Carrarese vs Virtus Entella Prediction – Match preview
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Stadio dei MarmiRound 12
Our prediction
Virtus Entella to win (40%)
Carrarese 29% · Draw 31% · Virtus Entella 40%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
20%
48%
CarrareseDraw 32%Virtus Entella
Bookmaker implied
38%
32%
CarrareseDraw 30%Virtus Entella
0.6 – 1.1
Expected score
25%
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
40%
32%
CarrareseDraw 28%Virtus Entella
First Half Result
27%
25%
CarrareseDraw 48%Virtus Entella
Team to Score First
46%
45%
CarrareseNo goal 9%Virtus Entella
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
Carrarese Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Carrarese Over 1.5 Goals
37%
Virtus Entella Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Carrarese Over 0.5 Goals
71%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026CarrareseVirtus Entella
- 17
- League position
- 16
- LLWLW
- Last 5
- LLDLW
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 5.50
- xG for (L5)
- 3.25
- 4.90
- xG against (L5)
- 3.49
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Carrarese wins
1
Draws
1
Virtus Entella wins
Last 4 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Carrarese in the last 4 meetings
WLWD
Key Players
Serie B, this seasonCarrarese
Top scorer
Tommaso Rubino
3 goals
Most assists
Jonas Rouhi
2 assists
Best rated
Jonas Rouhi
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filippo OlianaDefender | 11 (11) | 992 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Filippo RealeDefender | 11 (11) | 965 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.65 | |
| Jonas RouhiMidfielder | 11 (11) | 952 | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | 7.15 | ×3 |
| Fabio Andrea RuggeriDefender | 11 (11) | 927 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Gabriele ParlantiMidfielder | 11 (10) | 867 | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | 6.76 | ×3 |
| Fabio AbiusoAttacker | 11 (11) | 862 | 2 | 1 | 0.73 | 6.77 | ×3 |
| Semuel PizzignaccoGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 812 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Nicolás SchiaviMidfielder | 11 (10) | 783 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.96 | |
| Matthias BraunöderMidfielder | 8 (6) | 556 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 | 6.93 | |
| Jacopo MartiniMidfielder | 10 (5) | 467 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.58 | – |
| Niccolò BelloniMidfielder | 7 (4) | 392 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.66 | |
| Luka TopalovićMidfielder | 10 (4) | 369 | 1 | 1 | 0.71 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Tommaso RubinoAttacker | 8 (5) | 358 | 3 | 0 | 1.32 | 7.09 | |
| Moustapha CisséAttacker | 8 (4) | 342 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.75 | – |
| Lorenzo RomaniDefender | 3 (3) | 264 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
Virtus Entella
Top scorer
Bernat Guiu
2 goals
Most assists
Bernat Guiu
2 assists
Best rated
Bernat Guiu
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea FranzoniMidfielder | 11 (11) | 972 | 1 | 1 | 0.41 | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Stefano Di MarioMidfielder | 11 (11) | 928 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Federico Del FrateGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Andrea TiritielloDefender | 11 (10) | 888 | 1 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Mattia AlborghettiDefender | 10 (10) | 823 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Bernat GuiuAttacker | 11 (8) | 756 | 2 | 2 | 0.20 | 7.25 | ×3 |
| Niccolò SquizzatoMidfielder | 10 (10) | 708 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Luca ParodiDefender | 8 (8) | 689 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Luigi CupponeAttacker | 10 (7) | 643 | 1 | 0 | 0.68 | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Luca VignaliMidfielder | 10 (7) | 543 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Leonardo BenedettiMidfielder | 9 (5) | 426 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Francesco MezzoniMidfielder | 6 (4) | 412 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.63 | |
| Mattia TirelliAttacker | 10 (5) | 373 | 2 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.71 | |
| Ivan MarconiDefender | 6 (3) | 333 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.33 | ×2 |
| Nicolas PrevitaliDefender | 6 (3) | 282 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.77 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.06 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.70 | 2.06 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.70 | 2.06 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.08 | 1.79 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.08 | 1.80 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
More on Carrarese vs Virtus Entella
- Carrarese stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Virtus Entella stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie B (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture