Basel vs Luzern Prediction – Match preview
Basel-:-
LuzernSt. Jakob-ParkRound 14
Our prediction
Basel to win (45%)
Basel 45% · Draw 26% · Luzern 30% · Over 2.5 goals: 50% · Both teams to score: 54%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
45%
29%
BaselDraw 26%Luzern
Bookmaker implied
42%
35%
BaselDraw 23%Luzern
1.5 – 1.2
Expected score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026BaselLuzern
- 7
- League position
- 9
- DLDLL
- Last 5
- LDLLW
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 4.68
- xG for (L5)
- 6.19
- 3.11
- xG against (L5)
- 6.64
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
12
Basel wins
5
Draws
3
Luzern wins
Last 20 meetings
3.4
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
65%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Basel in the last 5 meetings
WLWLW
Key Players
Super League, this seasonBasel
Top scorer
Zan Celar
8 goals
Most assists
Kazeem Olaigbe
4 assists
Best rated
Akpe Victory
7.20
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavius DaniliucDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | |
| Zan CelarAttacker | 13 (13) | 1102 | 8 | 2 | 1.66 | 7.10 | |
| Akpe VictoryDefender | 13 (12) | 1085 | 1 | 1 | 0.52 | 7.20 | ×3 |
| MetinhoMidfielder | 12 (11) | 1013 | 1 | 2 | 0.31 | 6.81 | ×3 |
| Keigo TsunemotoDefender | 11 (9) | 825 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Becir OmeragicMidfielder | 10 (9) | 813 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.83 | ×2 |
| Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielder | 12 (8) | 781 | 3 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.03 | ×4 |
| Kazeem OlaigbeAttacker | 12 (10) | 742 | 2 | 4 | 0.07 | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Moussa CisséDefender | 11 (9) | 686 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.31 | ×2 |
| Mirko SalviGoalkeeper | 8 (7) | 674 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Philip OteleAttacker | 12 (7) | 655 | 3 | 0 | 1.10 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Asane SowAttacker | 8 (7) | 618 | 3 | 4 | 0.31 | 7.18 | – |
| Ludwig Malachowski ThorellMidfielder | 12 (8) | 550 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Jonas OmlinGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 496 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Clément MichelinDefender | 5 (4) | 323 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.68 |
Luzern
Top scorer
Matteo Di Giusto
4 goals
Most assists
Matteo Di Giusto
3 assists
Best rated
Matteo Di Giusto
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Di GiustoMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1134 | 4 | 3 | 1.85 | 7.32 | |
| Andrejs CiganiksDefender | 12 (10) | 907 | 3 | 0 | 0.08 | 7.07 | ×5 |
| Karlo LeticaGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Bung Meng FreimannDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Leonardo BertoneMidfielder | 10 (10) | 867 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| Rúben Dantas FernandesDefender | 11 (10) | 836 | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | 6.95 | |
| Daniel MikolajewskiAttacker | 11 (10) | 835 | 4 | 3 | 1.40 | 7.13 | |
| Oscar KabwitAttacker | 11 (11) | 782 | 3 | 2 | 0.30 | 6.74 | |
| Tyron OwusuMidfielder | 12 (10) | 769 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.65 | |
| Pius DornDefender | 9 (8) | 764 | 0 | 0 | 0.48 | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Mio ZimmermannMidfielder | 13 (10) | 719 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Bung Hua FreimannDefender | 10 (8) | 669 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.70 | ×4 |
| Stefan KnezevicDefender | 6 (5) | 450 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Lucas Manuel Silva FerreiraMidfielder | 12 (4) | 385 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| Loïc LüthiDefender | 6 (4) | 369 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.47 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.02 | 1.86 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.67 | 2.11 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.02 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| Betano.dk | 10.25 | 1.03 |
More on Basel vs Luzern
- Basel stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Luzern stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Super League (Switzerland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture