 2 | 2 | 0.24 | 6.97 | – |
| Vasilije AdžićMidfielder | 9 (6) | 447 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Jay IdzesDefender | 5 (5) | 441 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.61 | |
| Kristian ThorstvedtMidfielder | 9 (5) | 409 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.62 | |
| Fedde LeysenDefender | 6 (5) | 402 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Cas OdenthalDefender | 4 (3) | 334 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
Genoa
Top scorer
Milutin Osmajic
4 goals
Most assists
Tommaso Baldanzi
2 assists
Best rated
Junior Messias
7.24
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin BijlowGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Leo ØstigårdDefender | 11 (11) | 966 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 7.11 | ×4 |
| Mikael Egill EllertssonMidfielder | 11 (11) | 923 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Johan VásquezDefender | 10 (10) | 881 | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Morten FrendrupMidfielder | 10 (9) | 831 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.80 | – |
| Milutin OsmajicAttacker | 10 (9) | 825 | 4 | 1 | 0.71 | 6.95 | – |
| Alessandro MarcandalliDefender | 11 (9) | 817 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.54 | ×2 |
| Junior MessiasAttacker | 11 (6) | 580 | 2 | 1 | 0.43 | 7.24 | – |
| VitinhaAttacker | 10 (4) | 474 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 6.54 | |
| Tommaso BaldanziMidfielder | 7 (6) | 422 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | 6.86 | – |
| Kingsley EhizibueMidfielder | 7 (5) | 414 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Lorenzo ColomboAttacker | 9 (4) | 381 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.69 | – |
| Hamed Junior TraoréMidfielder | 5 (4) | 349 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Stephan El ShaarawyAttacker | 7 (4) | 332 | 0 | 2 | 0.63 | 6.94 | – |
| Djibril SowMidfielder | 7 (4) | 328 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.19 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.82 | 1.99 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.82 | 1.99 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.86 | 2.03 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.85 | 2.05 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Betano.dk | 16.00 | 8.75 |
More on Sassuolo vs Genoa
- Sassuolo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Genoa stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture