Nigeria vs Tanzania Prediction – Match preview
Nigeria-:-
TanzaniaRound 3
Our prediction
Nigeria to win (67%)
Nigeria 67% · Draw 19% · Tanzania 14%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 05 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
51%
22%
NigeriaDraw 27%Tanzania
Bookmaker implied
83%
5%
NigeriaDraw 12%Tanzania
1.5 – 0.9
Expected score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
53%
20%
NigeriaDraw 27%Tanzania
First Half Result
36%
19%
NigeriaDraw 45%Tanzania
Team to Score First
55%
35%
NigeriaNo goal 10%Tanzania
Probability
Both Teams to Score
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
Nigeria Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Nigeria Over 1.5 Goals
44%
Tanzania Over 0.5 Goals
51%
Nigeria Over 0.5 Goals
77%
Match Result
Nigeria
53%–
model 1.89–
Last 1059%10/17
Draw
27%–
model 3.77–
Last 1035%6/17
Tanzania
21%–
model 4.86–
Last 106%1/17
Draw no bet
Nigeria
72%–
model 1.39–
Last 1091%10/11
Tanzania
28%–
model 3.57–
Last 109%1/11
Double chance
Nigeria or draw
79%–
model 1.26–
Last 1094%16/17
Nigeria or Tanzania
73%–
model 1.36–
Last 1065%11/17
Draw or Tanzania
47%–
model 2.12–
Last 1041%7/17
Expected goals 1.7–1.0 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 88%15/17 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 76%13/17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 41%7/17 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 18%3/17 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 6%1/17 | – |
Both teams to score
51%
Last 1053%9/17
Nigeria clean sheet
35%
model chance
Tanzania clean sheet
22%
model chance
Nigeria goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Tanzania goals
O0.5 65%O1.5 29%O2.5 9%
Corners
Expected 8.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 41%7/17 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 35%6/17 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 29%5/17 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 12%2/17 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 12%2/17 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/17 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 4% | 97% | – | 0%0/17 | – |
Nigeria corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 62%O4.5 43%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Tanzania corners
O2.5 72%O3.5 52%O4.5 32%O5.5 18%O6.5 9%O7.5 4%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 76%13/17 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 53%9/17 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 29%5/17 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 18%3/17 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 6%1/17 | – |
Nigeria cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Tanzania cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026NigeriaTanzania
- 33
- League position
- 46
- LW
- Last 5
- DL
- 1.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.50
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 1
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
1
Nigeria wins
0
Draws
0
Tanzania wins
Last 1 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Nigeria in the last 1 meetings
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Nigeria
- Samuel ChukwuezeHip Flexor Problems
Tanzania
No reported absences
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonNigeria
Top scorer
George Ilenikhena
1 goals
Most assists
Semi Ajayi
1 assists
Best rated
Alex Iwobi
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semi AjayiDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Bruno OnyemaechiDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Stanley NwabaliGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.28 | – |
| Alex IwobiMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Calvin BasseyDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Wilfred NdidiMidfielder | 2 (2) | 166 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Akor AdamsAttacker | 2 (2) | 137 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Ademola LookmanMidfielder | 2 (2) | 137 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Bright Osayi-SamuelDefender | 2 (1) | 93 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.15 | – |
| Ola AinaDefender | 1 (1) | 87 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| George IlenikhenaAttacker | 2 (1) | 83 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Moses SimonAttacker | 2 (0) | 73 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Moses UsorAttacker | 2 (0) | 73 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Taiwo AwoniyiAttacker | 2 (1) | 67 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | – |
| Samuel ChukwuezeAttacker | 1 (1) | 61 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
Tanzania
Top scorer
Cyprian Kachwele
1 goals
Most assists
Feisal Salum
1 assists
Best rated
Bakari Mwamnyeto
7.17
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis KibuMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | |
| Ibrahim HamadDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | |
| Mohamed HusseinDefender | 2 (2) | 171 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Feisal SalumMidfielder | 2 (2) | 160 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Himid Mao MkamiMidfielder | 2 (2) | 152 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | |
| Alphonce MsangaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 118 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Nathaniel ChilamboDefender | 2 (1) | 105 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Selemani Mwalimu AbdallahAttacker | 2 (1) | 99 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Haji MnogaDefender | 2 (1) | 98 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Simon MsuvaAttacker | 2 (1) | 96 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Abdul Hamisi SuleimanMidfielder | 2 (1) | 96 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Yonna GeoffreyGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Bakari MwamnyetoDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Zuberi FobaGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | – |
| Charles M'MombwaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 82 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.16 | 1.59 |
| MelBet | 2.16 | 1.59 |
More on Nigeria vs Tanzania
- Nigeria stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Tanzania stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture