FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction – Match preview
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WWK ArenaRound 10
Our prediction
FSV Mainz 05 to win (52%)
FC Augsburg 27% · Draw 20% · FSV Mainz 05 52%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
18%
65%
FC AugsburgDraw 17%FSV Mainz 05
Bookmaker implied
35%
41%
FC AugsburgDraw 24%FSV Mainz 05
1.5 – 2.8
Expected score
80%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026FC AugsburgFSV Mainz 05
- 14
- League position
- 12
- LLDLD
- Last 5
- LLLWL
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 14
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 13
- 4.82
- xG for (L5)
- 4.46
- 5.48
- xG against (L5)
- 7.01
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
FC Augsburg wins
1
Draws
7
FSV Mainz 05 wins
Last 12 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
FC Augsburg in the last 5 meetings
LLDLL
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonFC Augsburg
Top scorer
Michael Gregoritsch
5 goals
Most assists
Fabian Rieder
5 assists
Best rated
Fabian Rieder
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn DahmenGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Chrislain MatsimaDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Hennes BehrensMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.22 | ×2 |
| Fabian RiederMidfielder | 9 (9) | 803 | 2 | 5 | 0.29 | 7.35 | |
| Han-Noah MassengoMidfielder | 9 (9) | 742 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Robin FellhauerAttacker | 9 (8) | 666 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Calvin BrackelmannDefender | 7 (7) | 539 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Michael GregoritschAttacker | 8 (6) | 511 | 5 | 0 | 1.58 | 7.31 | – |
| Arijon IbrahimovicAttacker | 7 (7) | 476 | 1 | 1 | 0.67 | 7.11 | – |
| Marius WolfMidfielder | 7 (6) | 442 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.85 | – |
| Anton KadeAttacker | 6 (4) | 414 | 2 | 1 | 1.22 | 6.89 | – |
| Noahkai BanksDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Jeffrey GouweleeuwDefender | 8 (2) | 324 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.49 | |
| Rodrigo RibeiroAttacker | 9 (3) | 276 | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.64 | ×2 |
| Yannik KeitelMidfielder | 5 (2) | 228 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.36 | – |
FSV Mainz 05
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz
6 goals
Most assists
Sheraldo Becker
4 assists
Best rated
Phillip Tietz
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaishu SanoMidfielder | 9 (9) | 795 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.95 | |
| Nadiem AmiriMidfielder | 9 (9) | 774 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 7.02 | |
| Phillip TietzAttacker | 9 (8) | 720 | 6 | 1 | 0.92 | 7.33 | |
| Kacper PotulskiDefender | 9 (8) | 710 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.66 | |
| Anthony CaciMidfielder | 9 (9) | 688 | 3 | 3 | 0.13 | 7.33 | |
| Sheraldo BeckerAttacker | 9 (9) | 682 | 2 | 4 | 0.26 | 7.31 | ×2 |
| Phillipp MweneMidfielder | 8 (8) | 677 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.93 | ×5 |
| Stefan PoschDefender | 7 (7) | 628 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.49 | ×2 |
| Fabio GruberDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Danny da CostaDefender | 9 (5) | 527 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.70 | |
| Jae-sung LeeMidfielder | 8 (7) | 501 | 1 | 1 | 0.47 | 6.90 | |
| Alexander SchwolowGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Robin ZentnerGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Ransford KönigsdörfferAttacker | 9 (1) | 241 | 1 | 0 | 0.95 | 6.66 | ×2 |
| Silvan WidmerDefender | 5 (1) | 129 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MansionBet | 2.07 | 1.81 |
| Pinnacle | — | 1.80 |
| Sbo | 2.07 | 1.83 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 10.50 | 1.13 |
More on FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05
- FC Augsburg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FSV Mainz 05 stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture