South Africa vs Kenya Prediction – Match preview
South Africa-:-
KenyaOrlando StadiumRound 3
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
55%
20%
South AfricaDraw 25%Kenya
First Half Result
38%
16%
South AfricaDraw 46%Kenya
Team to Score First
61%
30%
South AfricaNo goal 9%Kenya
Probability
Both Teams to Score
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
South Africa Over 3.5 Goals
8%
South Africa Over 1.5 Goals
47%
Kenya Over 0.5 Goals
53%
South Africa Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Match Result
South Africa
51%–
model 1.97–
Last 1050%7/14
Draw
27%–
model 3.68–
Last 1014%2/14
Kenya
22%–
model 4.51–
Last 1036%5/14
Draw no bet
South Africa
70%–
model 1.44–
Last 1058%7/12
Kenya
30%–
model 3.28–
Last 1042%5/12
Double chance
South Africa or draw
78%–
model 1.28–
Last 1064%9/14
South Africa or Kenya
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1086%12/14
Draw or Kenya
49%–
model 2.03–
Last 1050%7/14
Expected goals 1.6–1.0 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 100%14/14 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 64%9/14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 43%6/14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
Both teams to score
51%
Last 1043%6/14
South Africa clean sheet
34%
model chance
Kenya clean sheet
23%
model chance
South Africa goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 19%
Kenya goals
O0.5 66%O1.5 30%O2.5 10%
Corners
Expected 8.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 57%8/14 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%7/14 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 36%5/14 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
South Africa corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 62%O4.5 43%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Kenya corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 57%8/14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 36%5/14 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 70% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
South Africa cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
Kenya cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026South AfricaKenya
- 3
- League position
- 43
- WW
- Last 5
- LD
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.50
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 1
- 1
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
South Africa
- Thapelo MasekoHamstring Injury
Kenya
- Richard OdadaBroken Fibula
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonSouth Africa
Top scorer
Relebohile Mofokeng
2 goals
Most assists
Oswin Appollis
3 assists
Best rated
Relebohile Mofokeng
8.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. SebelebeleDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Ronwen WilliamsGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Ime OkonDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.35 | |
| Oswin AppollisMidfielder | 2 (2) | 172 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.92 | – |
| Relebohile MofokengMidfielder | 2 (2) | 172 | 2 | 0 | – | 8.29 | – |
| Yaya SitholeMidfielder | 2 (2) | 169 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.39 | – |
| Olwethu MakhanyaDefender | 2 (2) | 164 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Thapelo MasekoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 156 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Iqraam RaynersAttacker | 2 (2) | 142 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Samukelo KabiniDefender | 2 (1) | 123 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Teboho MokoenaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| B. PoggenpoelMidfielder | 1 (0) | 78 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Aubrey ModibaDefender | 1 (1) | 57 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Luther SinghAttacker | 2 (0) | 24 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Y. MbuthumaAttacker | 1 (0) | 22 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.14 | – |
Kenya
Top scorer
Ryan Ogam
1 goals
Most assists
B. Omondi
1 assists
Best rated
Ryan Ogam
7.28
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryne OdhiamboGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Frank Onyango OdhiamboDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| D. AbuyaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| R. OnyangoDefender | 2 (2) | 169 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Manzur OkwaroMidfielder | 2 (2) | 160 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | |
| Ryan OgamAttacker | 2 (1) | 134 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.28 | – |
| Micah ObieroMidfielder | 2 (2) | 125 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Job OchiengMidfielder | 2 (2) | 110 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Timothy OumaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 109 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| B. OmondiMidfielder | 2 (1) | 100 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Michael KibwageDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Haniff WesongaDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Aboud OmarDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Chrispine EramboMidfielder | 1 (1) | 87 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.09 | – |
| M. BajaberMidfielder | 2 (1) | 80 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.85 | 1.81 |
| MelBet | 1.85 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.92 | 1.33 |
More on South Africa vs Kenya
- South Africa stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Kenya stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture