Congo vs Comoros Prediction – Match preview
Congo-:-
ComorosRound 4
Our prediction
Congo to win (53%)
Congo 53% · Draw 24% · Comoros 22%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 08 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
68%
13%
CongoDraw 19%Comoros
Bookmaker implied
39%
31%
CongoDraw 30%Comoros
2.2 – 0.9
Expected score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
31%
41%
CongoDraw 28%Comoros
First Half Result
23%
28%
CongoDraw 49%Comoros
Team to Score First
43%
47%
CongoNo goal 10%Comoros
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
Congo Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Congo Over 1.5 Goals
29%
Comoros Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Congo Over 0.5 Goals
63%
Match Result
Congo
39%–
model 2.55–
Last 1036%4/11
Draw
31%–
model 3.27–
Last 1027%3/11
Comoros
30%–
model 3.31–
Last 1036%4/11
Draw no bet
Congo
57%–
model 1.77–
Last 1050%4/8
Comoros
43%–
model 2.30–
Last 1050%4/8
Double chance
Congo or draw
70%–
model 1.43–
Last 1064%7/11
Congo or Comoros
69%–
model 1.44–
Last 1073%8/11
Draw or Comoros
61%–
model 1.65–
Last 1064%7/11
Expected goals 1.3–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 82%9/11 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 45%5/11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 27%3/11 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 18%2/11 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 0%0/11 | – |
Both teams to score
47%
Last 1036%4/11
Congo clean sheet
31%
model chance
Comoros clean sheet
32%
model chance
Congo goals
O0.5 68%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Comoros goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 73%8/11 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 64%7/11 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 55%6/11 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 62% | – | 36%4/11 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 18%2/11 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 9%1/11 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 9%1/11 | – |
Congo corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Comoros corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cards · Referee Brahamou Sadou Ali (3.5 cards a match, ×0.98)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 73%8/11 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%5/11 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 18%2/11 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 9%1/11 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 9%1/11 | – |
Congo cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Comoros cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026CongoComoros
- 43
- League position
- 29
- DL
- Last 5
- WL
- 0.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.50
- 1
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonCongo
Top scorer
—
Most assists
Yvan Ikia Dimi
1 assists
Best rated
Bryan Passi
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaius MakoutaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Christ MakossoDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
| Janard MbembaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Beni NambokaAttacker | 2 (1) | 118 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | |
| Merveil NdockytMidfielder | 2 (1) | 114 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Yvan Ikia DimiMidfielder | 2 (1) | 103 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Bradley MazikouDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Bryan PassiDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | |
| William HondermarckMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | |
| Perrauld NdingaGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Melvin ZingaGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Morgan PoatyDefender | 1 (1) | 83 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | – |
| Domi MassoumouAttacker | 2 (1) | 77 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Yhoan AndzouanaDefender | 1 (1) | 68 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Mons BassouaminaAttacker | 2 (0) | 66 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
Comoros
Top scorer
Benjaloud Youssouf
1 goals
Most assists
Benjaloud Youssouf
1 assists
Best rated
Warmed Omari
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjaloud YoussoufDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Aboubacar AliAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.99 | – |
| Warmed OmariDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Yannick PandorGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Zaydou YoussoufMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Iyad MohamedMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Akim AbdallahDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Kassim HadjiAttacker | 2 (2) | 131 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Yacine BourhaneMidfielder | 2 (1) | 121 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Kenan ToibibouDefender | 2 (1) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Yannis KariDefender | 2 (2) | 114 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Aymeric AhmedMidfielder | 1 (1) | 78 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Yassine SaindouMidfielder | 2 (1) | 60 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | – |
| Housseine ZakouaniAttacker | 2 (0) | 49 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Rayan LutinMidfielder | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
Referee
Brahamou Sadou Ali
Referee · Niger
- Cards per game
- 3.50
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.50
- Red cards per game
- 0.00
- Fouls per game
- 31.5
- Penalties per game
- 0.00
- Home wins
- 100%
Averages across 2 completed matches officiated by Brahamou Sadou Ali in our database. Full referee profile and card-line form
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.67 | 2.03 |
More on Congo vs Comoros
- Congo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Comoros stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture