Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Independence Park
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
37%
38%
JamaicaDraw 25%Mexico
First Half Result
32%
26%
JamaicaDraw 42%Mexico
Team to Score First
53%
40%
JamaicaNo goal 7%Mexico
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Jamaica Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Jamaica Over 1.5 Goals
38%
Mexico Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Jamaica Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Match Result
Jamaica
37%–
model 2.70–
Last 1033%5/15
Draw
29%–
model 3.46–
Last 1020%3/15
Mexico
34%–
model 2.94–
Last 1047%7/15
Draw no bet
Jamaica
52%–
model 1.92–
Last 1042%5/12
Mexico
48%–
model 2.09–
Last 1058%7/12
Double chance
Jamaica or draw
66%–
model 1.52–
Last 1053%8/15
Jamaica or Mexico
71%–
model 1.41–
Last 1080%12/15
Draw or Mexico
63%–
model 1.59–
Last 1067%10/15
Expected goals 1.3–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 93%14/15 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 67%10/15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 27%4/15 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%3/15 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 13%2/15 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1027%4/15
Jamaica clean sheet
25%
model chance
Mexico clean sheet
30%
model chance
Jamaica goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Mexico goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 8.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 40%6/15 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 33%5/15 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 33%5/15 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 27%4/15 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 13%2/15 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 7%1/15 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 7%1/15 | – |
Jamaica corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Mexico corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 61%O4.5 42%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 64%9/14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 50%7/14 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 36%5/14 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 29%4/14 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 21%3/14 | – |
Jamaica cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Mexico cards
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%O3.5 8%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026JamaicaMexico
- 18
- League position
- —
- DWLW
- Last 5
- —
- 1.75
- Points per game (L5)
- —
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 0
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 0
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
0
Jamaica wins
0
Draws
3
Mexico wins
Last 3 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Jamaica in the last 3 meetings
LLL
Key Players
CONCACAF Nations League, this seasonJamaica
Top scorer
Javon East
2 goals
Most assists
Miguel Freckleton
2 assists
Best rated
Miguel Freckleton
7.71
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karoy AndersonMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Andre BlakeGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Richard KingDefender | 4 (4) | 354 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Ronaldo WebsterDefender | 4 (4) | 352 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Kaheim DixonAttacker | 4 (3) | 314 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Joel LatibeaudiereDefender | 3 (3) | 264 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Courtney ClarkeMidfielder | 4 (2) | 232 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Tyreece CampbellAttacker | 4 (2) | 227 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Miguel FreckletonDefender | 3 (2) | 224 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.71 | – |
| Javon EastAttacker | 4 (3) | 219 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Damion LoweDefender | 3 (2) | 186 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Bailey CadamarteriAttacker | 3 (2) | 165 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | ×2 |
| Kyle MingMidfielder | 2 (2) | 156 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Isaac HaydenMidfielder | 2 (2) | 152 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Kasey PalmerMidfielder | 2 (2) | 127 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.10 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.35 | 2.84 |
More on Jamaica vs Mexico
- Jamaica stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Mexico stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- CONCACAF Nations League (North & Central America) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture