Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn Prediction – Match preview
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BayArenaRound 10
Our prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win (62%)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 62% · Draw 26% · Paderborn 11% · Over 2.5 goals: 30% · Both teams to score: 28%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
62%
12%
Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 26%Paderborn
Bookmaker implied
75%
10%
Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 15%Paderborn
1.5 – 0.5
Expected score
30%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
59%
18%
Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 23%Paderborn
First Half Result
44%
22%
Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 34%Paderborn
Team to Score First
60%
33%
Bayer 04 LeverkusenNo goal 7%Paderborn
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over 3.5 Goals
13%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over 1.5 Goals
55%
Paderborn Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over 0.5 Goals
82%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Bayer 04 LeverkusenPaderborn
- 5
- League position
- 13
- WLLWW
- Last 5
- DDWDL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 4.73
- xG for (L5)
- 4.79
- 7.24
- xG against (L5)
- 3.31
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins
0
Draws
1
Paderborn wins
Last 3 meetings
4.3
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Bayer 04 Leverkusen in the last 3 meetings
WWL
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonBayer 04 Leverkusen
Top scorer
Patrik Schick
8 goals
Most assists
Miguel Gutiérrez
4 assists
Best rated
Aleix García
7.57
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark FlekkenGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Edmond TapsobaDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Miguel GutiérrezDefender | 9 (9) | 803 | 1 | 4 | 0.13 | 7.10 | |
| Aleix GarcíaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 797 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 7.57 | ×2 |
| Ibrahim MazaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 778 | 3 | 3 | 0.62 | 7.32 | ×3 |
| Facundo MedinaDefender | 9 (8) | 723 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.88 | ×4 |
| Patrik SchickAttacker | 9 (8) | 704 | 8 | 2 | 1.78 | 7.51 | |
| Jarell QuansahDefender | 9 (8) | 702 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.88 | |
| Afonso MoreiraMidfielder | 9 (8) | 666 | 0 | 1 | 0.75 | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Ezequiel FernándezMidfielder | 9 (8) | 600 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Moussa DiabyMidfielder | 6 (5) | 391 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Malik TillmanMidfielder | 8 (3) | 318 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | 6.55 | – |
| Robert AndrichMidfielder | 6 (1) | 169 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.93 | – |
| Christian KofaneAttacker | 4 (1) | 134 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Lucas VázquezDefender | 5 (2) | 130 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.37 | – |
Paderborn
Top scorer
Stefano Marino
2 goals
Most assists
Laurin Curda
1 assists
Best rated
Nahuel Noll
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel NollGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.35 | – |
| Santiago CastañedaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | 0.81 | 7.18 | |
| Tjark SchellerDefender | 9 (9) | 805 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Laurin CurdaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 787 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 6.99 | |
| Mattes HansenDefender | 9 (9) | 764 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.01 | |
| Raphael ObermairMidfielder | 9 (9) | 758 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 7.12 | – |
| Jano ter HorstDefender | 9 (9) | 752 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Gabriel VidovicMidfielder | 9 (9) | 665 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.70 | – |
| Stefano MarinoAttacker | 9 (8) | 589 | 2 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.75 | |
| Laurin UlrichMidfielder | 8 (7) | 554 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Marvin PieringerAttacker | 9 (6) | 498 | 1 | 0 | 0.96 | 6.66 | |
| Steffen TiggesAttacker | 9 (2) | 331 | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.91 | – |
| Tom BaackMidfielder | 6 (2) | 259 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.77 | |
| Rayan PhilippeAttacker | 8 (1) | 160 | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.69 | – |
| Ruben MüllerDefender | 2 (1) | 80 | 0 | 1 | 0.87 | 6.44 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.90 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.70 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.89 | 1.98 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.93 | 1.97 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 17.00 | 6.70 |
More on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Paderborn stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture