Ponte Preta vs Operário PR Prediction – Match preview
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Estádio Moisés LucarelliRound 38
Our prediction
Operário PR to win (63%)
Ponte Preta 15% · Draw 22% · Operário PR 63% · Over 2.5 goals: 49% · Both teams to score: 46%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
15%
63%
Ponte PretaDraw 22%Operário PR
Bookmaker implied
19%
57%
Ponte PretaDraw 24%Operário PR
0.8 – 1.9
Expected score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
28%
45%
Ponte PretaDraw 27%Operário PR
First Half Result
24%
30%
Ponte PretaDraw 46%Operário PR
Team to Score First
39%
52%
Ponte PretaNo goal 9%Operário PR
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Ponte Preta Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Ponte Preta Over 1.5 Goals
28%
Operário PR Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Ponte Preta Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Match Result
Ponte Preta
23%4.62
model 4.34+6%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
25%3.87
model 3.95-2%
Last 1020%4/20
Operário PR
52%1.69
model 1.94-13%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Ponte Preta
31%3.43
model 3.24disputed
Last 1038%6/16
Operário PR
69%1.25
model 1.45-14%
Last 1063%10/16
Double chance
Ponte Preta or draw
48%2.11
model 2.07+2%
Last 1050%10/20
Ponte Preta or Operário PR
75%1.24
model 1.34-7%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Operário PR
77%1.18
model 1.30-9%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.2–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 1.26 / 3.67 | 80%16/20 | -5% / -9% |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | 1.83 / 1.96 | 45%9/20 | -5% / -6% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | 3.07 / 1.35 | 30%6/20 | -7% / -6% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | 5.91 / 1.12 | 20%4/20 | -10% / -5% |
Both teams to score
53%Yes 1.80
Last 1040%8/20
Ponte Preta clean sheet
19%
model chance
Operário PR clean sheet
33%
model chance
Ponte Preta goals
O0.5 67%O1.5 30%O2.5 10%
Operário PR goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Corners
Expected 10.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Ponte Preta corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Operário PR corners
O2.5 95%O3.5 87%O4.5 75%O5.5 59%O6.5 43%O7.5 29%
Cards
Expected 5.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
Ponte Preta cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 77%O2.5 53%O3.5 31%
Operário PR cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 73%O2.5 47%O3.5 26%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabriel Boschilia Operário PR | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Vinícius Diniz Operário PR | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Maguinho Operário PR | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Danilo Barcelos Ponte Preta | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
David da Hora Ponte Preta | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Lucas Cunha Ponte Preta | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Sergio Palacios Ponte Preta | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.37 | 2.37 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Vinícius Diniz Operário PR | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Kevyson Ponte Preta | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Gabriel Boschilia Operário PR | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.37 | 2.37 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Gabriel Boschilia Operário PR | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.50 | 3.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
William Klaus Operário PR | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Gabriel Caran Ponte Preta | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Vinícius Diniz Operário PR | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.50 | 3.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
José Cuenú Operário PR | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Mikael Doka Operário PR | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Neto Paraíba Operário PR | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Gabriel Boschilia Operário PR | Over 4.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Juan Zuluaga Operário PR | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Danilo Barcelos Ponte Preta | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.00 | 5.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
Danilo Barcelos Ponte Preta | Over 0.5 Assists · 7.50 | 7.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
Diego Porfirio Ponte Preta | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.37 | 2.37 | – | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
José Cuenú Operário PR | Over 0.5 Goals · 8.50 | 8.50 | – | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
Vinícius Diniz Operário PR | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50 | 4.50 | – | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Ponte PretaOperário PR
- 20
- League position
- 10
- LLDDL
- Last 5
- WLWLL
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Ponte Preta wins
2
Draws
2
Operário PR wins
Last 5 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Ponte Preta in the last 5 meetings
LLDWD
Injuries & Suspensions
Ponte Preta
- ElvisCruciate Ligament Injury
- KevysonCruciate Ligament Injury
Operário PR
No reported absences
Key Players
Serie B, this seasonPonte Preta
Top scorer
Brandão
5 goals
Most assists
Elvis
5 assists
Best rated
Elvis
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas CunhaDefender | 22 (20) | 1902 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×8 |
| BrandãoAttacker | 26 (19) | 1795 | 5 | 1 | – | 6.77 | |
| Sergio PalaciosDefender | 21 (20) | 1748 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.52 | ×8 |
| Danilo BarcelosDefender | 24 (21) | 1667 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.52 | ×7 |
| André LimaMidfielder | 21 (20) | 1653 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×7 |
| VeniciusGoalkeeper | 18 (18) | 1620 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×3 |
| David da HoraAttacker | 27 (22) | 1583 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.64 | ×2 |
| ElvisMidfielder | 19 (16) | 1345 | 2 | 5 | – | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Diogo SilvaGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| KevysonDefender | 18 (14) | 1195 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Marcio SilvaDefender | 14 (14) | 1122 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.42 | ×4 |
| Diego PorfirioDefender | 17 (10) | 1029 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
| ThalysDefender | 12 (11) | 925 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Rodrigo SouzaMidfielder | 16 (11) | 916 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| William PottkerAttacker | 12 (12) | 867 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×3 |
Operário PR
Top scorer
Gabriel Boschilia
12 goals
Most assists
Gabriel Boschilia
4 assists
Best rated
Gabriel Boschilia
7.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinícius DinizMidfielder | 34 (33) | 2799 | 7 | 1 | – | 7.13 | ×8 |
| VagnerGoalkeeper | 30 (30) | 2533 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Gabriel BoschiliaMidfielder | 28 (28) | 2384 | 12 | 4 | – | 7.51 | ×8 |
| José CuenúDefender | 26 (26) | 2329 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×8 |
| Matheus TrindadeMidfielder | 31 (26) | 2146 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×3 |
| Mikael DokaDefender | 30 (28) | 2096 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.87 | ×5 |
| MoraesDefender | 31 (24) | 2044 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×6 |
| MirandaDefender | 26 (22) | 1979 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×7 |
| Gabriel FelicianoDefender | 31 (22) | 1957 | 1 | 4 | – | 6.94 | ×3 |
| Hildeberto PereiraMidfielder | 31 (25) | 1879 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.64 | ×7 |
| PabloAttacker | 23 (22) | 1713 | 4 | 3 | – | 6.97 | ×4 |
| AylonAttacker | 31 (21) | 1497 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.72 | ×5 |
| JosephDefender | 15 (15) | 1350 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×5 |
| Caio Henrique da Silva DantasAttacker | 30 (14) | 1289 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| MaguinhoDefender | 19 (9) | 1075 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×3 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.05 | 6.60 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.82 | 1.97 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 10.50 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 2.20 | 1.55 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 2.20 | 1.55 |
| Campobet | — | — | 2.20 | 1.55 |
| Marathonbet | 8.80 | 1.01 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 3.58 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 23.00 | 1.01 |
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 7.30 | 1.05 |
| Betinia | 1.75 | 1.90 |
| Betsonic | 1.75 | 1.90 |
| Campobet | 1.75 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.91 | 1.12 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 16.00 | 24.00 | 4.45 | 5.80 | 8.10 | 10.50 | 41.00 | 15.50 | 2.39 |
| Marathonbet | 16.25 | 24.00 | 4.45 | 5.80 | 8.10 | 10.50 | 41.00 | 15.75 | 2.39 |
More on Ponte Preta vs Operário PR
- Ponte Preta stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Operário PR stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie B (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture