São Bernardo vs Athletic Club Prediction – Match preview
São Bernardo-:-
Athletic ClubRound 38
Our prediction
Athletic Club to win (38%)
São Bernardo 33% · Draw 28% · Athletic Club 38% · Over 2.5 goals: 41% · Both teams to score: 47%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 11 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
33%
39%
São BernardoDraw 28%Athletic Club
Bookmaker implied
47%
25%
São BernardoDraw 28%Athletic Club
1.1 – 1.2
Expected score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
42%
31%
São BernardoDraw 27%Athletic Club
First Half Result
30%
22%
São BernardoDraw 48%Athletic Club
Team to Score First
53%
38%
São BernardoNo goal 9%Athletic Club
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
São Bernardo Over 0.5 Goals
73%
São Bernardo Over 1.5 Goals
39%
São Bernardo Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Athletic Club Over 0.5 Goals
65%
Match Result
São Bernardo
48%1.93
model 2.08-7%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
27%3.50
model 3.73-6%
Last 1030%6/20
Athletic Club
25%3.88
model 3.98-3%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
São Bernardo
66%1.38
model 1.52-9%
Last 1064%9/14
Athletic Club
34%2.77
model 2.91-5%
Last 1036%5/14
Double chance
São Bernardo or draw
75%1.24
model 1.34-7%
Last 1075%15/20
São Bernardo or Athletic Club
73%1.29
model 1.37-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Athletic Club
52%1.84
model 1.92-4%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 1.29 / 3.46 | 75%15/20 | -3% / -14% |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | 1.96 / 1.85 | 60%12/20 | 0% / -10% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | 3.36 / 1.30 | 30%6/20 | 0% / -9% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | 6.49 / 1.10 | 10%2/20 | -2% / -7% |
Both teams to score
54%Yes 1.80
Last 1065%13/20
São Bernardo clean sheet
26%
model chance
Athletic Club clean sheet
22%
model chance
São Bernardo goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Athletic Club goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 10.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 22% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
São Bernardo corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Athletic Club corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cards · Referee Paulo Belence Alves dos Prazeres Filho (7.0 cards a match, ×1.06)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
São Bernardo cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 14%
Athletic Club cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wilinton Aponzá Athletic Club | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Yago Santos Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kauan Rodrigues Athletic Club | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Felipe Negrucci Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kauan Lindes Athletic Club | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 80%4/5 | 44%4/9 | – |
Fabrício Daniel São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Gian Cabezas Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Kauan Rodrigues Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.00 | 5.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Kauan Lindes Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 33%3/9 | – |
Kauan Lindes Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.75 | 4.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 33%3/9 | – |
Jemerson São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Rodrigo Ferreira São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.60 | 3.60 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Rodrigo Ferreira São Bernardo | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Fabrício Daniel São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Wilinton Aponzá Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.20 | 3.20 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Wilinton Aponzá Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Felipe Vieira Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Felipe Garcia São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.37 | 2.37 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Felipe Garcia São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25 | 3.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Hyoran São Bernardo | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Lucas Fernandes São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Carlinhos Athletic Club | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.75 | 3.75 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Rodrigo Ferreira São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Goals · 6.50 | 6.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Pedrinho São Bernardo | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | – | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 11 Nov 2026São BernardoAthletic Club
- —
- League position
- —
- LWWLD
- Last 5
- LWLDD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
São Bernardo wins
0
Draws
1
Athletic Club wins
Last 1 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
São Bernardo in the last 1 meetings
L
Injuries & Suspensions
São Bernardo
No reported absences
Athletic Club
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Injury
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Injury
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Injury
- Ronaldo TavaresCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Serie B, this seasonSão Bernardo
Top scorer
Pedrinho
6 goals
Most assists
Dudu Miraíma
5 assists
Best rated
Dudu Miraíma
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex AlvesGoalkeeper | 36 (0) | 3196 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.10 | ×4 |
| Rodrigo FerreiraDefender | 32 (0) | 2816 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.00 | ×5 |
| Dudu MiraímaMidfielder | 35 (0) | 2773 | 3 | 5 | – | 7.30 | ×6 |
| ParáDefender | 32 (0) | 2556 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.70 | ×4 |
| JemersonDefender | 30 (0) | 2382 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×4 |
| FoguinhoMidfielder | 34 (0) | 2302 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×5 |
| AugustoDefender | 26 (0) | 2261 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | ×5 |
| Felipe GarciaAttacker | 30 (0) | 2045 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.80 | ×5 |
| RomissonMidfielder | 28 (0) | 2000 | 1 | 4 | – | 7.00 | |
| PedrinhoAttacker | 26 (0) | 1555 | 6 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Hélder MacielDefender | 18 (0) | 1443 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×7 |
| Pedro VitorAttacker | 26 (0) | 1327 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.00 | ×4 |
| EchaporãAttacker | 20 (0) | 1126 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.70 | |
| Lucas LimaMidfielder | 18 (0) | 920 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| MarcãoMidfielder | 23 (0) | 868 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×3 |
Athletic Club
Top scorer
Ian Luccas
4 goals
Most assists
Kauan Rodrigues
5 assists
Best rated
Luan Polli
7.10
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan PolliGoalkeeper | 35 (0) | 3150 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.10 | |
| Lucas BeleziDefender | 34 (0) | 2967 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Kauan RodriguesMidfielder | 34 (0) | 2868 | 3 | 5 | – | 7.00 | ×4 |
| João MiguelMidfielder | 35 (0) | 2793 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×4 |
| JhonathanDefender | 30 (0) | 2586 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×8 |
| Diogo BatistaDefender | 28 (0) | 2110 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.70 | ×8 |
| MaxAttacker | 28 (0) | 1882 | 3 | 4 | – | 6.80 | ×4 |
| ZecaDefender | 24 (0) | 1604 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.80 | ×5 |
| EnzoDefender | 22 (0) | 1568 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| JotaMidfielder | 29 (0) | 1506 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.80 | ×4 |
| Ian LuccasMidfielder | 17 (0) | 1320 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.80 | ×4 |
| Dixon VeraAttacker | 29 (0) | 1135 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×4 |
| Gian CabezasMidfielder | 21 (0) | 966 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×2 |
| Douglas PeléDefender | 18 (0) | 896 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Felipe NegrucciMidfielder | 15 (0) | 890 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
Referee
- Cards per game
- 7.00
- Yellow cards per game
- 6.00
- Red cards per game
- 1.00
- Fouls per game
- 36.0
- Penalties per game
- 0.00
- Home wins
- 0%
Averages across 1 completed match officiated by Paulo Belence Alves dos Prazeres Filho in our database. Full referee profile and card-line form
Odds Comparison
2nd Half Result
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.27 | 2.43 | 4.03 |
| bet365 | 2.25 | 2.40 | 3.75 |
| Campobet | 2.33 | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 2.43 | 3.92 |
| WilliamHill | 2.38 | 2.30 | 3.90 |
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home -0.5 | Away +0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Campobet | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| Macauslot | 1.89 | 1.81 |
| MansionBet | 1.96 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 1.88 |
Corners Over Under
| Bookmaker | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 1.84 |
Full Time Result
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.90 | 3.44 | 3.82 |
| bet365 | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| bwin | 1.93 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Campobet | 1.93 | 3.33 | 3.60 |
| Coral | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Macauslot | 1.89 | 3.10 | 3.07 |
| MansionBet | 1.96 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.44 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.88 |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.94 | 1.79 |
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.89 | 1.78 |
| Campobet | 1.86 | 1.78 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 1.79 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 1.85 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Home | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 3.10 | 13.00 | 34.00 | 5.00 | 5.50 | 8.50 | 23.00 | 15.00 | 6.50 |
More on São Bernardo vs Athletic Club
- São Bernardo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Athletic Club stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie B (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture