FC Bayern München vs FC Köln Prediction – Match preview
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Allianz ArenaRound 10
Our prediction
FC Bayern München to win (86%)
FC Bayern München 86% · Draw 6% · FC Köln 3%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
95%
2%
FC Bayern MünchenDraw 3%FC Köln
Bookmaker implied
87%
5%
FC Bayern MünchenDraw 8%FC Köln
4.7 – 0.6
Expected score
90%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
76%
8%
FC Bayern MünchenDraw 16%FC Köln
First Half Result
63%
11%
FC Bayern MünchenDraw 26%FC Köln
Team to Score First
70%
23%
FC Bayern MünchenNo goal 7%FC Köln
Probability
Both Teams to Score
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
FC Bayern München Over 3.5 Goals
28%
FC Bayern München Over 1.5 Goals
70%
FC Köln Over 0.5 Goals
32%
FC Bayern München Over 0.5 Goals
90%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026FC Bayern MünchenFC Köln
- 1
- League position
- 15
- WDWWD
- Last 5
- LDDLW
- 2.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 15
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 8.08
- xG for (L5)
- 3.53
- 2.82
- xG against (L5)
- 2.84
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
10
FC Bayern München wins
1
Draws
0
FC Köln wins
Last 11 meetings
3.7
Goals per game
73%
Both teams scored
73%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
FC Bayern München in the last 5 meetings
WWWWW
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonFC Bayern München
Top scorer
Michael Olise
6 goals
Most assists
Harry Kane
8 assists
Best rated
Michael Olise
8.16
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayot UpamecanoDefender | 9 (9) | 766 | 3 | 0 | 1.25 | 7.40 | ×2 |
| Michael OliseMidfielder | 9 (8) | 747 | 6 | 4 | 0.91 | 8.16 | – |
| Harry KaneAttacker | 9 (8) | 714 | 4 | 8 | 1.81 | 7.71 | – |
| Joshua KimmichMidfielder | 8 (7) | 651 | 1 | 3 | 0.45 | 8.03 | – |
| Aleksandar PavlovicMidfielder | 8 (8) | 637 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 7.53 | |
| Nathaniel BrownDefender | 9 (6) | 516 | 1 | 2 | 1.00 | 6.91 | – |
| Konrad LaimerDefender | 6 (6) | 505 | 1 | 0 | 0.67 | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Alphonso DaviesDefender | 8 (5) | 492 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 7.16 | – |
| Josip StanisicDefender | 8 (5) | 481 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.64 | |
| Jonathan TahDefender | 6 (5) | 456 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Luis DíazMidfielder | 6 (5) | 445 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.28 | – |
| Manuel NeuerGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 405 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Jonas UrbigGoalkeeper | 5 (4) | 405 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Min-jae KimDefender | 5 (4) | 385 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Ismael SaibariMidfielder | 8 (5) | 362 | 2 | 3 | 0.61 | 7.05 | – |
FC Köln
Top scorer
Said El Mala
3 goals
Most assists
Linton Maina
2 assists
Best rated
Borna Sosa
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin SchwäbeGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Jahmai Simpson-PuseyDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×3 |
| Tom KraußMidfielder | 9 (8) | 729 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Linton MainaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 640 | 1 | 2 | 0.44 | 6.86 | |
| Luka LochoshviliDefender | 7 (7) | 617 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Said El MalaAttacker | 8 (7) | 593 | 3 | 0 | 1.27 | 6.70 | – |
| Ísak JóhannessonMidfielder | 9 (6) | 553 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Marius BülterAttacker | 9 (6) | 550 | 1 | 0 | 0.42 | 6.88 | |
| Mikey MooreMidfielder | 8 (5) | 496 | 0 | 1 | 0.46 | 6.74 | |
| Borna SosaDefender | 6 (5) | 476 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 7.31 | ×2 |
| Sebastian SebulonsenDefender | 6 (5) | 434 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.66 | – |
| Alessio Castro-MontesMidfielder | 7 (4) | 369 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.74 | |
| Gideon MensahDefender | 4 (4) | 334 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | ×2 |
| Paul Okon-EngstlerMidfielder | 7 (4) | 324 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Ellyes SkhiriMidfielder | 5 (3) | 295 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.86 | 2.02 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.15 | 1.72 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.75 | 2.07 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.86 | 2.04 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 13.00 | 4.55 |
More on FC Bayern München vs FC Köln
- FC Bayern München stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FC Köln stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture