Burkina Faso vs Mauritania Prediction – Match preview
Burkina Faso-:-
MauritaniaStade du 4 AoûtRound 3
Our prediction
Burkina Faso to win (51%)
Burkina Faso 51% · Draw 27% · Mauritania 22% · Over 2.5 goals: 41% · Both teams to score: 44%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 05 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
51%
22%
Burkina FasoDraw 27%Mauritania
1.5 – 0.9
Expected score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
62%
14%
Burkina FasoDraw 24%Mauritania
First Half Result
49%
11%
Burkina FasoDraw 40%Mauritania
Team to Score First
69%
21%
Burkina FasoNo goal 10%Mauritania
Probability
Both Teams to Score
36%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
Burkina Faso Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Burkina Faso Over 1.5 Goals
49%
Mauritania Over 0.5 Goals
42%
Burkina Faso Over 0.5 Goals
80%
Match Result
Burkina Faso
47%–
model 2.12–
Last 1058%7/12
Draw
27%–
model 3.67–
Last 1017%2/12
Mauritania
26%–
model 3.90–
Last 1025%3/12
Draw no bet
Burkina Faso
65%–
model 1.55–
Last 1070%7/10
Mauritania
35%–
model 2.83–
Last 1030%3/10
Double chance
Burkina Faso or draw
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1075%9/12
Burkina Faso or Mauritania
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1083%10/12
Draw or Mauritania
53%–
model 1.89–
Last 1042%5/12
Expected goals 1.6–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 92%11/12 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 67%8/12 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 50%6/12 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%3/12 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 87% | – | 0%0/12 | – |
Both teams to score
54%
Last 1042%5/12
Burkina Faso clean sheet
29%
model chance
Mauritania clean sheet
23%
model chance
Burkina Faso goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Mauritania goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 50%6/12 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 42%5/12 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 42%5/12 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 33%4/12 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 33%4/12 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 17%2/12 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 17%2/12 | – |
Burkina Faso corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Mauritania corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 67%8/12 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 42%5/12 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 17%2/12 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 8%1/12 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 8%1/12 | – |
Burkina Faso cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Mauritania cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026Burkina FasoMauritania
- 18
- League position
- 22
- WD
- Last 5
- LW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.50
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 1
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Burkina Faso wins
1
Draws
0
Mauritania wins
Last 3 meetings
1.3
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Burkina Faso in the last 3 meetings
WWD
Injuries & Suspensions
Burkina Faso
No reported absences
Mauritania
- Aly AbeidMuscular problems
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonBurkina Faso
Top scorer
Lassina Traoré
1 goals
Most assists
Arthur Zagré
1 assists
Best rated
Lohann Doucet
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issa KaboréDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Lohann DoucetMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.41 | – |
| Nasser DjigaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Hervé KoffiGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Arsène KouassiDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| Ousseni BoudaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 179 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Edmond TapsobaDefender | 2 (2) | 177 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Ismahila OuédraogoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 160 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Lassina TraoréAttacker | 2 (2) | 136 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Georgi MinoungouMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.85 | – |
| Arthur ZagréDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Abdoul TapsobaAttacker | 1 (1) | 59 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Rachid KoudaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 47 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Elohim KaboréAttacker | 2 (0) | 43 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Aboubacar CamaraMidfielder | 1 (0) | 31 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.22 | – |
Mauritania
Top scorer
Aboubakary Koita
2 goals
Most assists
Oumar Ngom
1 assists
Best rated
Aboubakary Koita
7.80
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aboubakary KoitaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.80 | – |
| Mamadou DiopGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Jordan LefortDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Lamine BaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.31 | – |
| Djeidi GassamaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 173 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Oumar NgomMidfielder | 2 (2) | 166 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Dawda CamaraAttacker | 2 (2) | 159 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| M. BoddaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 147 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Khadim DiawDefender | 2 (1) | 114 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Hemeya TanjyAttacker | 2 (0) | 97 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| B. NiasseGoalkeeper | 1 (0) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.41 | – |
| Mohamed Ali DiadiéDefender | 1 (1) | 69 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Idrissa ThiamAttacker | 1 (1) | 66 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Aly AbeidDefender | 1 (1) | 66 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Ibrahima KeitaDefender | 2 (0) | 65 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.55 | 1.43 |
| MelBet | 2.55 | 1.43 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 3.76 | 1.21 |
More on Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
- Burkina Faso stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Mauritania stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture