Kalamata vs AEK Athens Prediction – Match preview
Kalamata-:-
AEK AthensDimotiko Stadio ParaliasRound 11
Our prediction
AEK Athens to win (58%)
Kalamata 22% · Draw 21% · AEK Athens 58%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
32%
45%
KalamataDraw 23%AEK Athens
Bookmaker implied
11%
71%
KalamataDraw 18%AEK Athens
1.5 – 1.8
Expected score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
31%
42%
KalamataDraw 27%AEK Athens
First Half Result
27%
28%
KalamataDraw 45%AEK Athens
Team to Score First
44%
48%
KalamataNo goal 8%AEK Athens
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Kalamata Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Kalamata Over 1.5 Goals
31%
AEK Athens Over 0.5 Goals
73%
Kalamata Over 0.5 Goals
65%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026KalamataAEK Athens
- 8
- League position
- 3
- DDLWW
- Last 5
- WLWWW
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 2.89
- xG for (L5)
- 7.67
- 2.06
- xG against (L5)
- 1.84
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Key Players
Super League, this seasonKalamata
Top scorer
Dawid Kurminowski
5 goals
Most assists
Ahmad Mendes Moreira
3 assists
Best rated
Dawid Kurminowski
7.18
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petros KaloutsikidisDefender | 10 (10) | 878 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 6.82 | |
| RodriguesDefender | 10 (10) | 875 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Stefanos StroungisDefender | 10 (10) | 847 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Ahmad Mendes MoreiraMidfielder | 10 (10) | 836 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 6.70 | |
| Julio AlonsoDefender | 9 (9) | 737 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.55 | ×3 |
| Erik HamzaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 720 | 2 | 0 | 0.55 | 6.88 | – |
| Gonzalo PiñeiroMidfielder | 7 (7) | 586 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | ×4 |
| Ioannis GeliosGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Djibril DiarraMidfielder | 9 (6) | 495 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Arnór SigurdssonMidfielder | 7 (5) | 454 | 1 | 0 | 0.47 | 6.47 | |
| Jovanny BolívarAttacker | 7 (4) | 439 | 3 | 0 | 0.68 | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Dawid KurminowskiAttacker | 6 (5) | 367 | 5 | 0 | 0.62 | 7.18 | ×2 |
| Juan CataldiMidfielder | 8 (4) | 365 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Nikola VasiljevićGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Kenneth VargasMidfielder | 4 (4) | 308 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
AEK Athens
Top scorer
Barnabás Varga
6 goals
Most assists
Răzvan Marin
4 assists
Best rated
Răzvan Marin
7.36
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold MoukoudiDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 2 | 1 | 0.41 | 7.02 | |
| Filipe RelvasDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 7.24 | – |
| Stavros PiliosDefender | 9 (9) | 800 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.23 | – |
| Răzvan MarinMidfielder | 9 (8) | 694 | 1 | 4 | 0.40 | 7.36 | |
| Luka JovićAttacker | 9 (8) | 688 | 5 | 0 | 1.34 | 7.10 | |
| Lovro MajerMidfielder | 8 (7) | 591 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 7.21 | ×3 |
| Lazaros RotaDefender | 7 (7) | 582 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Alberto BrignoliGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Barnabás VargaAttacker | 7 (6) | 515 | 6 | 0 | 1.87 | 7.30 | |
| Milán VitálisMidfielder | 8 (6) | 504 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Aboubakary KoitaMidfielder | 8 (5) | 487 | 2 | 1 | 1.18 | 7.16 | ×3 |
| Mijat GacinovicMidfielder | 6 (4) | 336 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.03 | |
| ZiniAttacker | 8 (2) | 321 | 3 | 0 | 0.94 | 7.12 | |
| Thomas StrakoshaGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Petros MantalosMidfielder | 8 (3) | 234 | 0 | 2 | 0.43 | 6.91 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.84 | 1.89 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.84 | 1.89 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.84 | 2.00 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.86 | 2.02 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| Betano.dk | 16.00 | 1.01 |
More on Kalamata vs AEK Athens
- Kalamata stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- AEK Athens stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Super League (Greece) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture