Mali vs Rwanda Prediction – Match preview

Friday, 13 November 2026 · 20:00

Mali

-:-

Rwanda

Stade 26 MarsRound 3

Our prediction

Mali to win (49%)

Mali 49% · Draw 20% · Rwanda 30% · Over 2.5 goals: 75% · Both teams to score: 73%

From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.

Match Preview

Updated 05 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

49%

30%

MaliDraw 21%Rwanda

2.2 – 1.7

Expected score

75%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

Both teams to score

Data provider's forecast

Full Time Result

61%

16%

MaliDraw 23%Rwanda

First Half Result

48%

11%

MaliDraw 41%Rwanda

Team to Score First

69%

23%

MaliNo goal 8%Rwanda

Probability

Both Teams to Score

45%

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

49%

Over 3.5 Goals

27%

Mali Over 3.5 Goals

11%

Mali Over 1.5 Goals

53%

Rwanda Over 0.5 Goals

49%

Mali Over 0.5 Goals

83%

Match Result

Mali

47%–

model 2.12–

Last 1046%6/13

Draw

27%–

model 3.65–

Last 1031%4/13

Rwanda

26%–

model 3.92–

Last 1023%3/13

Draw no bet

Mali

65%–

model 1.54–

Last 1067%6/9

Rwanda

35%–

model 2.85–

Last 1033%3/9

Double chance

Mali or draw

75%–

model 1.34–

Last 1077%10/13

Mali or Rwanda

73%–

model 1.38–

Last 1069%9/13

Draw or Rwanda

53%–

model 1.89–

Last 1054%7/13

Expected goals 1.6–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	93%	7%	–	92%12/13	–
Over/under 1.5	74%	26%	–	69%9/13	–
Over/under 2.5main	50%	50%	–	38%5/13	–
Over/under 3.5	28%	72%	–	23%3/13	–
Over/under 4.5	13%	87%	–	8%1/13	–

Both teams to score

54%

Last 1054%7/13

Mali clean sheet

30%

model chance

Rwanda clean sheet

24%

model chance

Mali goals

O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%

Rwanda goals

O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%

Corners

Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	70%	30%	–	50%6/12	–
Over/under 8.5	57%	43%	–	50%6/12	–
Over/under 9.5main	44%	56%	–	42%5/12	–
Over/under 10.5	31%	69%	–	42%5/12	–
Over/under 11.5	21%	79%	–	17%2/12	–
Over/under 12.5	14%	86%	–	8%1/12	–
Over/under 13.5	8%	92%	–	8%1/12	–

Mali corners

O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%

Rwanda corners

O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%

Cards

Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	84%	16%	–	85%11/13	–
Over/under 3.5	68%	32%	–	62%8/13	–
Over/under 4.5main	49%	51%	–	54%7/13	–
Over/under 5.5	32%	68%	–	31%4/13	–
Over/under 6.5	18%	82%	–	31%4/13	–

Mali cards

O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%

Rwanda cards

O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 42%O3.5 22%

Key Players

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this season

Mali

Top scorer

Martial Tia

2 goals

Most assists

Kamory Doumbia

2 assists

Best rated

Dorgeles Nene

7.83

Mali squad statistics in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Djigui DiarraGoalkeeper	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.61	–
Nathan GassamaDefender	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	7.14	–
Mamadou SangaréMidfielder	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	7.19	–
Ousmane CamaraDefender	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.79
Lassine SinayokoAttacker	2 (2)	174	0	1	–	7.18	–
Martial TiaMidfielder	2 (2)	172	2	0	–	7.05	–
Dorgeles NeneMidfielder	2 (2)	154	2	0	–	7.83	–
Kamory DoumbiaMidfielder	2 (2)	153	0	2	–	7.17	–
Hamari TraoréDefender	2 (2)	151	0	0	–	6.68	–
Aliou DiengMidfielder	2 (1)	119	0	0	–	6.65
Daouda GuindoDefender	2 (1)	119	0	0	–	6.83	–
Adama CamaraMidfielder	1 (1)	90	0	0	–	6.87	–
Amadou HaidaraMidfielder	1 (1)	61	0	1	–	6.97	–
Lassana CoulibalyMidfielder	2 (0)	27	0	0	–	6.69	–
Gaoussou DiarraAttacker	2 (0)	26	0	0	–	6.57	–

Rwanda

Top scorer

Joy-Lance Mickels

1 goals

Most assists

Joy-Lance Mickels

1 assists

Best rated

Leroy Mickels

7.30

Rwanda squad statistics in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Fiacre NtwariGoalkeeper	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.97	–
Djihad BizimanaMidfielder	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	7.00	–
Joy-Lance MickelsMidfielder	2 (2)	180	1	1	–	6.73
Ange MutsinziDefender	2 (2)	180	0	1	–	6.92
Gilbert ByiringiroDefender	2 (2)	180	0	1	–	6.95	–
Phanuel KavitaDefender	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.43	–
Claude NiyomugaboDefender	2 (2)	180	1	0	–	6.86	–
Bonheur MugishaMidfielder	2 (2)	170	0	0	–	6.59	×2
Leroy MickelsMidfielder	2 (2)	138	1	1	–	7.30	–
Abeddy BiramahireAttacker	2 (2)	115	1	0	–	7.02	–
Jojea KwizeraAttacker	2 (1)	101	0	0	–	6.45
Gilbert MugishaMidfielder	2 (1)	79	0	0	–	6.25	–
Innocent NshutiAttacker	2 (0)	22	0	0	–	6.39
Noam EmeranAttacker	1 (0)	21	0	0	–	6.54	–
Kevin MuhireMidfielder	2 (0)	11	0	0	–	6.53	–

Bookmaker	Home	Away
1xbet	1.79	1.87
MelBet	1.79	1.87

Draw no bet

Double chance

Mali goals

Rwanda goals

Mali corners

Rwanda corners

Mali cards

Rwanda cards

Mali

Rwanda

Mali

Rwanda

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

Mali vs Rwanda Prediction – Match preview

Our prediction

Match Preview

Data provider's forecast

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Mali goals

Rwanda goals

Corners

Mali corners

Rwanda corners

Cards

Mali cards

Rwanda cards

Form Guide

Injuries & Suspensions

Mali

Rwanda

Key Players

Mali

Rwanda

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

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